Western Michigan vs. Michigan

$301.4K Vol
2026年9月6日
Resolved
概率趋势
Michigan 100.0%
Western Michigan 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Western Michigan vs. Michigan」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，2H Moneyline 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场；3Q Moneyline 以 5,000% 位居第二，4Q Moneyline 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $301.4K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • 2H Moneyline (5,000%)：2H Moneyline 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • 3Q Moneyline (5,000%)：作为最可行的替代选项，3Q Moneyline 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • 4Q Moneyline (5,000%)：以 5,000% 的概率位列第三，市场对 4Q Moneyline 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 Western Michigan O/U 1.5 (5,000%)、Michigan O/U 4.5 (5,000%)，以及 Jordan Marshall: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Savion Hiter: Anytime Touchdown 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
12H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Western Michigan O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Michigan O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Jordan Marshall: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Savion Hiter: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Bryce Underwood: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Broc Lowry: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Jalen Buckley: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11JJ Buchanan: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Andrew Marsh: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Bryson Kuzdzal: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Zack Marshall: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Cole Cabana: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Hogan Hansen: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Salesi Moa: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Aveion Chenault: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Jaime Ffrench: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Baylin Brooks: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21AJ Green: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Adam Parks: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Harper Hughes: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Kendrick Bell: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Emazon Littlejohn: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Western Michigan O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Western Michigan O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Western Michigan O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Western Michigan O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Michigan O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Michigan O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Michigan O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Michigan O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:30PM ET:

If Western Michigan wins, the market will resolve to "Western Michigan".

If Michigan wins, the market will resolve to "Michigan".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 08:30 PM
    DEDeesert
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923075 Michigan for Spread: Michigan (-27.5) at 0.52

  • 08:11 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.69

    Bought 323 Western Michigan for Western Michigan vs. Michigan at 0.03

  • 07:59 PM
    NInigiri99
    $62.40

    Bought 104 Over for Michigan Team Total: O/U 37.5 at 0.6

  • 07:26 PM
    FIfirewalker923
    $78.00

    Bought 150 Michigan for Spread: Michigan (-27.5) at 0.52

  • 07:13 PM
    LUluckyguy168
    $2.00

    Bought 4 Over for Western Michigan vs. Michigan: O/U 49.5 at 0.5

  • 06:53 PM
    NInigiri99
    $3.42

    Bought 6 Over for Western Michigan Team Total: O/U 9.5 at 0.57

  • 06:21 PM
    0X0xb5794FF8CE96b773701fE9333283915eEf5fF458-1729659432133
    $5.81

    Bought 193.548386 Western Michigan for Western Michigan vs. Michigan at 0.03

  • 05:05 PM
    LPlpcapital1
    $19.40

    Bought 20 Michigan for Western Michigan vs. Michigan at 0.97

  • 04:32 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $4.76

    Bought 119 Western Michigan for Western Michigan vs. Michigan at 0.04

  • 03:55 PM
    0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187
    $1.54

    Bought 38.6 Western Michigan for Western Michigan vs. Michigan at 0.04

  • 03:55 PM
    0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187
    $1.26

    Bought 31.58 Western Michigan for Western Michigan vs. Michigan at 0.04

  • 03:55 PM
    0X0x952718dF56Ab7955E0A0121a9E47fa8f52B6888b-1787761374187
    $1.26

    Bought 31.58 Western Michigan for Western Michigan vs. Michigan at 0.04

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

RN1
RN1
事件盈亏
-$2,712.31
成交量
$9,331.02
持仓数
MichiganOverMichigan+4
IM2
ImSmart
事件盈亏
+$2,405.30
成交量
$7,117.12
持仓数
Western Michigan
HO3
Hoch
事件盈亏
-$6.78
成交量
$5,155.62
持仓数
Michigan
414
0x418D…7961
事件盈亏
-$1,168.01
成交量
$4,400.00
持仓数
Michigan
BO5
BoggsFromShawshank
事件盈亏
+$1,163.23
成交量
$4,381.28
持仓数
Western Michigan
E96
0xe98c…8792
事件盈亏
+$150.65
成交量
$3,356.81
持仓数
Michigan
BI7
Bigr100
事件盈亏
+$1,364.54
成交量
$3,320.70
持仓数
Western Michigan
HO8
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$6.81
成交量
$3,319.31
持仓数
Western Michigan

常见问题

当前市场对「Western Michigan vs. Michigan」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，2H Moneyline 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 3Q Moneyline（5,000%），以及 4Q Moneyline（5,000%）。该市场总成交量已达 $301.4K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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