Western Kentucky vs. Nevada

$342.5K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
概率趋势
Nevada 78.0%
Western Kentucky 22.0%

核心摘要

根据「Western Kentucky vs. Nevada」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 32.5 以压倒性的 9,000% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 38.5 以 8,500% 位居第二，Spread -1.5 以 7,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $342.5K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 32.5 (9,000%)：O/U 32.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,000¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 38.5 (8,500%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 38.5 保持着 8,500% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,500¢。
  • Spread -1.5 (7,250%)：以 7,250% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 Spread -2.5 (7,250%)、O/U 44.5 (7,200%)，以及 1H Spread -2.5 (7,200%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 O/U 50.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 32.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
2O/U 38.58500.0%—8500¢-8400¢
3Spread -1.57250.0%$107250¢-7150¢
4Spread -2.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
5O/U 44.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
61H Spread -2.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
7O/U 50.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
8Spread -4.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
9Spread -3.56600.0%$556600¢-6500¢
10O/U 51.56150.0%$3.0K6150¢-6050¢
11O/U 53.55600.0%$3045600¢-5500¢
12O/U 54.55500.0%$35500¢-5400¢
13O/U 52.55450.0%$9.7K5450¢-5350¢
14Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Spread -17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Spread -21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Spread -24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Spread -27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Spread -31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Spread -34.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22O/U 34.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23O/U 36.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24O/U 40.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25O/U 42.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26O/U 46.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27O/U 48.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28O/U 58.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29O/U 60.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30O/U 64.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31O/U 66.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32O/U 70.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33O/U 72.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
351H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
361H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
371H Moneyline5000.0%$1.8K5000¢-4900¢
382H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
392H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
412H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
421Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
431Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
441Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
451Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Western Kentucky O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Western Kentucky O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Western Kentucky O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Western Kentucky O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Western Kentucky O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Nevada O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Nevada O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Nevada O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Nevada O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Nevada O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Western Kentucky 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Western Kentucky 1H O/U 13.55000.0%$495000¢-4900¢
58Western Kentucky 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Nevada 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Nevada 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Nevada 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Nevada 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Nevada 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Nevada 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Western Kentucky 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Western Kentucky 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Western Kentucky 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Nevada 1H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Nevada 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Nevada 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Nevada O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Nevada O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Nevada O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Nevada O/U 28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Nevada O/U 31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
762Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
772Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
782Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
792Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
803Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
813Q Spread -1.55000.0%$155000¢-4900¢
823Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
833Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
844Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
854Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
864Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
874Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Western Kentucky O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Western Kentucky O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Western Kentucky O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Western Kentucky O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Western Kentucky O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Spread -0.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
94Western Kentucky O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Nevada O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Ajay Allen: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Dominic Kelley: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Herschel Turner: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Carter Jones: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Rodney Tisdale Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Kalib Hicks: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Cameron Flowers: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Jonathan Stafford Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Janerious Jackson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Moussa Barry: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Donnie Cheers: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107CC Ezirim: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Damien Moun: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Jaden McGill: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Quincy Burroughs: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Gary Givens III: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Jaceon Doss: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Qua'Vez Humphreys: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Marshaun Brown: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Zion Taylor: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116DJ Asiasi: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Carter Eck: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1181H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1191H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1201Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1211Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1221Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1233Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1244Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Western Kentucky O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Western Kentucky O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Western Kentucky O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Western Kentucky O/U 28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Western Kentucky O/U 31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Western Kentucky 1H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Western Kentucky 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Western Kentucky 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1332Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1342Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1352Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1373Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1383Q Spread -1.55000.0%$155000¢-4900¢
1393Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1403Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
141Western Kentucky O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142Western Kentucky O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
143Western Kentucky O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
144Western Kentucky O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
145Nevada O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
146Nevada O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
147Nevada O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
148Nevada O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
149O/U 56.54550.0%$214550¢-4450¢
150O/U 62.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
151Spread -0.52700.0%$252700¢-2600¢
152O/U 68.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
153Western Kentucky vs. Nevada2200.0%$329.3K2200¢-2100¢
1541H Spread -2.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
155Spread -1.51800.0%$101800¢-1700¢
156Spread: Western Kentucky (-2.5)1750.0%$5451750¢-1650¢
157Spread -6.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
158Spread -5.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
159Spread -10.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
160Spread -4.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
161Spread -7.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
162Spread -16.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
163Spread -13.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
164Spread -3.5950.0%$55950¢-850¢
165Spread -14.5800.0%$12800¢-700¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:30PM ET:

If Western Kentucky wins, the market will resolve to "Western Kentucky".

If Nevada wins, the market will resolve to "Nevada".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 08:21 PM
    ——
    $2.70

    Bought 5 Under for Western Kentucky vs. Nevada: O/U 52.5 at 0.54

  • 06:51 PM
    TITimeTraveler
    $100.00

    Bought 200 Western Kentucky for Western Kentucky vs. Nevada at 0.5

  • 06:04 PM
    TITimPenis
    $2.64

    Bought 5.28 Western Kentucky for Western Kentucky vs. Nevada at 0.5

  • 05:41 PM
    LUluckyguy168
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Under for Western Kentucky vs. Nevada: O/U 51.5 at 0.5

  • 05:41 PM
    LUluckyguy168
    $2.00

    Bought 3.703702 Under for Western Kentucky vs. Nevada: O/U 52.5 at 0.54

  • 04:15 PM
    TCtcjoness
    $1.62

    Bought 11.571427 Western Kentucky for Spread: Western Kentucky (-14.5) at 0.14

  • 12:43 PM
    PApaperboy
    $18.00

    Bought 33.333332 Nevada for Spread: Western Kentucky (-1.5) at 0.54

  • 05:44 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $8.73

    Bought 17.12 Western Kentucky for Spread: Western Kentucky (-0.5) at 0.51

  • 04:15 AM
    PEpekpym
    $2.00

    Bought 4.444443 Over for O/U 53.5 at 0.45

  • 04:14 AM
    PEpekpym
    $2.00

    Bought 4.166665 Over for Western Kentucky 1H Team Total: O/U 13.5 at 0.48

  • 02:59 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.83

    Bought 10.07 Western Kentucky for Spread: Western Kentucky (-1.5) at 0.48

  • 02:56 AM
    WOWordsworthsdgf
    $27.50

    Bought 55 Nevada for Western Kentucky vs. Nevada at 0.5

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SA1
Sassy-Bucket
事件盈亏
+$58.65
成交量
$316,110.94
持仓数
Western Kentucky
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$3,585.98
成交量
$241,381.44
持仓数
Nevada
VE3
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$15.86
成交量
$19,226.61
持仓数
NevadaNevadaOver+3
HO4
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$486.55
成交量
$14,620.06
持仓数
NevadaOverWestern Kentucky+1
WR5
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
-$692.89
成交量
$12,429.98
持仓数
UnderUnder
HE6
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
+$271.64
成交量
$12,018.18
持仓数
NevadaOverOver
NO7
Nooserac
事件盈亏
+$150.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持仓数
Nevada
FB8
0xfB07…2542
事件盈亏
+$150.00
成交量
$10,000.00
持仓数
Nevada

常见问题

当前市场对「Western Kentucky vs. Nevada」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 32.5 以 9,000% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 38.5（8,500%），以及 Spread -1.5（7,250%）。该市场总成交量已达 $342.5K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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