Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

$44.6K Vol
2026年9月7日
Active
概率趋势
Notre Dame 91.5%
Wisconsin 8.5%

核心摘要

根据「Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 27.5 以压倒性的 9,300% 获胜概率主导市场；Spread -1.5 以 9,250% 位居第二，Spread -0.5 以 9,200% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $44.6K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 27.5 (9,300%)：O/U 27.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,300¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $68 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,250%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Spread -1.5 保持着 9,250% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,250¢。
  • Spread -0.5 (9,200%)：以 9,200% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Spread -0.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 Spread -2.5 (9,150%)、O/U 29.5 (9,150%)，以及 Spread -3.5 (8,850%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 O/U 31.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 27.59300.0%$689300¢-9200¢
2Spread -1.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
3Spread -0.59200.0%$439200¢-9100¢
4Spread -2.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
5O/U 29.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
6Spread -3.58850.0%—8850¢-8750¢
7O/U 31.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
8Spread -4.58650.0%—8650¢-8550¢
9Spread -5.58550.0%$998550¢-8450¢
10Spread -6.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
11O/U 33.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
12O/U 35.57950.0%—7950¢-7850¢
13Spread -7.57900.0%$57900¢-7800¢
14Wisconsin O/U 6.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
15Spread -8.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
16Notre Dame O/U 25.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
17Notre Dame O/U 26.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
18Spread -10.57450.0%$897450¢-7350¢
19O/U 37.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
20Notre Dame O/U 27.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
21Spread -13.57050.0%$1247050¢-6950¢
22O/U 39.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
232H Spread -5.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
242H Spread -4.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
25Spread -14.56650.0%$986650¢-6550¢
26Wisconsin O/U 7.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
27Notre Dame O/U 28.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
28Notre Dame O/U 29.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
29Wisconsin O/U 9.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
302H Spread -6.56350.0%$106350¢-6250¢
31Spread -16.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
32O/U 41.56300.0%$386300¢-6200¢
33Notre Dame O/U 30.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
341H Spread -8.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
351H Spread -9.56150.0%$1.1K6150¢-6050¢
363Q Spread -2.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
37Spread -17.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
38O/U 43.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
392Q Spread -6.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
404Q Spread -2.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
41Spread -20.55450.0%$19.5K5450¢-5350¢
421H Spread -10.55450.0%$9625450¢-5350¢
43Notre Dame O/U 31.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
44Wisconsin O/U 10.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
45O/U 45.55350.0%$1.0K5350¢-5250¢
461Q Spread -6.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
47Notre Dame O/U 32.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
48Notre Dame O/U 33.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
492H Spread -8.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
503Q Spread -6.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
512H Spread -7.55150.0%$1825150¢-5050¢
52Wisconsin 1H O/U 6.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
534Q Spread -6.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
541Q Spread -5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
551Q Spread -8.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
562Q Spread -5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
572Q Spread -8.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
583Q Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
593Q Spread -5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
604Q Moneyline5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
61Wisconsin 2H O/U 6.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
62Notre Dame 2H O/U 16.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
63Notre Dame O/U 4.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
64Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
65Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
66Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
67Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
68Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
69Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
70Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
713Q Spread -7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
72Wisconsin O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
73Wisconsin O/U 3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
74Notre Dame O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
75Notre Dame O/U 2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
76Notre Dame O/U 3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
774Q Spread -8.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
78Notre Dame 1H O/U 18.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
79Wisconsin 2H O/U 9.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
801H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
812H Spread -9.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
821Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
831Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
842Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
853Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
863Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
874Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
884Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Notre Dame 1H O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Wisconsin 1H O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Wisconsin 1H O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Wisconsin 2H O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Wisconsin 2H O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Notre Dame 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Notre Dame 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Wisconsin O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Colton Joseph: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Abu Sama III: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Darrion Dupree: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Eugene Hilton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Chris Brooks Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Wisconsin O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Notre Dame 1H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1101Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Wisconsin O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Wisconsin O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1132Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1143Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1154Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1164Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Notre Dame 1H O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Wisconsin 2H O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Wisconsin 2H O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1202H Moneyline4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1211H Spread -12.54950.0%$1.0K4950¢-4850¢
1222Q Moneyline4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
123O/U 46.54950.0%$3.8K4950¢-4850¢
124Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
125Notre Dame O/U 1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1263Q Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
127Notre Dame 1H O/U 20.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1283Q Spread -4.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1294Q Spread -4.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1301H Spread -13.54850.0%$2054850¢-4750¢
1314Q Spread -3.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
132Notre Dame O/U 34.54850.0%$1504850¢-4750¢
133Notre Dame 1H O/U 17.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
134Spread -21.54750.0%$6214750¢-4650¢
135O/U 47.54550.0%$1.3K4550¢-4450¢
136Wisconsin O/U 13.54500.0%$524500¢-4400¢
1372Q Spread -7.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1382H Spread -10.54300.0%$104300¢-4200¢
139Spread -24.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
140O/U 49.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
1412H Spread -11.54050.0%$54050¢-3950¢
142Notre Dame O/U 35.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
143Notre Dame O/U 36.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
144Notre Dame O/U 37.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
1451H Spread -14.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
1461H Spread -15.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
147Spread -27.53450.0%$4283450¢-3350¢
148O/U 51.53450.0%$203450¢-3350¢
1491H Spread -16.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
150Wisconsin O/U 15.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
151Wisconsin O/U 16.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
152O/U 53.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
153Notre Dame O/U 38.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
1541Q Spread -7.52950.0%$592950¢-2850¢
155Notre Dame O/U 39.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
156Notre Dame O/U 40.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
157Jaylon Domingeaux: Anytime Touchdown2650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
158Jacob Harris: Anytime Touchdown2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
159Malachi Coleman: Anytime Touchdown2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
160Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
161Tyrell Henry: Anytime Touchdown2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
162Shamar Rigby: Anytime Touchdown2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
163Ryan Schwendeman: Anytime Touchdown2600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
164Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown2550.0%$42550¢-2450¢
165O/U 55.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
166Wisconsin O/U 18.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
167Spread -31.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
168Wisconsin O/U 19.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
169O/U 57.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
170Spread -34.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
171O/U 59.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
172O/U 61.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
1731H Moneyline1350.0%$2.2K1350¢-1250¢
174O/U 63.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
175O/U 65.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
176Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame750.0%$12.6K750¢-650¢
177O/U 67.5700.0%—700¢-600¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 7:30PM ET:

If Wisconsin wins, the market will resolve to "Wisconsin".

If Notre Dame wins, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 6, 2026

  • 07:58 AM
    0X0x20310f556b3f240152c2412Faf0ee6063F195ee7-1761308831852
    $30.00

    Bought 42.85714 Notre Dame for Spread: Notre Dame (-13.5) at 0.7

  • 07:22 AM
    ARarcher111
    $4.00

    Bought 7.4 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) at 0.54

  • 07:22 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $47.17

    Bought 89 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) at 0.53

  • 06:07 AM
    PUpurplegatto
    $63.92

    Bought 68 Over for Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame: O/U 27.5 at 0.94

  • 05:16 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $19.00

    Bought 59.38 Notre Dame for 1Q Spread: Notre Dame (-7.5) at 0.32

  • 04:31 AM
    BRbretonpicks
    $25.00

    Bought 48.076922 Under for Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame: O/U 46.5 at 0.52

  • 04:17 AM
    DFDFY
    $10.10

    Bought 22.444443 Notre Dame for Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5) at 0.45

  • 04:10 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $38.69

    Bought 61.42 Notre Dame for Spread: Notre Dame (-14.5) at 0.63

  • 04:01 AM
    BUbumpbumpbump
    $6.78

    Bought 14.43 Wisconsin for Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5) at 0.47

  • 03:31 AM
    OLOlivier987
    $22.50

    Bought 47.872339 Wisconsin for Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5) at 0.47

  • 03:06 AM
    NInigiri99
    $706.49

    Bought 1333 Notre Dame for Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5) at 0.53

  • 03:06 AM
    NInigiri99
    $852.24

    Bought 1608 Notre Dame for Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5) at 0.53

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

NI1
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$39.10
成交量
$14,045.00
持仓数
Notre DameWisconsinNotre Dame+2
MO2
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$10.49
成交量
$9,306.98
持仓数
Notre DameOverNotre Dame+6
WO3
wowfarm
事件盈亏
+$22.50
成交量
$4,499.99
持仓数
Notre Dame
VE4
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$55.89
成交量
$4,029.79
持仓数
Notre DameWisconsinWisconsin+7
WR5
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$17.60
成交量
$3,519.27
持仓数
WisconsinWisconsin
HO6
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$18.89
成交量
$3,182.07
持仓数
OverNotre DameOver+2
AT7
attempt-most
事件盈亏
-$1.18
成交量
$3,078.42
持仓数
Wisconsin
FL8
Flipadelphia
事件盈亏
+$2.05
成交量
$2,999.98
持仓数
Under

常见问题

当前市场对「Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 27.5 以 9,300% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Spread -1.5（9,250%），以及 Spread -0.5（9,200%）。该市场总成交量已达 $44.6K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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