Washington State vs. Washington
$67.7K Vol
2026年9月7日
Active
概率趋势
Washington 93.5%
Washington State 6.5%
核心摘要
根据「Washington State vs. Washington」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，Spread -0.5 以压倒性的 9,400% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 30.5 以 9,400% 位居第二，Spread -1.5 以 9,300% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $67.7K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- Spread -0.5 (9,400%)：Spread -0.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,400¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $5 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- O/U 30.5 (9,400%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 30.5 保持着 9,400% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,400¢。
- Spread -1.5 (9,300%)：以 9,300% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 Spread -2.5 (9,300%)、O/U 31.5 (9,250%)，以及 O/U 32.5 (9,150%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 O/U 33.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -0.5 | 9400.0% | $5 | 9400¢ | -9300¢ |
| 2 | O/U 30.5 | 9400.0% | — | 9400¢ | -9300¢ |
| 3 | Spread -1.5 | 9300.0% | — | 9300¢ | -9200¢ |
| 4 | Spread -2.5 | 9300.0% | — | 9300¢ | -9200¢ |
| 5 | O/U 31.5 | 9250.0% | — | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 6 | O/U 32.5 | 9150.0% | — | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 7 | O/U 33.5 | 9150.0% | — | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 8 | Spread -3.5 | 8950.0% | — | 8950¢ | -8850¢ |
| 9 | Spread -4.5 | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 10 | O/U 34.5 | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 11 | Spread -5.5 | 8800.0% | — | 8800¢ | -8700¢ |
| 12 | O/U 35.5 | 8800.0% | — | 8800¢ | -8700¢ |
| 13 | O/U 36.5 | 8750.0% | — | 8750¢ | -8650¢ |
| 14 | Spread -6.5 | 8650.0% | $53 | 8650¢ | -8550¢ |
| 15 | Spread -7.5 | 8400.0% | — | 8400¢ | -8300¢ |
| 16 | Spread -8.5 | 8250.0% | — | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 17 | O/U 38.5 | 8250.0% | — | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 18 | O/U 40.5 | 7950.0% | — | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 19 | Spread -10.5 | 7900.0% | — | 7900¢ | -7800¢ |
| 20 | Washington O/U 30.5 | 7650.0% | $74 | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 21 | Spread -13.5 | 7500.0% | — | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 22 | O/U 42.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 23 | Spread -16.5 | 7250.0% | $7.0K | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 24 | Washington State O/U 7.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 25 | Spread -14.5 | 7200.0% | — | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 26 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 7100.0% | — | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 27 | O/U 44.5 | 6900.0% | — | 6900¢ | -6800¢ |
| 28 | Washington O/U 31.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 29 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 6800.0% | — | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 30 | Spread -17.5 | 6750.0% | $5.5K | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 31 | Washington O/U 33.5 | 6550.0% | — | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 32 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 6500.0% | — | 6500¢ | -6400¢ |
| 33 | O/U 46.5 | 6450.0% | $50 | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 34 | 2H Spread -6.5 | 6400.0% | — | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 35 | Washington O/U 34.5 | 6300.0% | $5 | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 36 | Spread -20.5 | 6200.0% | $1.2K | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 37 | Washington State O/U 10.5 | 5950.0% | — | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 38 | O/U 48.5 | 5850.0% | $305 | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 39 | 2Q Spread -6.5 | 5750.0% | — | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 40 | 1H Spread -11.5 | 5700.0% | — | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 41 | 1H Spread -12.5 | 5650.0% | — | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 42 | Spread -21.5 | 5550.0% | $8.9K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 43 | 2H Spread -7.5 | 5550.0% | — | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 44 | Washington State 1H O/U 6.5 | 5550.0% | — | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 45 | 3Q Spread -4.5 | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 46 | Spread: Washington (-22.5) | 5450.0% | $7.9K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 47 | Washington O/U 36.5 | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 48 | Washington O/U 37.5 | 5450.0% | $4.4K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 49 | 2H Spread -8.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 50 | Washington 1H O/U 20.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 51 | O/U 50.5 | 5350.0% | $4.6K | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 52 | 3Q Spread -7.5 | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 53 | 1H Spread -13.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 54 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 55 | Spread -23.5 | 5150.0% | $11.0K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 56 | 2Q Spread -5.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 57 | Washington State O/U 13.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 58 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 59 | Washington State 2H O/U 7.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 60 | Dezmen Roebuck: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 61 | Tony Freeman: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 62 | Maxwell Woods: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 63 | Washington State O/U 1.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 64 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | 2H Spread -10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | 1Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | 1Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 1Q Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | 1Q Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | 1Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | 2Q Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | 2Q Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | 3Q Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Washington 1H O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Washington 1H O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Washington State 1H O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Washington State 1H O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Washington 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Washington 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Washington 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Washington State 2H O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Washington State 2H O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Washington State 2H O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Washington State 2H O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Washington 2H O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Washington State O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Quaid Carr: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Jayden Limar: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Kirby Vorhees: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Christian Moss: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Trey Cooley: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Decker DeGraaf: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Tank Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Leo Pulalasi: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Jordan Dees: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Chris Lawson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Washington State O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Washington State O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Washington O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Washington O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Washington O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | 4Q Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | 2Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | O/U 51.5 | 4950.0% | $1.4K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 111 | Washington State 2H O/U 5.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 112 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 113 | Washington 2H O/U 13.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 114 | Washington 2H O/U 15.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 115 | Washington 2H O/U 17.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 116 | Washington O/U 4.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 117 | Demond Williams Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 118 | Rashid Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 119 | Caden Pinnick: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 120 | Darrius Clemons: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 121 | Daniel Blood: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 122 | Jack Pedersen: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 123 | Washington State O/U 0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 124 | Washington O/U 0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 125 | 3Q Spread -8.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 126 | 1Q Spread -9.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 127 | Spread -24.5 | 4750.0% | $145 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 128 | 1Q Spread -7.5 | 4750.0% | $359 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 129 | 2H Spread -11.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 130 | O/U 52.5 | 4650.0% | $594 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 131 | 1H Spread -14.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 132 | 2Q Spread -7.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 133 | 1H Spread -15.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 134 | 1H Spread -16.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 135 | Washington O/U 39.5 | 4350.0% | — | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 136 | O/U 54.5 | 4300.0% | — | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 137 | Spread -27.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 138 | 2H Spread -12.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 139 | Washington O/U 40.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 140 | Washington State O/U 16.5 | 3750.0% | $650 | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 141 | O/U 56.5 | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 142 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 143 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 144 | O/U 58.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 145 | Washington O/U 42.5 | 3150.0% | $2.5K | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 146 | Washington O/U 43.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 147 | Spread -31.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 148 | 4Q Spread -6.5 | 2800.0% | — | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 149 | Washington State O/U 19.5 | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 150 | O/U 60.5 | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 151 | 4Q Spread -7.5 | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 152 | Spread -34.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 153 | O/U 62.5 | 2200.0% | — | 2200¢ | -2100¢ |
| 154 | O/U 64.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 155 | O/U 66.5 | 1500.0% | — | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 156 | O/U 68.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 157 | 1H Moneyline | 1150.0% | $1.3K | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 158 | O/U 70.5 | 1100.0% | — | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 159 | Washington State vs. Washington | 650.0% | $56.2K | 650¢ | -550¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 4:00PM ET:
If Washington State wins, the market will resolve to "Washington State".
If Washington wins, the market will resolve to "Washington".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 6, 2026
- 06:37 AM——$6.81
Sold 7.4 Washington for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.92
- 06:35 AM——$6.89
Bought 7.408601 Washington for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.93
- 06:28 AM——$1.65
Sold 23.5 Washington State for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.07
- 06:11 AMMOmooseborzoi$7.45
Bought 8.01 Washington for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.93
- 06:01 AMMOmooseborzoi$164.00
Bought 176.34 Washington for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.93
- 05:49 AMLUluckyguy168$1.00
Bought 1.85185 Washington for Spread: Washington (-22.5) at 0.54
- 05:49 AMLUluckyguy168$1.00
Bought 1.85185 Washington for Spread: Washington (-22.5) at 0.54
- 05:29 AMMOmooseborzoi$181.70
Bought 195.38 Washington for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.93
- 05:26 AMPMpmt-quiet-owl$26.04
Bought 28 Washington for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.93
- 05:19 AMTITimPenis$2.31
Bought 28.875 Washington State for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.08
- 05:15 AMSHshisushi$321.23
Bought 345.41 Washington for Washington State vs. Washington at 0.93
- 04:49 AMMOmooseborzoi$48.36
Bought 96.72 Washington State for Spread: Washington (-23.5) at 0.5
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r事件盈亏
+$85.54
成交量
$12,708.89
持仓数
WashingtonWashington StateUnder
MO2
mooseborzoi事件盈亏
-$77.66
成交量
$9,968.36
持仓数
OverWashington StateUnder+4
HO3
HomeRunHazard事件盈亏
+$58.99
成交量
$5,149.08
持仓数
WashingtonOverOver+2
JU4
JUSTINHERBERTMVP事件盈亏
-$42.10
成交量
$4,781.00
持仓数
WashingtonWashingtonWashington
LI5
LiquidatedDegen事件盈亏
-$3.57
成交量
$3,571.43
持仓数
Washington StateWashington State
CA6
CAcap事件盈亏
+$2.71
成交量
$2,092.40
持仓数
Washington StateUnder
CH7
chaeri事件盈亏
-$69.83
成交量
$1,949.15
持仓数
OverWashington State
SN8
SnakeBall事件盈亏
-$7.23
成交量
$1,635.88
持仓数
WashingtonOverWashington State+1
常见问题
当前市场对「Washington State vs. Washington」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，Spread -0.5 以 9,400% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 30.5（9,400%），以及 Spread -1.5（9,300%）。该市场总成交量已达 $67.7K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。