Washington vs. USC

$129.5K Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
概率趋势
USC 75.5%
Washington 24.5%

核心摘要

根据「Washington vs. USC」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 35.5 以压倒性的 9,350% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 37.5 以 9,250% 位居第二,O/U 39.5 以 8,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $129.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (9,350%):O/U 35.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,350¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 37.5 (9,250%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 37.5 保持着 9,250% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,250¢。
  • O/U 39.5 (8,850%):以 8,850% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 39.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 41.5 (8,750%)、O/U 43.5 (8,650%),以及 O/U 45.5 (7,800%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 47.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 35.59350.0%—9350¢-9250¢
2O/U 37.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
3O/U 39.58850.0%—8850¢-8750¢
4O/U 41.58750.0%—8750¢-8650¢
5O/U 43.58650.0%—8650¢-8550¢
6O/U 45.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
7O/U 47.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
81Q O/U 7.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
9Spread -0.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
10Spread -1.57400.0%—7400¢-7300¢
11Spread -2.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
12O/U 49.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
13Spread -3.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
14O/U 51.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
15USC O/U 23.56600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
16Spread -4.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
171Q O/U 10.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
181Q Moneyline6400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
191H Spread -2.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
20Spread -5.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
21Washington O/U 20.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
22O/U 53.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
23Spread -6.55900.0%$1155900¢-5800¢
24USC 1H O/U 14.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
251H O/U 27.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
26O/U 55.55650.0%$1.0K5650¢-5550¢
271Q O/U 13.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
281H O/U 24.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
29Washington O/U 23.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
302H Spread -2.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
311H Spread -4.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
322Q Spread -3.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
33Spread -7.55250.0%$8085250¢-5150¢
341Q Spread -2.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
35Spread -8.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
361H Spread -5.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
372H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
382H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
392H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
403Q Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
414Q Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
421H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
431H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
442H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
452Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
462Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
472Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
483Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
493Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
504Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
514Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
524Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
534Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
544Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Washington O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Washington O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Washington O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Washington 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Washington 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60USC 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61USC 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Washington 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Washington 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Washington 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65USC 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66USC 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67USC 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Washington vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Washington vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Washington vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115USC Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116USC Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Washington Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118USC Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Washington Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Washington Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121USC Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122USC Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123USC Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Washington Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Washington Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126USC Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Washington Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Washington vs. USC: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129USC Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130USC Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Washington vs. USC: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Washington vs. USC: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1332H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1342H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1351Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1361Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1371Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1382Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1412Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1423Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1433Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1443Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1453Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1464Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1474Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1484Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1494Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1502H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
151USC O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
152Washington O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1532Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1543Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1554Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
156Washington O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
157Spread -17.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
158O/U 57.54950.0%$904950¢-4850¢
1592Q O/U 16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1603Q O/U 7.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1613Q O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
162Spread -9.54950.0%$113.6K4950¢-4850¢
1634Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1643Q O/U 19.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
165USC O/U 35.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1661H Spread -6.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1672Q O/U 7.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
168Game Goes to Overtime4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1692H Spread -3.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1703Q Spread -2.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
1711H O/U 30.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1722H O/U 30.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
173USC O/U 26.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
174USC O/U 29.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
175USC O/U 32.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1761Q Spread -3.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
1772H Spread -4.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
1781Q O/U 16.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
179Spread -10.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
180O/U 59.54450.0%$54450¢-4350¢
1811H Spread -7.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
182O/U 61.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
183Spread -13.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
184Washington 1H O/U 15.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
1851H Spread -9.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
1862Q Spread -2.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
187Spread -14.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
188O/U 63.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
189Spread -16.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
1902H Spread -7.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
191O/U 65.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
192Spread -17.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
1931H Moneyline2900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
194O/U 67.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
195Washington vs. USC2450.0%$13.8K2450¢-2350¢
196Spread -20.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
197Spread -0.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
198O/U 69.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
1991Q O/U 19.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
200Spread -1.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
201Spread -2.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
2021Q Spread -7.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
203O/U 71.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
204Spread -20.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
205Spread -3.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
206Spread -4.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
207O/U 73.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
208Spread -5.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
209Spread -6.51300.0%$1151300¢-1200¢
210O/U 75.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
211Spread -7.5950.0%$808950¢-850¢
212Spread -8.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
213Spread -10.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
214Spread -13.5690.0%—690¢-590¢
215Spread -16.5685.0%—685¢-585¢
216Spread -14.5435.0%—435¢-335¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Washington and USC, scheduled for October 3 at 7:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game.

This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 2, 2026

  • 11:03 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $5.88

    Bought 12 USC for Spread: USC (-9.5) at 0.49

  • 10:41 PM
    ——
    $8.91

    Bought 18.57 USC for Spread: USC (-9.5) at 0.48

  • 09:08 PM
    LIlifeonrock
    $60.73

    Bought 101.21 USC for Spread: USC (-6.5) at 0.6

  • 09:07 PM
    LIlifeonrock
    $8.32

    Bought 14.1 USC for Spread: USC (-6.5) at 0.59

  • 09:00 PM
    CSCSBBB
    $5.00

    Bought 10.416667 USC for Spread: USC (-9.5) at 0.48

  • 08:43 PM
    NOnoob4dezenuts
    $26.70

    Bought 55.625 USC for Spread: USC (-9.5) at 0.48

  • 08:43 PM
    DZDZ002
    $2.00

    Bought 4.166667 USC for Spread: USC (-9.5) at 0.48

  • 08:43 PM
    ——
    $40.05

    Bought 83.43 USC for Spread: USC (-9.5) at 0.48

  • 08:43 PM
    ——
    $24.49

    Bought 52.106383 USC for Spread: USC (-9.5) at 0.47

  • 08:43 PM
    ARArielFilipino
    $5,940.00

    Bought 11000 Washington for Spread: USC (-9.5) at 0.54

  • 08:43 PM
    ASAshurnasirpal
    $1.70

    Bought 3.541667 USC for Spread: USC (-9.5) at 0.48

  • 08:43 PM
    ——
    $8.69

    Bought 18.49 USC for Spread: USC (-9.5) at 0.47

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AR1
ArielFilipino
事件盈亏
-$1,528.77
成交量
$63,671.99
持仓数
Washington
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$191.84
成交量
$38,418.00
持仓数
USCUSC
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$39.67
成交量
$38,311.54
持仓数
USCUSCWashington+3
MO4
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
+$1.66
成交量
$23,782.97
持仓数
Washington
MA5
MAGATheeStallion
事件盈亏
-$39.99
成交量
$7,999.00
持仓数
Washington
VE6
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$35.00
成交量
$5,000.00
持仓数
USCWashington
GA7
Gaditima
事件盈亏
+$7.50
成交量
$4,500.00
持仓数
USC
BE8
betabot
事件盈亏
-$18.96
成交量
$4,004.25
持仓数
Washington

常见问题

当前市场对「Washington vs. USC」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 9,350% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 37.5(9,250%),以及 O/U 39.5(8,850%)。该市场总成交量已达 $129.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始