VMI vs. Virginia Tech

$51.7K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
概率趋势
Virginia Tech 99.9%
VMI 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「VMI vs. Virginia Tech」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，1Q Spread -12.5 以压倒性的 9,050% 获胜概率主导市场；1Q Spread -13.5 以 9,050% 位居第二，1Q Spread -14.5 以 9,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $51.7K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • 1Q Spread -12.5 (9,050%)：1Q Spread -12.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,050¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • 1Q Spread -13.5 (9,050%)：作为最可行的替代选项，1Q Spread -13.5 保持着 9,050% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,050¢。
  • 1Q Spread -14.5 (9,050%)：以 9,050% 的概率位列第三，市场对 1Q Spread -14.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 1Q Spread -15.5 (9,050%)、1Q Spread -16.5 (9,050%)，以及 1Q Spread -11.5 (9,050%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 O/U 53.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
11Q Spread -12.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
21Q Spread -13.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
31Q Spread -14.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
41Q Spread -15.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
51Q Spread -16.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
61Q Spread -11.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
7O/U 53.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
8Spread -54.56600.0%$1.5K6600¢-6500¢
9Spread -55.56100.0%$4.9K6100¢-6000¢
10O/U 41.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
11Spread -51.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
12O/U 63.55650.0%$645650¢-5550¢
13O/U 62.55550.0%$2.5K5550¢-5450¢
14O/U 65.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
15O/U 61.55050.0%$5225050¢-4950¢
16Spread -0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
171H Spread -29.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
181H Spread -31.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
19O/U 44.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
20Spread: Virginia Tech (-50.5)5000.0%$15000¢-4900¢
21O/U 57.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Spread -56.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Spread -16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Spread -17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Spread -21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Spread -24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Spread -27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Spread -31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Spread -34.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42O/U 43.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43O/U 45.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44O/U 47.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45O/U 49.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46O/U 51.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47O/U 55.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48O/U 67.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49O/U 69.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50O/U 73.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51O/U 75.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52O/U 79.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53O/U 81.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
542H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
551H Spread -30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
561H Spread -32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
571H Spread -33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58VMI O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59VMI O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60VMI O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61O/U 42.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62O/U 46.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Virginia Tech O/U 52.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Virginia Tech O/U 55.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Virginia Tech O/U 58.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Virginia Tech O/U 61.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Virginia Tech O/U 64.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
682Q Spread -15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
692Q Spread -16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
702Q Spread -17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
712Q Spread -18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
722Q Spread -19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
731H Spread -28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
742Q Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Virginia Tech O/U 50.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Virginia Tech O/U 53.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Virginia Tech O/U 56.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Virginia Tech O/U 59.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Virginia Tech O/U 62.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80VMI O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81VMI O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82VMI O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83VMI O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Virginia Tech O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Virginia Tech O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Virginia Tech O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Virginia Tech O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88O/U 59.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
89O/U 71.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
90O/U 77.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
91VMI vs. Virginia Tech15.0%$42.2K15¢85¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:30PM ET:

If VMI wins, the market will resolve to "VMI".

If Virginia Tech wins, the market will resolve to "Virginia Tech".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 08:09 PM
    DODonnieDarko73253
    $42.98

    Bought 81.09 Under for VMI vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 61.5 at 0.53

  • 06:21 PM
    0X0xb5794FF8CE96b773701fE9333283915eEf5fF458-1729659432133
    $0.00

    Bought 1000 VMI for VMI vs. Virginia Tech at 0

  • 05:41 PM
    LUluckyguy168
    $1.00

    Bought 1.85185 VMI for Spread: Virginia Tech (-55.5) at 0.54

  • 05:36 PM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $2.55

    Bought 5 Virginia Tech for Spread: Virginia Tech (-54.5) at 0.51

  • 05:01 PM
    OLOlivier987
    $27.30

    Bought 58.085105 Virginia Tech for Spread: Virginia Tech (-55.5) at 0.47

  • 04:54 PM
    KOkoxma
    $8.05

    Bought 15.78 Virginia Tech for Spread: Virginia Tech (-54.5) at 0.51

  • 04:44 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $1,748.14

    Bought 3237.289443 VMI for Spread: Virginia Tech (-55.5) at 0.54

  • 04:44 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $14.85

    Bought 27.5 VMI for Spread: Virginia Tech (-55.5) at 0.54

  • 04:44 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $29.97

    Bought 55.5 VMI for Spread: Virginia Tech (-55.5) at 0.54

  • 04:38 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $535.49

    Bought 1115.61 VMI for Spread: Virginia Tech (-54.5) at 0.48

  • 03:30 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $60.47

    Bought 125.97959 Virginia Tech for Spread: Virginia Tech (-55.5) at 0.48

  • 03:10 PM
    SHsherman1234
    $8.74

    Bought 19 Over for VMI vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 62.5 at 0.46

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

031
033033033
事件盈亏
+$18.20
成交量
$42,096.00
持仓数
Virginia Tech
1B2
0x1B42…0748
事件盈亏
-$14.97
成交量
$30,000.00
持仓数
VMI
DA3
Davin728
事件盈亏
-$2.99
成交量
$6,000.00
持仓数
VMI
C64
0xC61d…9738
事件盈亏
-$2.50
成交量
$5,000.00
持仓数
VMI
UP5
UpTheBlues
事件盈亏
-$33.04
成交量
$3,194.31
持仓数
VMI
FB6
0xfB07…2542
事件盈亏
+$29.96
成交量
$2,995.90
持仓数
Virginia Tech
HO7
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$1,009.15
成交量
$2,346.55
持仓数
VMIVMIOver+1
MO8
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
+$1,029.04
成交量
$1,953.62
持仓数
VMIUnder

常见问题

当前市场对「VMI vs. Virginia Tech」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，1Q Spread -12.5 以 9,050% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 1Q Spread -13.5（9,050%），以及 1Q Spread -14.5（9,050%）。该市场总成交量已达 $51.7K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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