UTSA vs. Texas State

$80.8K Vol
2026年9月12日
Active
概率趋势
Texas State 61.5%
UTSA 38.5%

核心摘要

根据「UTSA vs. Texas State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,3Q O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 9,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -3.5 以 6,200% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 5,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $80.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 3Q O/U 8.5 (9,050%):3Q O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -3.5 (6,200%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -3.5 保持着 6,200% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,200¢。
  • Spread -1.5 (5,550%):以 5,550% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -4.5 (5,350%)、O/U 62.5 (5,350%),以及 Spread -2.5 (5,250%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -6.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
13Q O/U 8.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
2Spread -3.56200.0%$136200¢-6100¢
3Spread -1.55550.0%$6.0K5550¢-5450¢
4Spread -4.55350.0%$85350¢-5250¢
5O/U 62.55350.0%5350¢-5250¢
6Spread -2.55250.0%$1655250¢-5150¢
7Spread -6.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
8O/U 46.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
9O/U 52.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
10Spread -3.55050.0%$135050¢-4950¢
11UTSA O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12UTSA O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13UTSA O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14UTSA O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Texas State O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Texas State O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Texas State O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Texas State O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Spread -0.55000.0%$95000¢-4900¢
20Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Spread -17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Spread -20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Spread -21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Spread -24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Spread -27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Spread -31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Spread -34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28O/U 44.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29O/U 48.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30O/U 50.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31O/U 54.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32O/U 56.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33O/U 60.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34O/U 68.55000.0%$1.0K5000¢-4900¢
35O/U 72.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36O/U 74.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37O/U 78.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38O/U 80.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39O/U 84.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
402H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
412H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
422H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
432H Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
442H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
453Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
463Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
473Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
483Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
494Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
504Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
514Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
524Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
53UTSA O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
54UTSA O/U 30.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
55UTSA O/U 33.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
56UTSA O/U 36.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
57UTSA O/U 39.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
58Texas State O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
59Texas State O/U 31.55000.0%$1145000¢-4900¢
60Texas State O/U 34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
61Texas State O/U 37.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
62Texas State O/U 40.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
63Texas State O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
64UTSA O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
65Texas State O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
66Texas State O/U 30.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
67Texas State O/U 33.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
68Texas State O/U 36.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
69Texas State O/U 39.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
703Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
713Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
723Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
73Texas State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
74Texas State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
75Texas State 2H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
76UTSA 2H O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
77UTSA 2H O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
78UTSA 2H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
79UTSA O/U 25.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
80UTSA O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81UTSA O/U 31.55000.0%$75000¢-4900¢
82UTSA O/U 34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
83UTSA O/U 37.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
84UTSA 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
85UTSA 2H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
86UTSA 2H O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
87Texas State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
88Texas State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
89Texas State 2H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
90UTSA O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
91UTSA O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
92UTSA O/U 32.55000.0%$135000¢-4900¢
93UTSA O/U 35.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
94UTSA O/U 38.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
95Brad Jackson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
96Will Henderson III: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
97Beau Sparks: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
98Chris Dawn Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
99AJ Wilson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
100Torrance Burgess Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
101Brandon High Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
102Jaylen Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
103Davian Jackson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
104A'Marion Peterson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
105David Amador II: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
106Brandon Young Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
107Tucker Cusano: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
108Mekhi Anderson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
109Owen McCown: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
110Jordan Martin: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
111DJ Allen: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
112T.J. West: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
113Miles Campbell: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
114Jamel Hardy: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
115Spread -18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
116Spread -15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
117Spread -12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
118Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
119Spread -0.55000.0%$95000¢-4900¢
120Spread -12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
121Spread -15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
122Spread -18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
123Spread -19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
124Spread -22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1252H Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1262H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1272H O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1282H O/U 30.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1292H O/U 33.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1302H O/U 36.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1312H O/U 39.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1323Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1333Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1343Q O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1353Q O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1363Q O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1373Q O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1384Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1394Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1404Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1414Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1424Q O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1434Q O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1444Q O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1454Q O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1464Q O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1472H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1482H Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1492H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
150UTSA 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
151Spread -5.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
152O/U 82.54925.0%4925¢-4825¢
153Spread -6.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
154O/U 63.54850.0%$1164850¢-4750¢
155Spread -10.54850.0%$154850¢-4750¢
156Spread -14.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
157O/U 58.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
158Spread -14.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
159Spread -9.54850.0%$2024850¢-4750¢
160Spread -11.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
161O/U 65.54700.0%$5474700¢-4600¢
162Spread -4.54650.0%$84650¢-4550¢
163Spread -2.54650.0%$1654650¢-4550¢
164Spread -1.54600.0%$6.0K4600¢-4500¢
165O/U 66.54400.0%$14.2K4400¢-4300¢
166Spread -5.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
167O/U 76.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
168Spread -13.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
169O/U 70.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
170Spread -7.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
171UTSA vs. Texas State3500.0%$53.4K3500¢-3400¢
172Spread -16.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
173O/U 64.51550.0%$6.1K1550¢-1450¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between UTSA and Texas State, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "UTSA" if UTSA win the game.

This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 12, 2026

  • 09:16 PM
    $2.10

    Bought 3 Texas State for UTSA vs. Texas State at 0.7

  • 09:15 PM
    $2.10

    Bought 3 Texas State for UTSA vs. Texas State at 0.7

  • 09:14 PM
    IAIAmDoom
    $1.51

    Bought 2.188406 Texas State for UTSA vs. Texas State at 0.69

  • 09:14 PM
    SOsolstice2025
    $6.05

    Bought 8.768116 Texas State for UTSA vs. Texas State at 0.69

  • 09:14 PM
    BIbig-bird1
    $1.80

    Bought 2.608696 Texas State for UTSA vs. Texas State at 0.69

  • 09:14 PM
    SOsolstice2025
    $19.46

    Bought 28.617646 Texas State for UTSA vs. Texas State at 0.68

  • 09:14 PM
    MAmarigliano
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 Texas State for UTSA vs. Texas State at 0.68

  • 09:14 PM
    IAIAmDoom
    $4.86

    Bought 7.147059 Texas State for UTSA vs. Texas State at 0.68

  • 09:10 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $6.20

    Bought 10 Texas State for UTSA vs. Texas State at 0.62

  • 09:10 PM
    $1.83

    Bought 3 Texas State for UTSA vs. Texas State at 0.61

  • 09:09 PM
    $1.89

    Bought 3 Texas State for UTSA vs. Texas State at 0.63

  • 09:07 PM
    $1.80

    Bought 3 Texas State for UTSA vs. Texas State at 0.6

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

FL1
Flipadelphia
事件盈亏
+$41.04
成交量
$8,220.06
持仓数
Texas StateTexas State
IM2
imjustkenisghey
事件盈亏
+$30.86
成交量
$6,198.44
持仓数
UTSA
3D3
0x3DFb…8185
事件盈亏
-$167.26
成交量
$6,004.43
持仓数
OverOver
VE4
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$21.38
成交量
$6,002.25
持仓数
UTSAOverOver+6
CH5
ChampGamp
事件盈亏
-$29.77
成交量
$5,955.38
持仓数
Texas State
WR6
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
-$20.55
成交量
$4,109.00
持仓数
UTSA
UP7
UpTheBlues
事件盈亏
-$16.05
成交量
$3,211.40
持仓数
Under
MO8
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$16.37
成交量
$2,988.13
持仓数
Texas StateUTSA

常见问题

当前市场对「UTSA vs. Texas State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,3Q O/U 8.5 以 9,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -3.5(6,200%),以及 Spread -1.5(5,550%)。该市场总成交量已达 $80.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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