USC vs. Penn State

$586.8K Vol
2026年10月11日
Active
概率趋势
USC 50.5%
Penn State 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「USC vs. Penn State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 37.5 以压倒性的 9,860% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 43.5 以 9,830% 位居第二,O/U 47.5 以 9,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $586.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 37.5 (9,860%):O/U 37.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,860¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $28 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 43.5 (9,830%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 43.5 保持着 9,830% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,830¢。
  • O/U 47.5 (9,250%):以 9,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 47.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 49.5 (9,150%)、USC O/U 20.5 (9,150%),以及 USC O/U 23.5 (8,900%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 51.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 37.59860.0%$289860¢-9760¢
2O/U 43.59830.0%—9830¢-9730¢
3O/U 47.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
4O/U 49.59150.0%$4069150¢-9050¢
5USC O/U 20.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
6USC O/U 23.58900.0%—8900¢-8800¢
7O/U 51.58750.0%$8518750¢-8650¢
84Q O/U 7.58550.0%—8550¢-8450¢
9O/U 53.58500.0%$2.5K8500¢-8400¢
10Penn State O/U 23.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
11O/U 45.58000.0%$138000¢-7900¢
12O/U 41.57795.0%$57795¢-7695¢
13O/U 55.57400.0%$44.1K7400¢-7300¢
144Q O/U 10.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
15Spread -0.57100.0%$6997100¢-7000¢
163Q O/U 7.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
17O/U 57.56650.0%$8.7K6650¢-6550¢
182H O/U 30.56500.0%$1496500¢-6400¢
19O/U 63.56000.0%$1626000¢-5900¢
20O/U 59.55950.0%$1.6K5950¢-5850¢
214Q O/U 13.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
22O/U 35.55305.0%—5305¢-5205¢
233Q O/U 16.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
24USC vs. Penn State5150.0%$457.9K5150¢-5050¢
25Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
26Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
27Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
28O/U 39.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29O/U 61.55000.0%$6265000¢-4900¢
302H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
312H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33USC O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34USC O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Penn State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Penn State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Penn State O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38USC 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39USC 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40USC 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Penn State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Penn State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Penn State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85USC Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86USC Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87USC Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90USC Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92USC Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93USC Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96USC Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97USC Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98USC Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101USC vs. Penn State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102USC vs. Penn State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103USC vs. Penn State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1042H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1052H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1062H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1073Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1083Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1093Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1104Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1114Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1124Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1132H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114USC O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1151H Moneyline5000.0%$4715000¢-4900¢
1162Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1173Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1184Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Spread -0.54950.0%$6994950¢-4850¢
120USC O/U 32.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
121Penn State O/U 32.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1222H Spread -1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1233Q Spread -1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
124Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
125Penn State O/U 3.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
126Spread -1.54700.0%$14.2K4700¢-4600¢
127Spread -1.54700.0%$14.2K4700¢-4600¢
128Spread -2.54550.0%$10.1K4550¢-4450¢
1292H O/U 27.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1303Q Spread -2.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
131Spread -2.54350.0%$10.1K4350¢-4250¢
1324Q O/U 16.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1334Q Spread -1.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
1343Q O/U 10.53750.0%$103750¢-3650¢
1352H Spread -3.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
136Spread -3.53700.0%$1.2K3700¢-3600¢
137O/U 69.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
1384Q Spread -2.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
1392H Spread -3.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
140O/U 71.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
1413Q O/U 13.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
1424Q O/U 19.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
143Spread -3.53050.0%$1.2K3050¢-2950¢
144Spread -8.53050.0%$53050¢-2950¢
145O/U 67.53050.0%$1.0K3050¢-2950¢
146O/U 65.53000.0%$123000¢-2900¢
147Spread -4.52900.0%$1.2K2900¢-2800¢
148Spread -5.52750.0%$8622750¢-2650¢
149Spread -4.52650.0%$1.2K2650¢-2550¢
150Spread -5.52550.0%$8622550¢-2450¢
151Spread -6.52450.0%$4.4K2450¢-2350¢
1524Q Spread -3.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
153Spread -6.52300.0%$4.4K2300¢-2200¢
1543Q Spread -3.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
155O/U 75.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
156Spread -7.51700.0%$101700¢-1600¢
157Spread -7.51700.0%$101700¢-1600¢
1583Q O/U 19.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
159O/U 73.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
160Spread -8.51300.0%$51300¢-1200¢
161Spread -10.51200.0%$1.4K1200¢-1100¢
162Spread -10.51000.0%$1.4K1000¢-900¢
163Spread -20.5950.0%$49950¢-850¢
164Spread -13.5900.0%$9900¢-800¢
165Spread -13.5750.0%$9750¢-650¢
166Spread -14.5700.0%$75700¢-600¢
167Spread -14.5650.0%$75650¢-550¢
168Spread -17.5595.0%$895595¢-495¢
169Spread -17.5590.0%$895590¢-490¢
170Spread -16.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
171Spread -16.5495.0%—495¢-395¢
172Spread -20.5470.0%$49470¢-370¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between USC and Penn State, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game.

This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 11:26 PM
    WIWilliMekkit
    $2.65

    Bought 5 USC for USC vs. Penn State: 1H Moneyline at 0.53

  • 11:26 PM
    ——
    $224.68

    Bought 423.924529 USC for USC vs. Penn State: 1H Moneyline at 0.53

  • 11:26 PM
    ——
    $21.66

    Bought 41.65 USC for USC vs. Penn State: 1H Moneyline at 0.52

  • 11:25 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $4.60

    Bought 10 USC for 1H Spread: USC (-1.5) at 0.46

  • 10:05 PM
    GCgczap3344
    $4.00

    Bought 7.54717 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.53

  • 10:02 PM
    PEPEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN
    $1,422.11

    Bought 2734.83 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52

  • 10:02 PM
    MImircnda
    $243.05

    Bought 467.4 USC for Spread: Penn State (-1.5) at 0.52

  • 10:00 PM
    EFEfb1
    $20.00

    Bought 40 USC for USC vs. Penn State at 0.5

  • 09:59 PM
    SCscscsa
    $2.60

    Bought 5 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52

  • 09:59 PM
    MAMasterSparks69
    $8.49

    Bought 16.326922 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52

  • 09:59 PM
    0X0x0abdea0ECe95A
    $4.32

    Bought 8.307693 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52

  • 09:59 PM
    NInigiri99
    $512.20

    Bought 985 Under for USC vs. Penn State: O/U 55.5 at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

GM1
gmpm2
事件盈亏
+$148.81
成交量
$17,829.83
持仓数
USC
MO2
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
+$113.58
成交量
$8,468.51
持仓数
USCPenn StateOver+2
CH3
ChampGamp
事件盈亏
-$291.66
成交量
$8,333.33
持仓数
Penn State
KI4
kingflop
事件盈亏
-$16.82
成交量
$6,486.54
持仓数
OverPenn State
PE5
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN
事件盈亏
+$30.59
成交量
$6,116.75
持仓数
Under
BO6
BoggsFromShawshank
事件盈亏
+$204.07
成交量
$5,830.70
持仓数
USC
JA7
JAMJAMJAM4
事件盈亏
-$85.99
成交量
$5,732.99
持仓数
Penn State
HO8
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$4.76
成交量
$3,581.39
持仓数
OverOverPenn State+2

常见问题

当前市场对「USC vs. Penn State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 37.5 以 9,860% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 43.5(9,830%),以及 O/U 47.5(9,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $586.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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