UNLV vs. Hawai'i
$507.3K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
概率趋势
UNLV 66.5%
Hawai'i 33.5%
核心摘要
根据「UNLV vs. Hawai'i」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，O/U 39.5 以压倒性的 7,650% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 51.5 以 6,200% 位居第二，O/U 45.5 以 6,150% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $507.3K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- O/U 39.5 (7,650%)：O/U 39.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,650¢，显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- O/U 51.5 (6,200%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 51.5 保持着 6,200% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,200¢。
- O/U 45.5 (6,150%)：以 6,150% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 45.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 UNLV vs. Hawai'i (5,850%)、Spread -2.5 (5,400%)，以及 Spread -1.5 (5,300%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Spread: UNLV (-3.5) 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 39.5 | 7650.0% | — | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 2 | O/U 51.5 | 6200.0% | — | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 3 | O/U 45.5 | 6150.0% | — | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 4 | UNLV vs. Hawai'i | 5850.0% | $479.4K | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 5 | Spread -2.5 | 5400.0% | $3.9K | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 6 | Spread -1.5 | 5300.0% | $401 | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 7 | Spread: UNLV (-3.5) | 5200.0% | $1.2K | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 8 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | $188 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Spread -21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Spread -24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Spread -27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Spread -31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Spread -34.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | O/U 37.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | O/U 41.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | O/U 43.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | O/U 49.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | O/U 53.5 | 5000.0% | $64 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | O/U 61.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | O/U 65.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | O/U 67.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | O/U 71.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | O/U 73.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | O/U 77.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | 1H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | 1H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | $21 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | 1H Moneyline | 5000.0% | $287 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 1Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 1Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 2Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | 2Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 2Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | UNLV O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | UNLV O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | UNLV O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | UNLV O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | UNLV O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Hawai'i O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Hawai'i O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Hawai'i O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Hawai'i O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Hawai'i 1H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Hawai'i 1H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Hawai'i 1H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | UNLV 1H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | UNLV 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | UNLV 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Hawai'i 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Hawai'i 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Hawai'i 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | UNLV 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | UNLV 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | UNLV 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Hawai'i O/U 20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Hawai'i O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Hawai'i O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Hawai'i O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Hawai'i O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | UNLV 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | UNLV 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | UNLV 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | UNLV O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | UNLV O/U 25.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | UNLV O/U 28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | UNLV O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | UNLV O/U 34.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | UNLV O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Hawai'i O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Jai'Den Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Jackson Arnold: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Blaze Kamoku: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Tama Uiliata: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Jaylon Glover: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Cam Barfield: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | DeVon Rice: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Devin Alves: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Micah Alejado: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | DeAngelo Irvin Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Taeshaun Lyons: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Carson Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Kayden McGee: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Audric Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Keyan Burnett: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Taz Reddicks: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Darrien Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Tavian McNair: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Tre Griffiths: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Diezel Kamoku: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Kainoa Carvalho: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Peyton Zachary: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Matt Byrnes: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | 2Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | UNLV O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | UNLV O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | UNLV O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | UNLV O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | Hawai'i O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Hawai'i O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | Hawai'i O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Hawai'i O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | UNLV O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | UNLV O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | UNLV O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | UNLV O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | UNLV O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | UNLV 1H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | UNLV 1H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 131 | UNLV 1H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 132 | Spread -5.5 | 4900.0% | $8 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 133 | O/U 54.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 134 | O/U 57.5 | 4250.0% | $1.1K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 135 | Spread -4.5 | 4150.0% | $179 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 136 | O/U 55.5 | 4100.0% | $20.1K | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 137 | O/U 56.5 | 3900.0% | $150 | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 138 | 1H Spread -3.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 139 | 1H Spread -4.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 140 | Spread -6.5 | 3700.0% | $39 | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 141 | O/U 47.5 | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 142 | Spread -7.5 | 3650.0% | $56 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 143 | O/U 58.5 | 3550.0% | $81 | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 144 | Hawai'i O/U 21.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 145 | O/U 59.5 | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 146 | Spread -16.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 147 | O/U 63.5 | 3100.0% | — | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 148 | 1H Spread -2.5 | 3100.0% | $41 | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 149 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 3000.0% | $5 | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 150 | Spread -10.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 151 | Spread -14.5 | 2800.0% | $23 | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 152 | Spread -17.5 | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 153 | Spread -20.5 | 2250.0% | $21 | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
| 154 | Spread -13.5 | 2150.0% | $5 | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 155 | O/U 75.5 | 1900.0% | — | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 156 | O/U 69.5 | 1350.0% | — | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:00PM ET:
If UNLV wins, the market will resolve to "UNLV".
If Hawai'i wins, the market will resolve to "Hawai'i".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 5, 2026
- 07:21 PMPEpekpym$2.00
Bought 4.651161 Over for UNLV vs. Hawai'i: O/U 57.5 at 0.43
- 07:19 PMNInigiri99$887.98
Bought 1531 UNLV for UNLV vs. Hawai'i at 0.58
- 07:13 PMLUluckyguy168$2.00
Bought 3.703702 Under for UNLV vs. Hawai'i: O/U 56.5 at 0.54
- 07:07 PMDFDFY$9.19
Bought 21.372092 Hawaii for UNLV vs. Hawai'i at 0.43
- 06:11 PMMYmyfatsarearmour$28.00
Bought 48.275861 UNLV for UNLV vs. Hawai'i at 0.58
- 06:10 PMPUpurplegatto$6.30
Bought 15 UNLV for Spread: UNLV (-6.5) at 0.42
- 06:03 PMTITimPenis$1.18
Bought 2.744185 Hawaii for UNLV vs. Hawai'i at 0.43
- 05:26 PMLUluckyguy168$2.00
Bought 3.703702 Under for UNLV vs. Hawai'i: O/U 56.5 at 0.54
- 03:23 PMTRtr3vorx$25.00
Bought 58.139533 Hawaii for UNLV vs. Hawai'i at 0.43
- 03:13 PMYUyuyakowako$60.00
Bought 113.207546 Under for UNLV vs. Hawai'i: O/U 56.5 at 0.53
- 03:13 PM——$91.50
Bought 163.392856 Hawaii for Spread: UNLV (-3.5) at 0.56
- 01:54 PMCHChampGamp$1,000.00
Bought 1724.13793 UNLV for UNLV vs. Hawai'i at 0.58
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
SA1
Sassy-Bucket事件盈亏
+$46,319.56
成交量
$399,999.90
持仓数
UNLV
WR2
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r事件盈亏
-$21,333.58
成交量
$196,660.07
持仓数
Hawai'iOverHawai'i+1
3D3
0x3DFb…8185事件盈亏
-$11,522.03
成交量
$81,464.44
持仓数
Hawai'i
NI4
nigiri99事件盈亏
-$8,950.54
成交量
$76,098.00
持仓数
Hawai'iHawai'iUNLV
HO5
HomeRunHazard事件盈亏
-$6,707.58
成交量
$61,541.45
持仓数
Hawai'iUnderHawai'i+4
RN6
RN1事件盈亏
+$3,341.12
成交量
$23,128.45
持仓数
UNLVHawai'iHawai'i+1
VI7
VigorishVault事件盈亏
+$1,572.82
成交量
$14,298.25
持仓数
UNLV
IA8
IAmHomelessNow事件盈亏
-$57.75
成交量
$11,551.72
持仓数
UNLV
常见问题
当前市场对「UNLV vs. Hawai'i」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，O/U 39.5 以 7,650% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 51.5（6,200%），以及 O/U 45.5（6,150%）。该市场总成交量已达 $507.3K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。