
Kentucky vs. Texas A&M
核心摘要
根据「Kentucky vs. Texas A&M」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Spread -2.5 以压倒性的 5,150% 获胜概率主导市场;Kentucky vs. Texas A&M 以 5,000% 位居第二,2H Moneyline 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $231.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Spread -2.5 (5,150%):Spread -2.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,150¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Kentucky vs. Texas A&M (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Kentucky vs. Texas A&M 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- 2H Moneyline (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 2H Moneyline 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Kentucky O/U 1.5 (5,000%)、Texas A&M O/U 4.5 (5,000%),以及 1H Moneyline (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 1Q Moneyline 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread -2.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 2 | Kentucky vs. Texas A&M | 5000.0% | $55.1K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Kentucky O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Texas A&M O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | 1H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | 1Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | $1.0K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | $100 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | $1.0K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | $1 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | $10 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Spread -10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Spread -11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Spread -12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Spread -13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Spread -14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Spread -15.5 | 5000.0% | $11.2K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Spread -16.5 | 5000.0% | $58.4K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Spread -17.5 | 5000.0% | $65.2K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Spread -18.5 | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Spread -19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Spread -21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Spread -22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Spread -23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Spread -24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Spread -26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Spread -29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Spread -30.5 | 5000.0% | $250 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Spread -32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Spread -33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Spread -36.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | O/U 37.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | O/U 39.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | O/U 41.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | O/U 43.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | O/U 45.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | O/U 47.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | O/U 49.5 | 5000.0% | $41.5K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | O/U 51.5 | 5000.0% | $199 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | O/U 53.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | O/U 55.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | O/U 57.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | O/U 59.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | O/U 61.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | O/U 63.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | O/U 65.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | O/U 67.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | O/U 69.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | 1H Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | 1H Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | 1H Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | $2.4K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | 1H Spread -10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | 1H Spread -11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | 1H Spread -13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | 1H O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 1H O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | 1H O/U 25.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | 1H O/U 28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | 1H O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | 2H Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | 2H Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | 2H Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | 2H Spread -11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | 2H O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | 2H O/U 20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | 2H O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | 2H O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | 2H O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | 1Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | 1Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | 1Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | 1Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | 1Q Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | 1Q O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | 1Q O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | 1Q O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | 1Q O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | 1Q O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | 2Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | 2Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | 2Q Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | 2Q Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | 2Q Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | 2Q O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | 2Q O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | 2Q O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | 2Q O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | 2Q O/U 20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | 3Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | 3Q Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | 3Q O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | Kentucky O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | Kentucky O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | Kentucky O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | $860 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | Kentucky O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | Kentucky O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | Texas A&M O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 131 | Texas A&M O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 132 | Texas A&M O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 133 | Texas A&M O/U 36.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 134 | Texas A&M O/U 39.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 135 | Kentucky 1H O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 136 | Kentucky 1H O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 137 | Kentucky 1H O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 138 | Texas A&M 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 139 | Texas A&M 1H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 140 | Texas A&M 1H O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 141 | Kentucky 2H O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 142 | Kentucky 2H O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 143 | Kentucky 2H O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 144 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 145 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 146 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 147 | 2Q Spread -2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 148 | 4Q Spread -7.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Kentucky and Texas A&M, scheduled for September 19 at 3:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Kentucky" if Kentucky win the game.
This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 19, 2026
- 10:25 AMSAsallu076$0.09
Sold 0.2 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-17.5) at 0.45
- 09:31 AM——$1.50
Bought 11.538462 Kentucky for Kentucky vs. Texas A&M at 0.13
- 09:31 AMNInigiri99$41.36
Bought 47 Texas A&M for Kentucky vs. Texas A&M at 0.88
- 08:38 AM——$1.50
Bought 11.538462 Kentucky for Kentucky vs. Texas A&M at 0.13
- 08:38 AMNInigiri99$41.36
Bought 47 Texas A&M for Kentucky vs. Texas A&M at 0.88
- 08:20 AMNInigiri99$7.04
Bought 8 Texas A&M for Kentucky vs. Texas A&M at 0.88
- 06:06 AMNInigiri99$4.50
Bought 9 Over for Kentucky Team Total: O/U 16.5 at 0.5
- 05:17 AMJCjcasino$108.00
Bought 200 Kentucky for Spread: Texas A&M (-17.5) at 0.54
- 04:34 AMMOmooseborzoi$16.32
Bought 30.22 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-15.5) at 0.54
- 04:31 AMFOForecastication2$9.18
Bought 18 Texas A&M for 1H Spread: Texas A&M (-9.5) at 0.51
- 04:24 AM——$6.90
Bought 10 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-9.5) at 0.69
- 04:19 AM——$8.00
Bought 9.090908 Texas A&M for Kentucky vs. Texas A&M at 0.88
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Kentucky vs. Texas A&M」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Spread -2.5 以 5,150% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Kentucky vs. Texas A&M(5,000%),以及 2H Moneyline(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $231.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
