UAB vs. Memphis

$219.4K Vol
2026年10月11日
Active
概率趋势
Memphis 94.5%
UAB 5.5%

核心摘要

根据「UAB vs. Memphis」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 41.5 以压倒性的 9,895% 获胜概率主导市场；Spread -1.5 以 9,740% 位居第二，Spread -2.5 以 9,710% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $219.4K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 41.5 (9,895%)：O/U 41.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,895¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $11 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,740%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Spread -1.5 保持着 9,740% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,740¢。
  • Spread -2.5 (9,710%)：以 9,710% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Spread -2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 Spread -3.5 (9,450%)、Spread -4.5 (9,350%)，以及 Spread -5.5 (9,000%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Spread -6.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 41.59895.0%$119895¢-9795¢
2Spread -1.59740.0%—9740¢-9640¢
3Spread -2.59710.0%—9710¢-9610¢
4Spread -3.59450.0%$17.7K9450¢-9350¢
5Spread -4.59350.0%$2769350¢-9250¢
6Spread -5.59000.0%$4779000¢-8900¢
7Spread -6.58900.0%$1.5K8900¢-8800¢
8Spread -7.58800.0%$288800¢-8700¢
9Spread -9.58550.0%$8.1K8550¢-8450¢
10Spread -10.58250.0%$2.2K8250¢-8150¢
11Spread -8.58100.0%$1.9K8100¢-8000¢
12Spread -12.57900.0%$3707900¢-7800¢
13Spread -11.57300.0%$4.7K7300¢-7200¢
14O/U 47.57250.0%$18.7K7250¢-7150¢
15Spread -13.57100.0%$2.5K7100¢-7000¢
16O/U 43.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
17Spread -14.56900.0%$63.1K6900¢-6800¢
18O/U 45.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
19Spread -15.56350.0%$8376350¢-6250¢
20Spread -17.56200.0%$1436200¢-6100¢
21Spread -16.56000.0%$386000¢-5900¢
22O/U 49.55750.0%$345750¢-5650¢
23O/U 37.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
24O/U 39.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
25Memphis O/U 26.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
26Memphis O/U 29.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
27Memphis 2H O/U 14.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
28Memphis 2H O/U 16.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
293Q Spread -0.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
303Q Spread -2.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
313Q Spread -3.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
323Q Spread -4.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
333Q Spread -5.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
343Q Spread -7.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
35Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 21.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
36Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37O/U 73.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38O/U 75.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
392H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
412H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
422H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
432H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
444Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
454Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
464Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
474Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
484Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49UAB O/U 20.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
50UAB O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51UAB O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52UAB O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Memphis O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Memphis O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55UAB 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56UAB 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57UAB 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66UAB vs. Memphis: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67UAB vs. Memphis: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68UAB vs. Memphis: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69UAB Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70UAB Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73UAB Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75UAB Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76UAB Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77UAB Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Memphis Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80UAB Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81UAB Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83UAB Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85UAB Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Memphis Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87UAB Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Memphis Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91UAB 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93UAB 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95UAB Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96UAB Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97UAB Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Memphis Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101UAB Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102UAB Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103UAB Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Memphis Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107UAB Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108UAB Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109UAB Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111UAB vs. Memphis: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112UAB vs. Memphis: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113UAB vs. Memphis: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1142H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1152H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1162H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1172H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1182H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1192H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1204Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1214Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1224Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1234Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1244Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1254Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1262H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127UAB O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Memphis O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1294Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Spread -20.54950.0%$1844950¢-4850¢
131Spread -17.54950.0%$1434950¢-4850¢
132Spread -16.54950.0%$384950¢-4850¢
133Spread -14.54950.0%$63.1K4950¢-4850¢
134Spread -13.54950.0%$2.5K4950¢-4850¢
135Spread -8.54950.0%$1.9K4950¢-4850¢
136Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
137UAB Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
138Memphis Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
139Memphis Total First Downs: O/U 19.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1403Q O/U 16.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1413Q O/U 19.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
142Both Teams to Score Points - Q34700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1433Q Moneyline4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
144O/U 51.54550.0%$1.1K4550¢-4450¢
145Spread -18.54350.0%$4.4K4350¢-4250¢
146O/U 53.54200.0%$12.9K4200¢-4100¢
147Spread -19.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
148O/U 63.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
149O/U 67.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
150O/U 69.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
1511Q Moneyline3500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
152Spread -28.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
153O/U 55.53250.0%$1.1K3250¢-3150¢
154O/U 57.53250.0%$11.6K3250¢-3150¢
155Spread -20.53200.0%$1843200¢-3100¢
156Spread -21.53050.0%$2393050¢-2950¢
157Spread -24.52770.0%$1522770¢-2670¢
158Spread -22.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
159UAB O/U 23.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
160O/U 59.51900.0%$4091900¢-1800¢
161O/U 61.51750.0%$251750¢-1650¢
162Spread -27.51560.0%$2481560¢-1460¢
163Spread -31.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
164Spread -34.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
165Spread -30.51200.0%—1200¢-1100¢
166O/U 65.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
167O/U 71.5405.0%—405¢-305¢
168Spread -4.5375.0%$276375¢-275¢
169Spread -5.5325.0%$477325¢-225¢
170Spread -1.5285.0%—285¢-185¢
171Spread -6.5215.0%$1.5K215¢-115¢
172Spread -3.5210.0%$17.7K210¢-110¢
173Spread -7.5165.0%$28165¢-65¢
174Spread -2.5165.0%—165¢-65¢
175Spread -10.590.0%$2.2K90¢10¢
176UAB vs. Memphis30.0%$56.5K30¢70¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between UAB and Memphis, scheduled for October 10 at 1:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "UAB" if UAB win the game.

This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 11:51 PM
    0X0x2fFD00D41908E377968e9d42351C652E1b09E7C6-1765509408610
    $4.91

    Bought 8.77 Memphis for Spread: Memphis (-11.5) at 0.56

  • 11:51 PM
    BOBOB6633
    $2.85

    Bought 5 UAB for Spread: Memphis (-15.5) at 0.57

  • 11:51 PM
    0X0xc976cbfEa6636488fAbcE2B29ed7d5C1d12Ac147-1789895696530
    $1.93

    Bought 3.327585 UAB for Spread: Memphis (-15.5) at 0.58

  • 11:51 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $168.00

    Bought 365.22 Memphis for Spread: Memphis (-15.5) at 0.46

  • 11:48 PM
    0X0x276d3C3BB248b3F9eCda08503818FC3638E2Ea8f-1772584955589
    $5.12

    Bought 8.98 UAB for Spread: Memphis (-11.5) at 0.57

  • 11:48 PM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 3.508772 UAB for Spread: Memphis (-11.5) at 0.57

  • 11:48 PM
    AMAmericaFirst1
    $2.82

    Bought 5.423077 UAB for Spread: Memphis (-9.5) at 0.52

  • 11:48 PM
    BOBOB6633
    $2.60

    Bought 5 UAB for Spread: Memphis (-9.5) at 0.52

  • 11:48 PM
    0X0x05b35deBb8D22aC68D8DD4F1b99bCD8Fc0CB45C3-1790760001602
    $5.00

    Bought 8.77193 UAB for Spread: Memphis (-11.5) at 0.57

  • 11:48 PM
    AMAmericaFirst1
    $66.27

    Bought 116.263158 UAB for Spread: Memphis (-11.5) at 0.57

  • 11:48 PM
    BOBOB6633
    $3.31

    Bought 5.81 UAB for Spread: Memphis (-11.5) at 0.57

  • 11:48 PM
    0X0x05b35deBb8D22aC68D8DD4F1b99bCD8Fc0CB45C3-1790760001602
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615385 UAB for Spread: Memphis (-9.5) at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AR1
ArielFilipino
事件盈亏
-$107.52
成交量
$21,600.00
持仓数
Memphis
HO2
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$176.08
成交量
$12,579.32
持仓数
UABOverOver+4
FO3
Forecastication2
事件盈亏
-$58.26
成交量
$10,707.00
持仓数
UABOver
HI4
hi774c
事件盈亏
+$17.76
成交量
$3,551.60
持仓数
UAB
MR5
Mr.Kirk
事件盈亏
-$55.82
成交量
$2,404.00
持仓数
UnderUnder
SP6
sportmaster777
事件盈亏
+$9.88
成交量
$1,975.00
持仓数
UAB
JA7
JAMJAMJAM4
事件盈亏
-$35.00
成交量
$1,899.94
持仓数
UnderUnder
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$56.92
成交量
$1,892.88
持仓数
UnderOverUnder+1

常见问题

当前市场对「UAB vs. Memphis」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 41.5 以 9,895% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Spread -1.5（9,740%），以及 Spread -2.5（9,710%）。该市场总成交量已达 $219.4K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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