Texas State vs. Texas

$84.5K Vol
2026年9月5日
Active
概率趋势
Texas 99.6%
Texas State 0.4%

核心摘要

根据「Texas State vs. Texas」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Spread -10.5 以压倒性的 9,630% 获胜概率主导市场；Spread -14.5 以 9,600% 位居第二，Spread -16.5 以 9,400% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $84.5K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Spread -10.5 (9,630%)：Spread -10.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,630¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $5.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Spread -14.5 (9,600%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Spread -14.5 保持着 9,600% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,600¢。
  • Spread -16.5 (9,400%)：以 9,400% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Spread -16.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 48.5 (9,400%)、O/U 42.5 (9,250%)，以及 1H Spread -16.5 (9,150%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 1H Spread -17.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Spread -10.59630.0%$5.2K9630¢-9530¢
2Spread -14.59600.0%—9600¢-9500¢
3Spread -16.59400.0%—9400¢-9300¢
4O/U 48.59400.0%—9400¢-9300¢
5O/U 42.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
61H Spread -16.59150.0%$2589150¢-9050¢
71H Spread -17.59150.0%$489150¢-9050¢
8Spread -20.59100.0%$1039100¢-9000¢
9Spread -17.59060.0%$259060¢-8960¢
101H Spread -15.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
111H Spread -18.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
121H Spread -19.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
13Texas 1H O/U 22.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
14Texas 1H O/U 24.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
15Texas 1H O/U 26.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
16Texas State 1H O/U 4.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
17Texas State 1H O/U 6.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
18Spread -21.58700.0%$508700¢-8600¢
19O/U 54.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
20Spread -24.58100.0%$3.9K8100¢-8000¢
21O/U 58.57850.0%$1.3K7850¢-7750¢
22Spread -27.57650.0%$9037650¢-7550¢
23Spread -13.57300.0%—7300¢-7200¢
24O/U 62.56850.0%$566850¢-6750¢
25Spread -29.56650.0%$34.1K6650¢-6550¢
26O/U 60.56150.0%$21.4K6150¢-6050¢
27O/U 59.56150.0%$4.1K6150¢-6050¢
28Spread: Texas (-30.5)6050.0%$2.7K6050¢-5950¢
29Texas O/U 44.55050.0%$4915050¢-4950¢
30Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39O/U 40.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40O/U 44.55000.0%$805000¢-4900¢
41O/U 46.55000.0%$855000¢-4900¢
42O/U 50.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43O/U 52.55000.0%$75000¢-4900¢
44O/U 56.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45O/U 64.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46O/U 68.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47O/U 70.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48O/U 74.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49O/U 76.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50O/U 80.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
512H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
521H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
532H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
542H Spread -12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
553Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
563Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
573Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
583Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
593Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
603Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
614Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
624Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
634Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
644Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
654Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
664Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Texas O/U 38.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Texas O/U 41.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Texas O/U 47.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Texas O/U 50.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Texas State O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Texas State O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Texas State O/U 14.55000.0%$1105000¢-4900¢
74Texas State O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Texas State O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Texas 2H O/U 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Texas 2H O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Texas 2H O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Texas State 2H O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Texas State 2H O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Texas State 2H O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
822H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Texas State O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Texas O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Brad Jackson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Beau Sparks: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Torrance Burgess Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Jaylen Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Chris Dawn Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Kaliq Lockett: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99LaKeyleon Graves: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Zechariah Sample: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Blake Smith: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1022H Spread -15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1032H Spread -10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1042H Spread -13.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1052H Spread -14.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
106Spread -31.53950.0%$2003950¢-3850¢
107Spread -34.53850.0%$1003850¢-3750¢
108O/U 66.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
109O/U 72.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
1102Q Spread -8.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1112Q Spread -9.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1122Q Spread -10.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1132Q Spread -11.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1142Q Spread -12.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1152Q Moneyline950.0%—950¢-850¢
116Texas State 1H O/U 8.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1172Q Spread -7.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
118O/U 78.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
119Texas State vs. Texas50.0%$17.7K50¢50¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET:

If Texas State wins, the market will resolve to "Texas State".

If Texas wins, the market will resolve to "Texas".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 08:42 PM
    -J-JB-
    $5,042.07

    Bought 5093 Texas for Spread: Texas (-10.5) at 0.99

  • 08:39 PM
    3838791873984189
    $90.00

    Bought 100 Texas for Spread: Texas (-24.5) at 0.9

  • 08:38 PM
    0X0xff5d9Bd85678de5CBc3f867f538998Ae60BAa931-1767206904536
    $79.00

    Bought 100 Texas for Spread: Texas (-31.5) at 0.79

  • 08:38 PM
    0X0xff5d9Bd85678de5CBc3f867f538998Ae60BAa931-1767206904536
    $56.09

    Bought 71 Texas for Spread: Texas (-31.5) at 0.79

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0xff5d9Bd85678de5CBc3f867f538998Ae60BAa931-1767206904536
    $178.00

    Bought 200 Texas for Spread: Texas (-24.5) at 0.89

  • 08:36 PM
    LOlomatic
    $69.00

    Bought 100 Texas for Spread: Texas (-34.5) at 0.69

  • 08:35 PM
    LOlomatic
    $22.91

    Bought 29 Texas for Spread: Texas (-31.5) at 0.79

  • 08:35 PM
    USUser7429
    $5.95

    Bought 7.083331 Texas for Spread: Texas (-27.5) at 0.84

  • 08:35 PM
    CHchaeri
    $0.76

    Bought 0.91 Texas for Spread: Texas (-27.5) at 0.84

  • 08:35 PM
    CUcurie
    $77.28

    Bought 92 Texas for Spread: Texas (-27.5) at 0.84

  • 08:29 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $484.00

    Bought 987.76 Over for Texas State vs. Texas: O/U 58.5 at 0.49

  • 08:23 PM
    0X0xff5d9Bd85678de5CBc3f867f538998Ae60BAa931-1767206904536
    $58.83

    Bought 111 Under for Texas State vs. Texas: O/U 58.5 at 0.53

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

HO1
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$512.00
成交量
$25,482.85
持仓数
TexasUnderUnder+2
BA2
bands1
事件盈亏
-$5,216.00
成交量
$21,733.63
持仓数
Texas State
VI3
VigorishVault
事件盈亏
+$650.69
成交量
$15,857.50
持仓数
OverOver
HI4
hi774c
事件盈亏
+$2,145.49
成交量
$12,984.82
持仓数
TexasUnder
RN5
RN1
事件盈亏
+$718.83
成交量
$11,245.26
持仓数
UnderUnderUnder+4
WR6
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
-$13.29
成交量
$6,814.59
持仓数
UnderTexas StateTexas State+1
-J7
-JB-
事件盈亏
-$967.55
成交量
$5,093.00
持仓数
Texas
FL8
floflo2426
事件盈亏
+$700.00
成交量
$5,000.00
持仓数
Over

常见问题

当前市场对「Texas State vs. Texas」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Spread -10.5 以 9,630% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Spread -14.5（9,600%），以及 Spread -16.5（9,400%）。该市场总成交量已达 $84.5K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始