Texas State vs. San Diego State

$207.3K Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
概率趋势
Texas State 76.5%
San Diego State 23.5%

核心摘要

根据「Texas State vs. San Diego State」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 35.5 以压倒性的 9,150% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 37.5 以 9,150% 位居第二，Texas State O/U 20.5 以 8,800% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $207.3K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (9,150%)：O/U 35.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,150¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 37.5 (9,150%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 37.5 保持着 9,150% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,150¢。
  • Texas State O/U 20.5 (8,800%)：以 8,800% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Texas State O/U 20.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 39.5 (8,750%)、Spread -0.5 (8,550%)，以及 O/U 41.5 (8,500%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Texas State O/U 23.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 35.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
2O/U 37.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
3Texas State O/U 20.58800.0%—8800¢-8700¢
4O/U 39.58750.0%—8750¢-8650¢
5Spread -0.58550.0%—8550¢-8450¢
6O/U 41.58500.0%—8500¢-8400¢
7Texas State O/U 23.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
8O/U 43.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
9O/U 45.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
10Texas State vs. San Diego State7650.0%$89.9K7650¢-7550¢
11Texas State 1H O/U 11.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
12Texas State 1H O/U 13.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
13Spread -1.57400.0%—7400¢-7300¢
14O/U 47.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
15Spread -2.57300.0%$377300¢-7200¢
161Q O/U 7.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
171H Moneyline7150.0%$5.6K7150¢-7050¢
18O/U 49.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
191Q O/U 10.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
20Spread -3.56800.0%$176800¢-6700¢
21Spread -4.56550.0%$3186550¢-6450¢
22Spread -5.56450.0%$6.0K6450¢-6350¢
23O/U 51.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
241H Spread -2.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
25Spread -6.56100.0%$2.1K6100¢-6000¢
26O/U 53.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
27Spread -0.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
28Texas State 1H O/U 15.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
291H Spread -3.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
302H Spread -2.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
311H O/U 27.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
321Q Spread -0.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
33Spread -7.55550.0%$7225550¢-5450¢
34O/U 55.55550.0%$3935550¢-5450¢
351H Spread -4.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
362H O/U 27.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
372H Spread -3.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
382H O/U 30.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
39Spread -8.55250.0%$86.7K5250¢-5150¢
401H Spread -5.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
411Q O/U 13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
422Q O/U 10.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
43O/U 57.55050.0%$2275050¢-4950¢
442H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
452H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
462H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
474Q O/U 10.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
484Q O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
49Texas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
501Q Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
511H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
521H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
531H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
542Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
552Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
563Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
573Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
584Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59San Diego State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60San Diego State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61San Diego State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62San Diego State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Texas State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Texas State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Texas State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66San Diego State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67San Diego State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68San Diego State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Texas State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Texas State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Texas State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Texas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Texas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Texas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Texas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Texas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Texas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Texas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Texas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Texas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Texas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Texas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Texas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Texas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Texas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Texas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Texas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Texas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Texas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Texas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Texas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Texas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Texas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Texas State vs. San Diego State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Texas State vs. San Diego State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Texas State vs. San Diego State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1332H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1342H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1352H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1371Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1381Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1391Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1401Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1412Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1422Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1432Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1442Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1453Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1463Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1473Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1483Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1493Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1503Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1514Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1524Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1534Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1544Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1552H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
156Texas State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
157San Diego State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1582Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1593Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1604Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
161Texas State O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
162San Diego State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1632Q O/U 7.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1643Q O/U 16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
165San Diego State O/U 23.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
166San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1672Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1682Q Spread -2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1694Q O/U 16.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1704Q Spread -3.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1714Q Spread -1.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1723Q O/U 13.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1733Q O/U 19.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1744Q O/U 19.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1752Q O/U 19.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
176Spread -10.54650.0%$4.1K4650¢-4550¢
177San Diego State O/U 29.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
178Texas State O/U 32.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
179O/U 59.54450.0%$6244450¢-4350¢
180Texas State O/U 26.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
181Texas State O/U 29.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
1821H O/U 30.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
1831H Spread -0.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
184Spread -13.54250.0%$664250¢-4150¢
1851H Spread -7.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
186O/U 61.54050.0%$674050¢-3950¢
187Spread -14.53850.0%$2043850¢-3750¢
1881Q Moneyline3600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
189O/U 63.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
190Spread -16.53500.0%$1143500¢-3400¢
191San Diego State O/U 35.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
192Spread -17.53200.0%$1803200¢-3100¢
1931Q O/U 16.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
194O/U 65.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
195San Diego State O/U 26.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
1961Q O/U 19.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
197Spread -20.52650.0%$1.2K2650¢-2550¢
198O/U 67.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
199Spread -1.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
200O/U 69.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
201Spread -2.52050.0%$372050¢-1950¢
202O/U 71.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
203Spread -3.51700.0%$171700¢-1600¢
204O/U 73.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
205Spread -6.51550.0%$2.1K1550¢-1450¢
206Spread -4.51500.0%$3181500¢-1400¢
207O/U 75.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
208Spread -5.51400.0%$6.0K1400¢-1300¢
209Spread -7.51000.0%$7221000¢-900¢
210Spread -8.5800.0%$86.7K800¢-700¢
211Spread -10.5750.0%$4.1K750¢-650¢
212Spread -13.5550.0%$66550¢-450¢
213Spread -16.5435.0%$114435¢-335¢
214Spread -14.5400.0%$204400¢-300¢
215Spread -20.5190.0%$1.2K190¢-90¢
216Spread -17.5185.0%$180185¢-85¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Texas State and San Diego State, scheduled for October 3 at 10:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win the game.

This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 11:15 PM
    NInigiri99
    $5.60

    Bought 8 Texas State for Texas State vs. San Diego State: 1H Moneyline at 0.7

  • 11:15 PM
    NInigiri99
    $291.20

    Bought 416 Texas State for Texas State vs. San Diego State: 1H Moneyline at 0.7

  • 10:48 PM
    NInigiri99
    $30.80

    Bought 44 Texas State for Texas State vs. San Diego State: 1H Moneyline at 0.7

  • 10:02 PM
    EVEVryBet4
    $1.86

    Bought 2.657143 Texas State for Texas State vs. San Diego State: 1H Moneyline at 0.7

  • 09:40 PM
    ——
    $26.00

    Bought 46.428572 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-7.5) at 0.56

  • 09:40 PM
    TEtestoooorr
    $6.00

    Bought 19.354839 San Diego State for Texas State vs. San Diego State: 1H Moneyline at 0.31

  • 09:40 PM
    EVEVryBet4
    $19.25

    Bought 27.5 Texas State for Texas State vs. San Diego State: 1H Moneyline at 0.7

  • 09:39 PM
    EVEVryBet4
    $57.60

    Bought 82.285713 Texas State for Texas State vs. San Diego State: 1H Moneyline at 0.7

  • 09:35 PM
    0X0x6C23242F0c3cDD75836f01e109FB81d0b39998aD-1781874190328
    $6.00

    Bought 10.714286 Texas State for Spread: Texas State (-8.5) at 0.56

  • 09:32 PM
    HEHerdonia
    $15.93

    Bought 69.26087 San Diego State for Texas State vs. San Diego State at 0.23

  • 09:32 PM
    HEHerdonia
    $10.60

    Bought 46.086957 San Diego State for Texas State vs. San Diego State at 0.23

  • 09:32 PM
    HEHerdonia
    $25.56

    Bought 111.130435 San Diego State for Texas State vs. San Diego State at 0.23

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

B41
0xb4F9…0186
事件盈亏
+$1,148.51
成交量
$10,001.84
持仓数
Texas StateTexas StateTexas State
HO2
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$442.72
成交量
$9,387.12
持仓数
San Diego StateSan Diego StateTexas State+8
IC3
ic4cream
事件盈亏
+$783.23
成交量
$6,096.00
持仓数
Texas StateSan Diego StateUnder
AG4
AgriasOaks
事件盈亏
-$28.66
成交量
$5,732.07
持仓数
Texas State
IM5
imjustkenisghey
事件盈亏
-$792.89
成交量
$5,532.21
持仓数
San Diego State
RO6
royalestake
事件盈亏
+$25.02
成交量
$4,999.99
持仓数
San Diego State
VE7
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$438.41
成交量
$4,534.83
持仓数
San Diego StateSan Diego StateSan Diego State+3
388
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$2.19
成交量
$3,340.80
持仓数
San Diego StateSan Diego StateSan Diego State+10

常见问题

当前市场对「Texas State vs. San Diego State」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 35.5 以 9,150% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 37.5（9,150%），以及 Texas State O/U 20.5（8,800%）。该市场总成交量已达 $207.3K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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