
Texas A&M vs. LSU
核心摘要
根据「Texas A&M vs. LSU」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 34.5 以压倒性的 9,000% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 36.5 以 8,700% 位居第二,O/U 38.5 以 8,700% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $141.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 34.5 (9,000%):O/U 34.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- O/U 36.5 (8,700%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 36.5 保持着 8,700% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,700¢。
- O/U 38.5 (8,700%):以 8,700% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 38.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 40.5 (8,500%)、O/U 44.5 (7,800%),以及 Spread -0.5 (7,500%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 42.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 34.5 | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 2 | O/U 36.5 | 8700.0% | — | 8700¢ | -8600¢ |
| 3 | O/U 38.5 | 8700.0% | — | 8700¢ | -8600¢ |
| 4 | O/U 40.5 | 8500.0% | — | 8500¢ | -8400¢ |
| 5 | O/U 44.5 | 7800.0% | — | 7800¢ | -7700¢ |
| 6 | Spread -0.5 | 7500.0% | — | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 7 | O/U 42.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 8 | Spread -1.5 | 7350.0% | — | 7350¢ | -7250¢ |
| 9 | Spread -2.5 | 7150.0% | $317 | 7150¢ | -7050¢ |
| 10 | O/U 46.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 11 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 12 | 1H O/U 20.5 | 6700.0% | — | 6700¢ | -6600¢ |
| 13 | Spread -3.5 | 6550.0% | — | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 14 | Spread -4.5 | 6400.0% | $758 | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 15 | Spread -5.5 | 6350.0% | $191 | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 16 | 1H Spread -2.5 | 6150.0% | — | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 17 | 1Q O/U 7.5 | 6100.0% | — | 6100¢ | -6000¢ |
| 18 | 1H O/U 23.5 | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 19 | LSU O/U 27.5 | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 20 | O/U 48.5 | 5900.0% | — | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 21 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5900.0% | — | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 22 | Spread -6.5 | 5800.0% | — | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 23 | O/U 50.5 | 5550.0% | $2.7K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 24 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 5550.0% | — | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 25 | 3Q O/U 7.5 | 5550.0% | — | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 26 | 2Q Spread -2.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 27 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 28 | 1H Spread -4.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 29 | 2H Spread -7.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 30 | 1Q Spread -2.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 31 | Spread -7.5 | 5050.0% | $5.0K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 32 | 1H Spread -5.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 33 | 2H O/U 26.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 34 | Spread -12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Spread -22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Spread -25.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | 1H O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 1H O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 2H O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 2H O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 1Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 1Q O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 2Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 2Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 2Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 2Q O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 2Q O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 2Q O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | 2Q O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | 3Q O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Texas A&M O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Texas A&M O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Texas A&M O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | LSU O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | LSU O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | LSU O/U 36.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Texas A&M 1H O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Texas A&M 1H O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | LSU 1H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | LSU 1H O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Texas A&M 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | LSU 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | LSU 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | LSU 2H O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | 1Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | LSU O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Texas A&M O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | 1Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | 1H O/U 26.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 90 | 2H O/U 20.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 91 | 2H O/U 23.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 92 | Spread -8.5 | 4850.0% | $1.5K | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 93 | O/U 52.5 | 4850.0% | $1.8K | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 94 | 1H Spread -6.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 95 | LSU O/U 30.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 96 | 3Q O/U 10.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 97 | Spread -9.5 | 4650.0% | $2.2K | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 98 | 1Q Spread -3.5 | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 99 | 3Q O/U 13.5 | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 100 | Texas A&M O/U 21.5 | 4650.0% | $7 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 101 | Texas A&M 1H O/U 12.5 | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 102 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 103 | 1Q O/U 10.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 104 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 105 | 1Q O/U 13.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 106 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 107 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 108 | Spread -10.5 | 4300.0% | $40 | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 109 | O/U 54.5 | 4300.0% | — | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 110 | Spread -11.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 111 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 112 | Spread -12.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 113 | Spread -13.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 114 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 115 | LSU 1H O/U 19.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 116 | O/U 56.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 117 | 1H Spread -7.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 118 | O/U 58.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 119 | 1H Spread -9.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 120 | 2Q O/U 20.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 121 | Spread -14.5 | 3500.0% | $10 | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 122 | Spread -15.5 | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 123 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 3300.0% | — | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 124 | 2Q Spread -3.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 125 | Spread -16.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 126 | 2Q Spread -7.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 127 | O/U 60.5 | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 128 | 3Q O/U 16.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 129 | 1H Moneyline | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 130 | Texas A&M O/U 27.5 | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 131 | Spread -0.5 | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 132 | Spread -18.5 | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 133 | Texas A&M vs. LSU | 2450.0% | $127.1K | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 134 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 135 | Spread -2.5 | 2300.0% | $317 | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 136 | 1Q O/U 16.5 | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 137 | Spread -21.5 | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 138 | 1Q Spread -7.5 | 1800.0% | — | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 139 | O/U 66.5 | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 140 | O/U 62.5 | 1700.0% | — | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 141 | Spread -24.5 | 1600.0% | — | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 142 | O/U 64.5 | 1600.0% | — | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 143 | Spread -5.5 | 1500.0% | $191 | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 144 | Spread -6.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 145 | O/U 68.5 | 1150.0% | — | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 146 | O/U 72.5 | 1100.0% | — | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 147 | O/U 70.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 148 | Spread -9.5 | 750.0% | $2.2K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 149 | Spread -8.5 | 750.0% | $1.5K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 150 | Spread -28.5 | 750.0% | — | 750¢ | -650¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Texas A&M and LSU, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game.
This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 24, 2026
- 10:37 AM——$3.92
Bought 7 Texas A&M for Spread: LSU (-10.5) at 0.56
- 07:20 AMMAmaz26$515.02
Bought 677.66 LSU for Texas A&M vs. LSU at 0.76
- 03:58 AMAVAvocadosFromMexico$1.61
Bought 23 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-9.5) at 0.07
Sep 23, 2026
- 05:08 PM——$12.87
Sold 24.75 Under for Texas A&M vs. LSU: O/U 52.5 at 0.52
- 05:07 PMLIlifesdope$38.76
Bought 51 LSU for Texas A&M vs. LSU at 0.76
- 04:19 PMWQwqeewqeadawfawfwa$7.21
Sold 16.38 LSU for Spread: LSU (-10.5) at 0.44
- 02:18 PMLOlom$11.85
Bought 23.7 Texas A&M for Spread: LSU (-8.5) at 0.5
- 01:41 PMLOlomatic$91.39
Bought 186.510205 Texas A&M for Spread: LSU (-7.5) at 0.49
- 10:35 AMBOBodytech1231$1.00
Bought 4 Texas A&M for Texas A&M vs. LSU at 0.25
- 08:00 AM——$9.63
Sold 18.51 Under for Texas A&M vs. LSU: O/U 52.5 at 0.52
- 04:33 AMBRbretonpicks$25.00
Bought 49.019608 Texas A&M for Spread: LSU (-8.5) at 0.51
- 04:27 AMMOmooseborzoi$2.57
Bought 16.06 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-5.5) at 0.16
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Texas A&M vs. LSU」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 34.5 以 9,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 36.5(8,700%),以及 O/U 38.5(8,700%)。该市场总成交量已达 $141.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
