
Troy vs. Utah State
核心摘要
根据「Troy vs. Utah State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 34.5 以压倒性的 8,600% 获胜概率主导市场;Utah State O/U 19.5 以 7,850% 位居第二,O/U 40.5 以 7,800% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $322.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 34.5 (8,600%):O/U 34.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,600¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Utah State O/U 19.5 (7,850%):作为最可行的替代选项,Utah State O/U 19.5 保持着 7,850% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,850¢。
- O/U 40.5 (7,800%):以 7,800% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 40.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Spread -1.5 (7,650%)、Spread -2.5 (7,500%),以及 O/U 28.5 (7,100%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 30.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 34.5 | 8600.0% | — | 8600¢ | -8500¢ |
| 2 | Utah State O/U 19.5 | 7850.0% | — | 7850¢ | -7750¢ |
| 3 | O/U 40.5 | 7800.0% | $5.5K | 7800¢ | -7700¢ |
| 4 | Spread -1.5 | 7650.0% | $19.2K | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 5 | Spread -2.5 | 7500.0% | $72.1K | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 6 | O/U 28.5 | 7100.0% | — | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 7 | O/U 30.5 | 7100.0% | — | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 8 | O/U 32.5 | 6900.0% | — | 6900¢ | -6800¢ |
| 9 | Spread -3.5 | 6750.0% | $5.4K | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 10 | O/U 36.5 | 6600.0% | — | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 11 | Spread -4.5 | 6200.0% | $159 | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 12 | O/U 38.5 | 6150.0% | — | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 13 | Spread -5.5 | 5900.0% | $103 | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 14 | Spread -6.5 | 5500.0% | $108 | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 15 | O/U 42.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 16 | Utah State O/U 25.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 17 | O/U 44.5 | 5250.0% | $288 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 18 | Spread -0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 19 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Spread -17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Spread -18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Spread -21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Spread -24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 2H O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 3Q O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 3Q O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 3Q O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Troy O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Troy O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Troy O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Utah State O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Utah State O/U 28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Utah State O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Troy 2H O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Troy 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Troy 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Utah State 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Utah State 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Utah State 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Troy O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Utah State O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | Troy Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | Troy Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | Troy Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | Troy Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | Troy Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 131 | Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 132 | Troy Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 133 | Troy vs. Utah State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 134 | Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 135 | Troy vs. Utah State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 136 | Troy vs. Utah State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 137 | Spread -12.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 138 | Spread -7.5 | 4800.0% | $128 | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 139 | Spread -8.5 | 4400.0% | $132 | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 140 | O/U 46.5 | 4200.0% | $15.6K | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 141 | Spread -9.5 | 4000.0% | $5 | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 142 | O/U 48.5 | 4000.0% | $7.7K | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 143 | Spread -10.5 | 3650.0% | $756 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 144 | Spread -12.5 | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 145 | O/U 60.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 146 | O/U 62.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 147 | O/U 66.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 148 | O/U 68.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 149 | Troy O/U 20.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 150 | O/U 50.5 | 3300.0% | $1.2K | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 151 | Troy O/U 23.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 152 | Spread -11.5 | 3100.0% | — | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 153 | Spread -14.5 | 2400.0% | $226 | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 154 | O/U 52.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 155 | Troy vs. Utah State | 2050.0% | $186.7K | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 156 | Spread -1.5 | 1850.0% | $19.2K | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 157 | O/U 54.5 | 1750.0% | $11 | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 158 | Spread -2.5 | 1700.0% | $72.1K | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 159 | Spread -3.5 | 1300.0% | $5.4K | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 160 | O/U 56.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 161 | Spread -4.5 | 1000.0% | $159 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 162 | O/U 58.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 163 | Spread -6.5 | 850.0% | $108 | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 164 | Spread -13.5 | 600.0% | — | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 165 | Spread -10.5 | 500.0% | $756 | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 166 | Spread -9.5 | 500.0% | $5 | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 167 | O/U 64.5 | 500.0% | — | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 168 | Spread -16.5 | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Troy and Utah State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game.
This market will resolve to "Utah State" if Utah State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 26, 2026
- 09:55 PMCIciburri$27.00
Bought 50 Under for Troy vs. Utah State: O/U 48.5 at 0.54
- 09:51 PMWRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r$404.00
Bought 897.77 Troy for Spread: Utah State (-1.5) at 0.45
- 09:51 PMWRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r$445.00
Bought 988.88 Troy for Spread: Utah State (-1.5) at 0.45
- 09:51 PMWRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r$431.00
Bought 957.77 Troy for Spread: Utah State (-1.5) at 0.45
- 09:51 PMWRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r$417.00
Bought 926.66 Troy for Spread: Utah State (-1.5) at 0.45
- 09:23 PMCHChinaskii$1.00
Bought 1.785715 Troy for Spread: Utah State (-3.5) at 0.56
- 08:29 PMHOHomeRunHazard$23.78
Bought 41 Over for Troy vs. Utah State: O/U 44.5 at 0.58
- 08:09 PMMOMoltenpick$22.26
Bought 42 Utah State for Spread: Utah State (-2.5) at 0.53
- 07:42 PMHYHypnoman007$25.00
Bought 59.52381 Troy for Spread: Troy (-1.5) at 0.42
- 07:41 PMMOmooseborzoi$40.06
Bought 97.7 Troy for Spread: Troy (-1.5) at 0.41
- 07:32 PMWRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r$740.25
Bought 1575 Troy for Spread: Utah State (-2.5) at 0.47
- 07:21 PMCICip106$27.00
Bought 50 Under for Troy vs. Utah State: O/U 48.5 at 0.54
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Troy vs. Utah State」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 34.5 以 8,600% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Utah State O/U 19.5(7,850%),以及 O/U 40.5(7,800%)。该市场总成交量已达 $322.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
