Toledo vs. Ball State

$296.3K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
概率趋势
Toledo 100.0%
Ball State 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Toledo vs. Ball State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 43.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 51.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 55.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $296.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 43.5 (9,995%):O/U 43.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $396 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 51.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 51.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • O/U 55.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 55.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -11.5 (9,995%)、Spread -9.5 (9,995%),以及 Toledo O/U 32.5 (9,955%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -12.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 43.59995.0%$3969995¢-9895¢
2O/U 51.59995.0%$72.3K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 55.59995.0%$9049995¢-9895¢
4Spread -11.59995.0%$1.7K9995¢-9895¢
5Spread -9.59995.0%$6859995¢-9895¢
6Toledo O/U 32.59955.0%$159955¢-9855¢
7Spread -12.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
8Both Teams to Score a Touchdown9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
9Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
10Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
11Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q39000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
12Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q49000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
13Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
14Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
15Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
16Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
17Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
18Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
19Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
20Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
21Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
22Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
23Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
24Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
25Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
26Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
27Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
282H Spread -9.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
292H Spread -6.59000.0%$59000¢-8900¢
304Q Spread -7.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
314Q Spread -5.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
324Q Spread -4.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
334Q Spread -2.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
344Q Spread -0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
352H Moneyline9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
36Ball State O/U 2.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
374Q Moneyline9000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
38Ball State O/U 1.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
39Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
40Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
41Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
42Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
43Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 14.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
44Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
45Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
46Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 19.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
47Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 23.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
48Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 21.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
49Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Toledo vs. Ball State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
513Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
53Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
54Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
55Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
56Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 19.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
57Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 24.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
58Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 24.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
59Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
60Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
61Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 23.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
62Toledo vs. Ball State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
63Toledo vs. Ball State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
64Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
65Ball State 2H O/U 14.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
66Ball State 2H O/U 16.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
67Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q11000.0%—1000¢-900¢
68Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q21000.0%—1000¢-900¢
69Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
70Pick-Six Scored1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
71Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
72Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
73Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
74Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
75Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
76Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
77Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
78Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
79Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
802H Spread -13.51000.0%$51000¢-900¢
812H Spread -10.51000.0%$51000¢-900¢
82Toledo O/U 4.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
83Spread -5.545.0%—45¢55¢
84Spread -6.545.0%—45¢55¢
85Ball State O/U 26.545.0%$545¢55¢
86Ball State O/U 29.545.0%$5545¢55¢
87Spread -40.545.0%—45¢55¢
88Spread -37.545.0%—45¢55¢
89Spread -34.545.0%—45¢55¢
90Spread -28.545.0%—45¢55¢
91Spread -26.545.0%—45¢55¢
92Spread -25.545.0%—45¢55¢
93Spread -24.545.0%—45¢55¢
94Spread -15.545.0%—45¢55¢
95Spread -33.535.0%—35¢65¢
96Spread -30.55.0%$1705¢95¢
97Spread -23.55.0%$1035¢95¢
98Spread -21.55.0%$39.2K5¢95¢
99Spread -19.55.0%$1005¢95¢
100Spread -18.55.0%$825¢95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Toledo and Ball State, scheduled for October 3 at 2:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game.

This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 09:39 PM
    0X0x5C4e14D94daeb0df04f0be9718ee1e61202O184
    $10.38

    Sold 10.38 Toledo for Toledo vs. Ball State at 1

  • 09:33 PM
    0X0x1256E1f
    $410.72

    Sold 410.72 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-14.5) at 1

  • 09:33 PM
    0X0x1256E1f
    $1,042.00

    Sold 1042 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-13.5) at 1

  • 09:32 PM
    JUJustWins12
    $11.00

    Sold 11 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-13.5) at 1

  • 09:28 PM
    QWqwe258
    $9.00

    Bought 9 Ball State for Spread: Toledo (-16.5) at 1

  • 09:28 PM
    DAdachshundowner
    $6.99

    Bought 6.99 Ball State for Spread: Toledo (-16.5) at 1

  • 09:28 PM
    HYHypnoman007
    $46.29

    Sold 46.29 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-14.5) at 1

  • 09:27 PM
    JOJordyBOBO
    $5.01

    Bought 5.005006 Ball State for Spread: Toledo (-16.5) at 1

  • 09:27 PM
    SHshugafa
    $50.00

    Bought 50 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 35.5 at 1

  • 09:27 PM
    SHshugafa
    $50.00

    Bought 50 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 32.5 at 1

  • 09:27 PM
    SHshugafa
    $50.00

    Bought 50 Under for Ball State Team Total: O/U 29.5 at 1

  • 09:27 PM
    SHshugafa
    $5.00

    Bought 5 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-7.5) at 1

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MO1
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
+$21.41
成交量
$2,356.98
持仓数
UnderToledoUnder
MO2
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$16.36
成交量
$1,869.00
持仓数
ToledoBall State
633
0x6387…95dc
事件盈亏
-$21.93
成交量
$1,462.26
持仓数
Over
SN4
SnakeBall
事件盈亏
+$11.47
成交量
$1,371.68
持仓数
ToledoBall State
385
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$1.56
成交量
$1,215.46
持仓数
ToledoOverToledo+5
5C6
0x5c54…f1d2
事件盈亏
-$2.70
成交量
$1,008.54
持仓数
UnderToledo
UP7
UpTheBlues
事件盈亏
-$2.88
成交量
$944.90
持仓数
Ball StateToledoBall State+7
BL8
black4562
事件盈亏
-$3.52
成交量
$703.00
持仓数
Ball State

常见问题

当前市场对「Toledo vs. Ball State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 43.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 51.5(9,995%),以及 O/U 55.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $296.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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