SMU vs. Florida State
$65.1K Vol
2026年9月8日
Active
概率趋势
SMU 57.5%
Florida State 42.5%
核心摘要
根据「SMU vs. Florida State」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，O/U 33.5 以压倒性的 9,300% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 35.5 以 8,900% 位居第二，O/U 37.5 以 8,700% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $65.1K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- O/U 33.5 (9,300%)：O/U 33.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,300¢，显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- O/U 35.5 (8,900%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 35.5 保持着 8,900% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,900¢。
- O/U 37.5 (8,700%)：以 8,700% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 37.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 O/U 39.5 (8,400%)、O/U 41.5 (7,850%)，以及 Florida State O/U 18.5 (7,750%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 O/U 43.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 33.5 | 9300.0% | — | 9300¢ | -9200¢ |
| 2 | O/U 35.5 | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 3 | O/U 37.5 | 8700.0% | — | 8700¢ | -8600¢ |
| 4 | O/U 39.5 | 8400.0% | — | 8400¢ | -8300¢ |
| 5 | O/U 41.5 | 7850.0% | — | 7850¢ | -7750¢ |
| 6 | Florida State O/U 18.5 | 7750.0% | — | 7750¢ | -7650¢ |
| 7 | O/U 43.5 | 7600.0% | — | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 8 | Florida State O/U 19.5 | 7450.0% | — | 7450¢ | -7350¢ |
| 9 | SMU O/U 21.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 10 | SMU O/U 22.5 | 7300.0% | — | 7300¢ | -7200¢ |
| 11 | O/U 45.5 | 7200.0% | — | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 12 | Florida State O/U 20.5 | 6950.0% | — | 6950¢ | -6850¢ |
| 13 | O/U 47.5 | 6650.0% | — | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 14 | Florida State O/U 21.5 | 6550.0% | — | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 15 | Florida State O/U 22.5 | 6450.0% | — | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 16 | SMU O/U 24.5 | 6350.0% | — | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 17 | O/U 49.5 | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 18 | SMU O/U 25.5 | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 19 | Florida State O/U 23.5 | 5950.0% | — | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 20 | O/U 51.5 | 5850.0% | $1.2K | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 21 | SMU vs. Florida State | 5750.0% | $42.2K | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 22 | Spread -0.5 | 5750.0% | $11 | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 23 | O/U 52.5 | 5550.0% | $1.9K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 24 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5500.0% | $25 | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 25 | O/U 53.5 | 5450.0% | $7.0K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 26 | Spread -1.5 | 5450.0% | $6 | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 27 | 1H Moneyline | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 28 | Florida State O/U 24.5 | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 29 | Florida State O/U 1.5 | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 30 | Florida State O/U 25.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 31 | Florida State 1H O/U 12.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 32 | SMU O/U 27.5 | 5200.0% | $227 | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 33 | Spread: SMU (-2.5) | 5150.0% | $6.7K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 34 | 1H Spread -0.5 | 5150.0% | $285 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 35 | Florida State 1H O/U 10.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 36 | SMU 1H O/U 13.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 37 | O/U 54.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 38 | 2H Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 39 | 1Q Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 40 | 3Q Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 41 | 4Q Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 42 | SMU 1H O/U 11.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 43 | SMU 2H O/U 11.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 44 | SMU 2H O/U 13.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 45 | SMU 2H O/U 15.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 46 | Florida State 2H O/U 13.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 47 | Florida State 2H O/U 15.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 48 | Ousmane Kromah: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 49 | Samuel Singleton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 50 | Ashton Daniels: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 51 | Duce Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 52 | Yamir Knight: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 53 | Micahi Danzy: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 54 | Jalen Cooper: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 55 | Yannick Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 56 | Quintrevion Wisner: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 57 | Jayvan Boggs: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 58 | Randy Pittman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 59 | Landen Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 60 | Jalen Hale: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 61 | Desirrio Riles: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 62 | Isaiah Robertson: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 63 | SMU O/U 0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 64 | Florida State O/U 0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 65 | Florida State 1H O/U 11.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 66 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Florida State 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | SMU 1H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Florida State 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Kendrick Raphael: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Derrick McFall: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Theo Melin Ohrstrom: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Christian Rhodes: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Dramekco Green: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 77 | Kevin Jennings: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 78 | Florida State 1H O/U 13.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 79 | Florida State 1H O/U 15.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 80 | Florida State O/U 26.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 81 | SMU O/U 3.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 82 | 1H Spread -1.5 | 4850.0% | $1.1K | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 83 | SMU O/U 28.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 84 | SMU O/U 1.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 85 | 1H Spread -2.5 | 4750.0% | $30 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 86 | O/U 55.5 | 4650.0% | $5 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 87 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 4650.0% | $17 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 88 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 89 | 2Q Spread -0.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 90 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 91 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 92 | Florida State O/U 27.5 | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 93 | 2Q Spread -1.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 94 | 2Q Spread -2.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 95 | Florida State O/U 3.5 | 4400.0% | $985 | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 96 | Spread -3.5 | 4300.0% | $2.0K | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 97 | Spread -34.5 | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 98 | Spread -4.5 | 4150.0% | $293 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 99 | O/U 57.5 | 4150.0% | $51 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 100 | 1Q Spread -2.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 101 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 102 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 103 | SMU O/U 30.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 104 | Spread -5.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 105 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 106 | 1H Spread -3.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 107 | Florida State O/U 28.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 108 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 109 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 3850.0% | $343 | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 110 | Florida State O/U 29.5 | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 111 | Spread -6.5 | 3750.0% | $392 | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 112 | O/U 59.5 | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 113 | SMU O/U 31.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 114 | Florida State O/U 30.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 115 | Florida State O/U 2.5 | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 116 | SMU O/U 33.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 117 | Spread -7.5 | 3200.0% | $73 | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 118 | O/U 61.5 | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 119 | SMU O/U 2.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 120 | Spread -8.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 121 | Florida State O/U 31.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 122 | O/U 63.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 123 | Florida State O/U 32.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 124 | SMU O/U 34.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 125 | Spread -31.5 | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 126 | Spread -10.5 | 2550.0% | $318 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 127 | O/U 65.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 128 | Spread -13.5 | 2050.0% | $5 | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 129 | O/U 67.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 130 | Florida State O/U 3.5 | 2050.0% | $985 | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 131 | SMU O/U 3.5 | 1900.0% | — | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 132 | Spread -14.5 | 1800.0% | $25 | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 133 | O/U 69.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 134 | Spread -16.5 | 1600.0% | — | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 135 | Spread -17.5 | 1350.0% | $64 | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 136 | O/U 71.5 | 1350.0% | — | 1350¢ | -1250¢ |
| 137 | O/U 73.5 | 1200.0% | — | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 138 | Spread -20.5 | 1100.0% | — | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 139 | Spread -21.5 | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 140 | Spread -24.5 | 650.0% | — | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 141 | Spread -27.5 | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 7 at 7:30PM ET:
If SMU wins, the market will resolve to "SMU".
If Florida State wins, the market will resolve to "Florida State".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 7, 2026
- 08:14 AMMOmooseborzoi$66.03
Bought 115.85 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:13 AMMOmooseborzoi$19.52
Bought 34.25 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:10 AMMOmooseborzoi$25.26
Bought 44.32 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:10 AMMOmooseborzoi$94.75
Bought 166.22 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:08 AM02024370$39.90
Bought 70 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:04 AMMOmooseborzoi$24.12
Bought 42.31 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:04 AMMOmooseborzoi$5.16
Bought 9.06 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:03 AMMOmooseborzoi$45.94
Bought 80.59 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 08:03 AMSESebinVegas$5.70
Bought 10 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 07:59 AMMOmooseborzoi$9.61
Bought 18.13 SMU for Spread: SMU (-2.5) at 0.53
- 07:58 AMMOmooseborzoi$32.15
Bought 56.41 SMU for SMU vs. Florida State at 0.57
- 07:57 AM——$14.00
Bought 25 Florida State for Spread: SMU (-3.5) at 0.56
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
VE1
VeryLucky888事件盈亏
-$16.44
成交量
$13,832.84
持仓数
Florida StateUnderUnder+2
MO2
mooseborzoi事件盈亏
+$26.48
成交量
$12,066.12
持仓数
SMUFlorida StateSMU+7
PH3
phonesculptor事件盈亏
+$51.53
成交量
$10,302.42
持仓数
SMU
HO4
HomeRunHazard事件盈亏
-$7.67
成交量
$8,733.47
持仓数
Florida StateOverOver+4
WR5
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r事件盈亏
+$23.50
成交量
$7,339.70
持仓数
Florida StateFlorida StateFlorida State+2
JU6
JUSTINHERBERTMVP事件盈亏
-$27.45
成交量
$5,500.00
持仓数
SMU
ON7
onlyinvegas事件盈亏
+$14.50
成交量
$2,900.00
持仓数
SMU
JU8
JustADonk事件盈亏
+$42.71
成交量
$2,847.42
持仓数
SMU
常见问题
当前市场对「SMU vs. Florida State」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，O/U 33.5 以 9,300% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 35.5（8,900%），以及 O/U 37.5（8,700%）。该市场总成交量已达 $65.1K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。