
Sam Houston vs. Troy
核心摘要
根据「Sam Houston vs. Troy」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,1Q Moneyline 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;2Q Moneyline 以 5,000% 位居第二,4Q Moneyline 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $33.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- 1Q Moneyline (5,000%):1Q Moneyline 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- 2Q Moneyline (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,2Q Moneyline 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- 4Q Moneyline (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 4Q Moneyline 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Troy O/U 4.5 (5,000%)、Sam Houston O/U 2.5 (5,000%),以及 Jordan Lovett: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Gavin Griffin: Anytime Touchdown 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Troy O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Sam Houston O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Jordan Lovett: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Gavin Griffin: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Landan Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Alton McCaskill: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Goose Crowder: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Jaheim Merriweather: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Howard Kinchen: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Jywon Boyd: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Jackson Worley: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Chris Reed: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Tim Burns Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Landyn Locke: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Noreel White: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Mojo Dortch: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Grady O'Neill: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Kamari Maxwell: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Jace Petty: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Darrick Bledsoe III: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Max Whisner: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Sam Houston O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Sam Houston O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Sam Houston O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Sam Houston O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Troy O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Troy O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Troy O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Troy O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:00PM ET:
If Sam Houston wins, the market will resolve to "Sam Houston".
If Troy wins, the market will resolve to "Troy".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 5, 2026
- 04:24 PM0X0xAba48855243D9998CE5781C11e21160DafFE3fA6-1783087448963$1.00
Bought 2.040815 Over for O/U 53.5 at 0.49
- 04:24 PMMOmooseborzoi$1.05
Bought 2.01 Under for O/U 53.5 at 0.52
- 03:35 PMSEsentinel-x$10.73
Bought 21.04 Under for O/U 53.5 at 0.51
- 03:31 PM0X0x4DF47f6D99977e7C2BEEAc5BC4eC05e8Ae49BBC4-1775419350398$18.87
Bought 37 Under for O/U 53.5 at 0.51
- 03:30 PM0X0xC7B34c7d09A7bdC35b40634e5cAbA5Ae8412D0Ee-1773382130586$1.95
Bought 3.823528 Under for O/U 53.5 at 0.51
- 03:30 PMICic4cream$864.96
Bought 1696 Under for O/U 53.5 at 0.51
- 03:30 PMNOnooobtrader$1.00
Bought 1.960783 Under for O/U 53.5 at 0.51
- 11:47 AMHOHomeRunHazard$589.47
Bought 1203 Under for O/U 53.5 at 0.49
- 08:39 AMMAmatthematike$1.00
Bought 1.149423 Troy for Sam Houston vs. Troy at 0.87
- 07:08 AMTITimPenis$2.15
Bought 15.37357 Sam Houston for Sam Houston vs. Troy at 0.14
- 02:33 AMBRbretonpicks$3.74
Bought 28.769229 Sam Houston for Sam Houston vs. Troy at 0.13
- 01:30 AMTCtcjoness$1.93
Bought 8.041665 Troy for Spread: Troy (-27.5) at 0.24
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Sam Houston vs. Troy」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,1Q Moneyline 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 2Q Moneyline(5,000%),以及 4Q Moneyline(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $33.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
