
South Florida vs. Army
核心摘要
根据「South Florida vs. Army」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Army O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;South Florida O/U 1.5 以 9,050% 位居第二,D.J. Crowther: Anytime Touchdown 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $164.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Army O/U 0.5 (9,950%):Army O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- South Florida O/U 1.5 (9,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,South Florida O/U 1.5 保持着 9,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,050¢。
- D.J. Crowther: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 D.J. Crowther: Anytime Touchdown 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Godspower Nwawuihe: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%)、Jason Collins: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%),以及 Samari Howard: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Michael Van Buren Jr.: Anytime Touchdown 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Army O/U 0.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | South Florida O/U 1.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 3 | D.J. Crowther: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Godspower Nwawuihe: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Jason Collins: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Samari Howard: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Michael Van Buren Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Zach Mundell: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Stratton Fuller: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Jake Rendina: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | JeyQuan Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Wyatt Sullivan: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Lloyd Benson III: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Mudia Reuben: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Tobi Olawole: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | South Florida O/U 2.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 17 | South Florida O/U 3.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 18 | Army O/U 3.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between South Florida and Army, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "South Florida" if South Florida win the game.
This market will resolve to "Army" if Army win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 12, 2026
- 06:22 AMCACaribbeankid$39.44
Bought 71.7 South Florida for Spread: Army (-4.5) at 0.55
- 05:44 AMMAMaker-Hedger$10.00
Bought 15.873016 Under for South Florida vs. Army: O/U 50.5 at 0.63
- 05:43 AMCDcdsyiede$12.60
Bought 21 Army for South Florida vs. Army at 0.6
- 05:43 AMBGbgrt4rfdfg$8.61
Bought 21 South Florida for South Florida vs. Army at 0.41
- 04:43 AMFLFlipadelphia$1,227.48
Bought 3068.7 South Florida for South Florida vs. Army at 0.4
- 03:50 AMDFDFY$10.00
Bought 22.727273 South Florida for Spread: Army (-2.5) at 0.44
- 03:47 AMPIPiplup85$18.40
Bought 40 Over for South Florida vs. Army: O/U 47.5 at 0.46
- 03:45 AM——$23.10
Bought 43.584906 Under for South Florida vs. Army: O/U 46.5 at 0.53
- 03:24 AM0X0x8cBbF4e3d2D0b6Fb7b684cF1f5EE12d79dFCE8A8-1772503424879$1,072.32
Bought 2234 Army for Spread: Army (-3.5) at 0.48
- 02:12 AMNInigiri99$14.56
Bought 28 Army for 1H Spread: Army (-2.5) at 0.52
- 02:12 AMNInigiri99$88.92
Bought 171 Army for 1H Spread: Army (-2.5) at 0.52
- 12:47 AMTITimPenis$1.92
Bought 4.8 South Florida for South Florida vs. Army at 0.4
常见问题
当前市场对「South Florida vs. Army」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Army O/U 0.5 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 South Florida O/U 1.5(9,050%),以及 D.J. Crowther: Anytime Touchdown(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $164.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
