San Diego State vs. Toledo

$895.9K Vol
2026年9月26日
Active
概率趋势
Toledo 99.6%
San Diego State 0.4%

核心摘要

根据「San Diego State vs. Toledo」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 40.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 46.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 48.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $895.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 40.5 (9,995%):O/U 40.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $3.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 46.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 46.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • O/U 48.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 48.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 38.5 (9,950%)、O/U 42.5 (9,950%),以及 O/U 44.5 (9,950%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 40.59995.0%$3.4K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 46.59995.0%$5.0K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 48.59995.0%$9.7K9995¢-9895¢
4O/U 38.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
5O/U 42.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
6O/U 44.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
7Spread -1.59855.0%$4.8K9855¢-9755¢
8Spread -2.59850.0%$63.8K9850¢-9750¢
9Spread -3.59750.0%$9.4K9750¢-9650¢
10Spread -4.59450.0%$5.9K9450¢-9350¢
11Spread -5.59200.0%$6.5K9200¢-9100¢
12Spread -9.59065.0%$2.8K9065¢-8965¢
13Spread -7.59050.0%$6.3K9050¢-8950¢
14Spread -11.59050.0%$359050¢-8950¢
15Spread -14.59050.0%$20.2K9050¢-8950¢
16Spread -10.59000.0%$3.0K9000¢-8900¢
172H O/U 19.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
182H O/U 22.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
193Q Spread -0.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
203Q Spread -1.59000.0%$59000¢-8900¢
213Q Spread -2.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
223Q Spread -3.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
233Q Spread -5.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
24Both Teams to Score Points - Q39000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
25Spread -17.58950.0%$5.2K8950¢-8850¢
26Spread -6.58505.0%$3.5K8505¢-8405¢
27Spread -24.57950.0%$4.4K7950¢-7850¢
28O/U 50.57500.0%$28.6K7500¢-7400¢
29O/U 52.57450.0%$4.1K7450¢-7350¢
30Spread -0.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
31Spread -8.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
32Spread -12.55150.0%$1005150¢-5050¢
33Spread -18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Spread -21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36O/U 54.55000.0%$6.9K5000¢-4900¢
37O/U 56.55000.0%$4.5K5000¢-4900¢
38O/U 60.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39O/U 62.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40O/U 66.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41O/U 68.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
422H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
432H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
442H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
452H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
462H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
472H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
482H O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
492H O/U 28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
502H O/U 31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
514Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
524Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
534Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
544Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
554Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
564Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
574Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
584Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
594Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
604Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
614Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62San Diego State O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63San Diego State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64San Diego State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65San Diego State 2H O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66San Diego State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67San Diego State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
682H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69San Diego State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Toledo O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
714Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Toledo Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Toledo Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Toledo Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Toledo Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Toledo 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Toledo Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Toledo Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
129Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
131Toledo Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134San Diego State vs. Toledo: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Spread -12.54850.0%$1004850¢-4750¢
136Spread -0.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
137San Diego State O/U 20.52050.0%$52050¢-1950¢
138San Diego State O/U 23.51850.0%$471850¢-1750¢
139O/U 58.51650.0%$471650¢-1550¢
1403Q Spread -1.51000.0%$51000¢-900¢
1413Q Moneyline1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
142O/U 64.5850.0%$144850¢-750¢
143O/U 70.5840.0%—840¢-740¢
144Spread -13.5355.0%—355¢-255¢
145Spread -10.5355.0%$3.0K355¢-255¢
146Spread -4.5355.0%$5.9K355¢-255¢
147Spread -1.5250.0%$4.8K250¢-150¢
148Spread -9.5245.0%$2.8K245¢-145¢
149Spread -3.5245.0%$9.4K245¢-145¢
150Spread -2.5245.0%$63.8K245¢-145¢
151Spread -16.5200.0%—200¢-100¢
152Spread -6.5200.0%$3.5K200¢-100¢
153San Diego State vs. Toledo5.0%$689.6K5¢95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and Toledo, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 10:06 AM
    ODOddstorm
    $37.65

    Bought 72.4 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-2.5) at 0.52

  • 05:22 AM
    LILiquidatedDegen
    $400.00

    Bought 769.23077 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-2.5) at 0.52

  • 05:09 AM
    0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872
    $3.91

    Sold 8.88 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-3.5) at 0.44

  • 04:59 AM
    0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872
    $5.88

    Sold 11.53 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-2.5) at 0.51

  • 04:36 AM
    STStarch
    $5.87

    Bought 10.482143 Under for San Diego State vs. Toledo: O/U 52.5 at 0.56

  • 12:04 AM
    WRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r
    $34.65

    Bought 63 San Diego State for Spread: Toledo (-3.5) at 0.55

Sep 25, 2026

  • 11:34 PM
    NInigiri99
    $26.32

    Bought 47 Over for San Diego State Team Total: O/U 23.5 at 0.56

  • 11:30 PM
    HEHerdonia
    $95.26

    Bought 167.122806 Toledo for San Diego State vs. Toledo at 0.57

  • 11:30 PM
    HEHerdonia
    $108.76

    Bought 190.807018 Toledo for San Diego State vs. Toledo at 0.57

  • 08:21 PM
    0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872
    $4.00

    Bought 8.888889 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-3.5) at 0.45

  • 08:21 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $2,197.00

    Bought 3854.39 Toledo for San Diego State vs. Toledo at 0.57

  • 08:21 PM
    0X0x3554Ad1Aa2A6EDC209DF0dF284AFfc68C3ED01f5-1763319459872
    $6.00

    Bought 11.538462 Toledo for Spread: Toledo (-2.5) at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SA1
Sassy-Bucket
事件盈亏
-$1,442.41
成交量
$239,271.00
持仓数
San Diego State
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
事件盈亏
+$905.10
成交量
$139,293.24
持仓数
Toledo
WR3
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$85.07
成交量
$49,162.64
持仓数
San Diego StateOverSan Diego State+1
HO4
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$57.19
成交量
$48,882.18
持仓数
ToledoOverOver+3
MA5
maz26
事件盈亏
-$199.43
成交量
$40,113.10
持仓数
ToledoToledo
MO6
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件盈亏
+$102.33
成交量
$20,108.32
持仓数
San Diego StateSan Diego State
HE7
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
+$100.00
成交量
$20,000.00
持仓数
Toledo
NI8
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$210.96
成交量
$18,048.00
持仓数
UnderUnderToledo+1

常见问题

当前市场对「San Diego State vs. Toledo」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 40.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 46.5(9,995%),以及 O/U 48.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $895.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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