San Diego State vs. Oregon State

$480.2K Vol
2026年10月11日
Active
概率趋势
Oregon State 97.0%
San Diego State 3.0%

核心摘要

根据「San Diego State vs. Oregon State」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Oregon State O/U 23.5 以压倒性的 9,945% 获胜概率主导市场；1H O/U 27.5 以 9,895% 位居第二，2Q O/U 7.5 以 9,895% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $480.2K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Oregon State O/U 23.5 (9,945%)：Oregon State O/U 23.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,945¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $426 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • 1H O/U 27.5 (9,895%)：作为最可行的替代选项，1H O/U 27.5 保持着 9,895% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,895¢。
  • 2Q O/U 7.5 (9,895%)：以 9,895% 的概率位列第三，市场对 2Q O/U 7.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 2Q O/U 10.5 (9,895%)、2Q O/U 13.5 (9,895%)，以及 1H Spread -4.5 (9,890%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 1H Spread -6.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Oregon State O/U 23.59945.0%$4269945¢-9845¢
21H O/U 27.59895.0%—9895¢-9795¢
32Q O/U 7.59895.0%—9895¢-9795¢
42Q O/U 10.59895.0%—9895¢-9795¢
52Q O/U 13.59895.0%—9895¢-9795¢
61H Spread -4.59890.0%—9890¢-9790¢
71H Spread -6.59890.0%—9890¢-9790¢
81H Spread -9.59890.0%$9899890¢-9790¢
9Spread -11.59795.0%$8979795¢-9695¢
10Spread -3.59785.0%$5339785¢-9685¢
11Spread -1.59675.0%$589675¢-9575¢
122Q Spread -2.59675.0%—9675¢-9575¢
132Q Spread -3.59675.0%—9675¢-9575¢
14Spread -2.59655.0%$729655¢-9555¢
15Spread -6.59605.0%—9605¢-9505¢
162Q Spread -4.59600.0%—9600¢-9500¢
17Spread -7.59555.0%$3589555¢-9455¢
181H O/U 30.59500.0%—9500¢-9400¢
19Spread -10.59495.0%$5739495¢-9395¢
20O/U 35.59415.0%$2029415¢-9315¢
21Spread -9.59405.0%—9405¢-9305¢
22Spread -4.59365.0%$159365¢-9265¢
23Spread -5.59365.0%$569365¢-9265¢
24Spread -13.59275.0%$9.8K9275¢-9175¢
25Spread -14.59250.0%$2699250¢-9150¢
26Spread -16.59200.0%$19.7K9200¢-9100¢
27Spread -17.59100.0%$3.2K9100¢-9000¢
28Spread -20.59100.0%$5249100¢-9000¢
29O/U 41.59000.0%$3069000¢-8900¢
30Spread -21.58900.0%$1.5K8900¢-8800¢
312Q O/U 16.58800.0%—8800¢-8700¢
32Spread -24.58800.0%$3118800¢-8700¢
332Q Spread -7.58700.0%$238700¢-8600¢
34Spread -15.58650.0%$80.2K8650¢-8550¢
35Spread -27.58550.0%$388550¢-8450¢
36O/U 43.58500.0%—8500¢-8400¢
37O/U 47.58500.0%$1438500¢-8400¢
381H Spread -7.58500.0%—8500¢-8400¢
39O/U 39.58300.0%—8300¢-8200¢
40O/U 49.58300.0%$2098300¢-8200¢
412Q O/U 19.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
42O/U 45.58150.0%—8150¢-8050¢
43O/U 51.58050.0%$3868050¢-7950¢
44O/U 53.57750.0%$25.7K7750¢-7650¢
45Spread -19.57500.0%$1497500¢-7400¢
46Spread -30.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
47O/U 55.57250.0%$4067250¢-7150¢
484Q Spread -0.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
494Q Spread -1.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
504Q O/U 7.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
51Spread -31.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
523Q O/U 7.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
53O/U 57.56700.0%$676700¢-6600¢
54Spread -34.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
554Q O/U 10.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
56O/U 59.56150.0%$2186150¢-6050¢
57O/U 61.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
582H O/U 30.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
592H Spread -4.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
601H O/U 21.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
611H O/U 24.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
62Oregon State O/U 26.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
633Q Spread -2.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
644Q Spread -2.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
652H Spread -6.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
66O/U 63.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
674Q O/U 13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
68San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
69San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
70Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
71San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
72San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
73San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
74Spread -18.55100.0%$2185100¢-5000¢
75Spread -0.55050.0%$265050¢-4950¢
76Spread -12.55050.0%$1435050¢-4950¢
77Spread -8.55000.0%$125000¢-4900¢
78O/U 37.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
791H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
802H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
812H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
822H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83San Diego State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84San Diego State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85San Diego State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Oregon State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87San Diego State 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88San Diego State 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89San Diego State 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90San Diego State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91San Diego State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92San Diego State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Oregon State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Oregon State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Oregon State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Oregon State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Oregon State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Oregon State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Oregon State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Oregon State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
140Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
141Oregon State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
143San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
144San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
145Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
146Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
147Oregon State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
148San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
149San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
150San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
151Spread -22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
152Spread -28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1531H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1541H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1552H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1562Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1572Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1583Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1593Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1603Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1614Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1624Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1632H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
164Oregon State O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
165San Diego State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1661H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1672Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1683Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1694Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
170Spread -14.54995.0%$2694995¢-4895¢
171Spread -13.54995.0%$9.8K4995¢-4895¢
172Spread -20.54950.0%$5244950¢-4850¢
173Spread -17.54950.0%$3.2K4950¢-4850¢
174Spread -16.54950.0%$19.7K4950¢-4850¢
175Spread -8.54950.0%$124950¢-4850¢
176Spread -0.54950.0%$264950¢-4850¢
177Oregon State O/U 32.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
178Oregon State O/U 35.54900.0%$224900¢-4800¢
179San Diego State vs. Oregon State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
180San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
181San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
182Oregon State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1833Q O/U 10.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
1844Q Spread -3.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
1853Q Spread -3.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
1863Q O/U 13.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
1872H Spread -7.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
188O/U 65.53950.0%$223950¢-3850¢
189O/U 67.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
1902H Spread -8.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
1912H O/U 27.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
1922H Spread -9.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
193O/U 69.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
194O/U 73.53150.0%$73150¢-3050¢
195O/U 75.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
1964Q O/U 16.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
1973Q Spread -7.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
198O/U 71.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
1993Q O/U 19.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
2003Q O/U 16.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
2014Q O/U 19.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
202San Diego State O/U 20.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
203San Diego State O/U 23.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
204Spread -7.5165.0%$358165¢-65¢
205Spread -2.5165.0%$72165¢-65¢
206Spread -3.5160.0%$533160¢-60¢
207Spread -10.5150.0%$573150¢-50¢
208Spread -5.5125.0%$56125¢-25¢
209Spread -6.5110.0%—110¢-10¢
210Spread -4.5110.0%$15110¢-10¢
211Spread -1.595.0%$5895¢5¢
212San Diego State vs. Oregon State60.0%$332.1K60¢40¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and Oregon State, scheduled for October 10 at 6:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Oregon State" if Oregon State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 10:02 PM
    00000.00
    $100.54

    Bought 173.344828 San Diego State for Spread: Oregon State (-17.5) at 0.58

  • 10:01 PM
    MAMasterSparks69
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 San Diego State for Spread: Oregon State (-13.5) at 0.46

  • 10:01 PM
    5D5DollarBilly
    $984.16

    Bought 1789.381817 Oregon State for Spread: Oregon State (-13.5) at 0.55

  • 09:57 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $13.20

    Bought 24 San Diego State for Spread: Oregon State (-16.5) at 0.55

  • 09:57 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $170.00

    Bought 200 Oregon State for San Diego State vs. Oregon State at 0.85

  • 09:57 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $55.25

    Bought 65 Oregon State for San Diego State vs. Oregon State at 0.85

  • 09:57 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $18.72

    Bought 39 Over for San Diego State vs. Oregon State: O/U 53.5 at 0.48

  • 09:56 PM
    MAmatnautico
    $10.00

    Bought 19.23077 San Diego State for Spread: Oregon State (-14.5) at 0.52

  • 09:56 PM
    BOBokich
    $10.03

    Bought 10.449302 Oregon State for Spread: San Diego State (-7.5) at 0.96

  • 09:55 PM
    SASassy-Bucket
    $29.60

    Bought 58.03 San Diego State for Spread: Oregon State (-14.5) at 0.51

  • 09:55 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $51.75

    Bought 115 San Diego State for Spread: Oregon State (-13.5) at 0.45

  • 09:54 PM
    MAMasterSparks69
    $1.12

    Bought 2.333334 Over for San Diego State vs. Oregon State: O/U 53.5 at 0.48

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MO1
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
+$425.60
成交量
$49,434.01
持仓数
San Diego StateSan Diego StateOver+1
B42
0xb4F9…0186
事件盈亏
-$256.89
成交量
$28,196.08
持仓数
Oregon State
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$138.86
成交量
$25,032.33
持仓数
San Diego StateOregon StateOver+8
AR4
ArielFilipino
事件盈亏
-$307.29
成交量
$22,774.24
持仓数
Oregon State
LA5
lalalalalalallalalalala
事件盈亏
+$99.03
成交量
$16,744.48
持仓数
Under
NO6
Nooserac
事件盈亏
+$2,552.79
成交量
$15,471.43
持仓数
Oregon State
0A7
0x0A77exmm
事件盈亏
-$76.83
成交量
$7,206.00
持仓数
Oregon State
FO8
Forecastication2
事件盈亏
+$67.13
成交量
$6,968.76
持仓数
San Diego StateSan Diego StateOver+5

常见问题

当前市场对「San Diego State vs. Oregon State」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Oregon State O/U 23.5 以 9,945% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 1H O/U 27.5（9,895%），以及 2Q O/U 7.5（9,895%）。该市场总成交量已达 $480.2K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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