South Dakota State vs. Northwestern

$33.1K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
概率趋势
Northwestern 81.5%
South Dakota State 18.5%

核心摘要

根据「South Dakota State vs. Northwestern」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 26.5 以压倒性的 9,400% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 28.5 以 9,400% 位居第二，O/U 30.5 以 9,100% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $33.1K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 26.5 (9,400%)：O/U 26.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,400¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 28.5 (9,400%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 28.5 保持着 9,400% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,400¢。
  • O/U 30.5 (9,100%)：以 9,100% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 30.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 32.5 (8,850%)、O/U 34.5 (8,550%)，以及 O/U 36.5 (8,250%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Spread -0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 26.59400.0%—9400¢-9300¢
2O/U 28.59400.0%—9400¢-9300¢
3O/U 30.59100.0%—9100¢-9000¢
4O/U 32.58850.0%—8850¢-8750¢
5O/U 34.58550.0%—8550¢-8450¢
6O/U 36.58250.0%—8250¢-8150¢
7Spread -0.58050.0%—8050¢-7950¢
8Spread -1.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
9O/U 38.57700.0%—7700¢-7600¢
10South Dakota State O/U 10.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
11Northwestern O/U 23.57650.0%—7650¢-7550¢
12Spread -2.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
13O/U 40.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
14Spread -3.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
15Spread -4.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
16Northwestern O/U 24.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
17South Dakota State O/U 13.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
18O/U 42.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
19Spread -5.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
20Northwestern O/U 26.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
21Spread -6.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
22Northwestern O/U 27.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
23O/U 44.56050.0%$1.1K6050¢-5950¢
24Spread -7.55950.0%$45950¢-5850¢
25Spread -8.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
26O/U 46.55750.0%$5.3K5750¢-5650¢
27South Dakota State O/U 16.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
281H Spread -6.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
29Northwestern O/U 29.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
30Spread -10.55350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
31Northwestern O/U 30.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
323Q Spread -2.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
334Q Spread -2.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
34Spread: Northwestern (-12.5)5050.0%$735050¢-4950¢
35O/U 48.55050.0%$725050¢-4950¢
361Q Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
371Q Spread -5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
383Q Moneyline5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
39Northwestern 1H O/U 16.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
403Q Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
413Q Spread -4.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
423Q Spread -5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
43South Dakota State 1H O/U 5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
443Q Spread -0.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Northwestern 1H O/U 18.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
461H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
471H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
481H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
491Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
501Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
511Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
522Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
534Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
544Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
554Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
564Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Northwestern 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58South Dakota State 1H O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
592Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
602Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
612Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
622Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63South Dakota State O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64South Dakota State O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65South Dakota State O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66South Dakota State O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67South Dakota State O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68South Dakota State 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
692H Moneyline4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
701Q Spread -1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
714Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
72Northwestern 1H O/U 14.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
731Q Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
743Q Spread -1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
75South Dakota State 1H O/U 7.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
761H Spread -7.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
772Q Spread -4.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
78Spread -13.54750.0%$3.5K4750¢-4650¢
79O/U 50.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
80South Dakota State O/U 19.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
81Northwestern O/U 32.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
82Spread -14.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
83Northwestern O/U 33.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
84O/U 52.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
85Spread -16.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
86Spread -17.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
87O/U 54.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
881H Spread -9.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
89South Dakota State O/U 22.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
90Northwestern O/U 35.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
91Northwestern O/U 36.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
92O/U 56.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
93Spread -20.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
94Spread -21.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
95O/U 58.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
96O/U 60.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
97Spread -24.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
98South Dakota State vs. Northwestern1850.0%$23.0K1850¢-1750¢
99O/U 62.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
100O/U 64.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
101Spread -27.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
102O/U 66.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
103Spread -31.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
104Spread -34.5650.0%—650¢-550¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 8:00PM ET:

If South Dakota State wins, the market will resolve to "South Dakota State".

If Northwestern wins, the market will resolve to "Northwestern".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 06:28 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $10.34

    Bought 19.14 South Dakota State for Spread: Northwestern (-13.5) at 0.54

  • 05:40 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.57

    Bought 19.14 Northwestern for Spread: Northwestern (-12.5) at 0.5

  • 05:29 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.76

    Bought 19.14 South Dakota State for Spread: Northwestern (-12.5) at 0.51

  • 04:06 AM
    NInigiri99
    $20.71

    Bought 109 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:56 AM
    NInigiri99
    $17.10

    Bought 90 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:53 AM
    NInigiri99
    $8.93

    Bought 47 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:49 AM
    NInigiri99
    $8.55

    Bought 45 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:49 AM
    NInigiri99
    $26.98

    Bought 142 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:48 AM
    NInigiri99
    $3.42

    Bought 18 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:46 AM
    NInigiri99
    $4.37

    Bought 23 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:46 AM
    NInigiri99
    $22.42

    Bought 118 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

  • 03:46 AM
    NInigiri99
    $7.98

    Bought 42 South Dakota State for South Dakota State vs. Northwestern at 0.19

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

CA1
CanadianGoose
事件盈亏
-$235.27
成交量
$18,000.00
持仓数
Northwestern
IM2
imjustkenisghey
事件盈亏
+$157.85
成交量
$9,769.36
持仓数
South Dakota State
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$109.65
成交量
$9,167.24
持仓数
OverSouth Dakota StateOver+2
TW4
twotontony
事件盈亏
+$35.01
成交量
$3,320.78
持仓数
NorthwesternOver
VE5
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$58.40
成交量
$2,842.12
持仓数
UnderUnder
BA6
Bagwell306
事件盈亏
-$12.50
成交量
$2,500.00
持仓数
Under
NI7
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$7.95
成交量
$2,431.00
持仓数
South Dakota StateSouth Dakota StateNorthwestern+1
7D8
0x7df8…80fe
事件盈亏
-$17.86
成交量
$1,190.47
持仓数
Northwestern

常见问题

当前市场对「South Dakota State vs. Northwestern」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 26.5 以 9,400% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 28.5（9,400%），以及 O/U 30.5（9,100%）。该市场总成交量已达 $33.1K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始