Richmond vs. NC State

$178.9K Vol
2026年9月12日
Active
概率趋势
NC State 99.4%
Richmond 0.7%

核心摘要

根据「Richmond vs. NC State」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Spread -10.5 以压倒性的 9,900% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 29.5 以 9,800% 位居第二，O/U 35.5 以 9,690% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $178.9K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Spread -10.5 (9,900%)：Spread -10.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,900¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 29.5 (9,800%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 29.5 保持着 9,800% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,800¢。
  • O/U 35.5 (9,690%)：以 9,690% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 35.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 Spread -14.5 (9,650%)、O/U 41.5 (9,450%)，以及 Spread -16.5 (9,400%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Spread -13.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Spread -10.59900.0%—9900¢-9800¢
2O/U 29.59800.0%—9800¢-9700¢
3O/U 35.59690.0%$5479690¢-9590¢
4Spread -14.59650.0%$2229650¢-9550¢
5O/U 41.59450.0%$159450¢-9350¢
6Spread -16.59400.0%—9400¢-9300¢
7Spread -13.59350.0%—9350¢-9250¢
8Spread -17.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
9Spread -20.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
10Spread -21.59150.0%$9179150¢-9050¢
111H Spread -14.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
121H Spread -16.59050.0%$2.7K9050¢-8950¢
13Spread -24.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
14Spread -27.58750.0%—8750¢-8650¢
15O/U 47.58600.0%$1328600¢-8500¢
161H Spread -17.58500.0%$9498500¢-8400¢
17Spread -30.58450.0%$8.0K8450¢-8350¢
18O/U 48.58200.0%$2.6K8200¢-8100¢
19O/U 49.58100.0%$3148100¢-8000¢
20O/U 45.58000.0%$1918000¢-7900¢
21O/U 50.57900.0%$4817900¢-7800¢
22O/U 33.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
23O/U 37.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
24O/U 39.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
25O/U 43.57700.0%$3787700¢-7600¢
26O/U 51.57650.0%$2277650¢-7550¢
27Spread -31.57050.0%$2.4K7050¢-6950¢
28Spread -32.57050.0%$8887050¢-6950¢
29Spread -34.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
30Spread -28.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
31O/U 53.56650.0%$1786650¢-6550¢
32O/U 57.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
33Spread -33.56200.0%$1356200¢-6100¢
34Spread -23.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
35Spread -48.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
36O/U 63.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
37Spread -0.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
381H O/U 20.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
39Richmond O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Richmond O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Richmond O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Richmond O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43NC State O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44NC State O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45NC State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46NC State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55O/U 31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56O/U 55.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57O/U 61.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58O/U 67.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
592H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
601H Spread -15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
611H Spread -18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
621Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
631Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
641Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
651Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
661Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
671Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
682Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
692Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
702Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
712Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
722Q Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
732Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
743Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
753Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
763Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
773Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
783Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
793Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
804Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
814Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
824Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
834Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
844Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
854Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Richmond O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Richmond O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Richmond O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Richmond O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Richmond O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91NC State O/U 32.55000.0%$3995000¢-4900¢
92NC State O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93NC State O/U 38.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94NC State O/U 41.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95NC State O/U 44.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
961Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
972Q Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
983Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Will Wilson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100CJ Bailey: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Joshisa Trader: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Davion Gause: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Preston Douglas: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Vander Ploog: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Keenan Jackson: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Victor Snow: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Davion Dozier: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Hunter Provience: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Sean Clarke: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Quanye Veney: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Ashten Snelsire: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Jamaal Brown: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113NC State O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114NC State O/U 36.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115NC State O/U 39.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116NC State O/U 42.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117NC State O/U 45.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118NC State O/U 34.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119NC State O/U 37.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120NC State O/U 40.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121NC State O/U 43.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122NC State O/U 46.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Richmond O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Richmond O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Richmond O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Richmond O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Richmond O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Richmond O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Richmond O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Richmond O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Richmond O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Richmond O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133NC State O/U 47.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134NC State 1H O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135NC State 1H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136NC State 1H O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Richmond 1H O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138Richmond 1H O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139Richmond 1H O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1404Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
141NC State 1H O/U 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142NC State 1H O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
143NC State 1H O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1441H Spread -19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1452Q Spread -12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
146Spread -19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
147Spread -25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
148Spread -26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
149Spread -29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
150Spread -40.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1511H Spread -21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1521H O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1531H O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1541H O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1551H O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1562H Spread -12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1572H Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1582H Spread -15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1592H Spread -16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1602H Spread -17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1612H Spread -19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1622H O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1632H O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1642H O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1652H O/U 28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1662H O/U 31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1671Q Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1681Q O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1691Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1701Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1711Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1721Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1732Q Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1742Q O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1752Q O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1762Q O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1772Q O/U 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1782Q O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1793Q Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1803Q O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1813Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1823Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1833Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1843Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1854Q Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1864Q O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1874Q O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1884Q O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1894Q O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1904Q O/U 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
191Richmond 2H O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
192Richmond 2H O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
193Richmond 2H O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
194NC State 2H O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
195NC State 2H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
196NC State 2H O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1972Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
198Spread -36.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
199Spread -37.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
200Spread -39.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
201Spread -42.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
202Spread -44.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
203Spread -47.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
204Spread -50.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
205Spread -35.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
206Spread -38.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
207Spread -54.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
208O/U 59.54700.0%$2.6K4700¢-4600¢
209Spread -41.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
2101H Moneyline3500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
211O/U 69.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
212O/U 65.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
213Spread -51.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
214Richmond vs. NC State60.0%$157.4K60¢40¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Richmond and NC State, scheduled for September 11 at 7:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Richmond" if Richmond win the game.

This market will resolve to "NC State" if NC State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 11, 2026

  • 11:12 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $2.70

    Bought 4.73 NC State for 1H Spread: NC State (-17.5) at 0.57

  • 11:12 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $8.55

    Bought 15 NC State for 1H Spread: NC State (-17.5) at 0.57

  • 11:12 PM
    SHshoemanhere
    $5.60

    Bought 10 NC State for 1H Spread: NC State (-17.5) at 0.56

  • 11:12 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $5.18

    Bought 9.25 NC State for 1H Spread: NC State (-17.5) at 0.56

  • 11:08 PM
    ANanthill1
    $3.00

    Bought 5.357143 Under for Richmond vs. NC State: O/U 51.5 at 0.56

  • 11:08 PM
    ——
    $1.07

    Bought 1.910715 Under for Richmond vs. NC State: O/U 51.5 at 0.56

  • 11:08 PM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $25.08

    Bought 44 Under for Richmond vs. NC State: O/U 51.5 at 0.57

  • 11:08 PM
    3838791873984189
    $26.00

    Bought 50 Under for Richmond vs. NC State: O/U 51.5 at 0.52

  • 11:07 PM
    CHCHINOOOOOO
    $15.00

    Bought 29.411765 Over for Richmond vs. NC State: O/U 53.5 at 0.51

  • 11:06 PM
    ——
    $22.33

    Bought 47.510639 Under for Richmond vs. NC State: O/U 48.5 at 0.47

  • 11:06 PM
    JUjustaluckydude
    $760.00

    Bought 1809.52381 Under for Richmond vs. NC State: O/U 48.5 at 0.42

  • 10:57 PM
    FLflix42356543rwfgdsg534grtg
    $25.01

    Bought 45.47 NC State for Spread: NC State (-31.5) at 0.55

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

LP1
lpcapital1
事件盈亏
+$4.30
成交量
$46,540.77
持仓数
NC StateOverOver+1
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$44.42
成交量
$38,084.00
持仓数
NC StateRichmondRichmond+2
MO3
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$37.35
成交量
$15,668.97
持仓数
RichmondNC StateNC State+4
PH4
phonesculptor
事件盈亏
+$8.63
成交量
$5,740.40
持仓数
NC State
285
2829
事件盈亏
-$2.01
成交量
$5,260.00
持仓数
RichmondRichmond
GA6
Gaditima
事件盈亏
+$62.96
成交量
$4,859.15
持仓数
RichmondNC State
077
0x076d…8d4c
事件盈亏
-$1.86
成交量
$3,348.47
持仓数
NC State
388
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$15.78
成交量
$3,113.73
持仓数
NC StateNC StateNC State+7

常见问题

当前市场对「Richmond vs. NC State」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Spread -10.5 以 9,900% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 29.5（9,800%），以及 O/U 35.5（9,690%）。该市场总成交量已达 $178.9K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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