Penn State vs. Northwestern

$130.1K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
概率趋势
Penn State 56.5%
Northwestern 43.5%

核心摘要

根据「Penn State vs. Northwestern」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 35.5 以压倒性的 7,700% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 37.5 以 7,350% 位居第二,1H O/U 21.5 以 7,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $130.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (7,700%):O/U 35.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,700¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $25 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 37.5 (7,350%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 37.5 保持着 7,350% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,350¢。
  • 1H O/U 21.5 (7,250%):以 7,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 1H O/U 21.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 39.5 (6,950%)、O/U 41.5 (6,550%),以及 Penn State O/U 20.5 (6,400%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 43.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 35.57700.0%$257700¢-7600¢
2O/U 37.57350.0%$297350¢-7250¢
31H O/U 21.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
4O/U 39.56950.0%$296950¢-6850¢
5O/U 41.56550.0%$406550¢-6450¢
6Penn State O/U 20.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
7O/U 43.55950.0%$1.7K5950¢-5850¢
8Penn State vs. Northwestern5650.0%$59.7K5650¢-5550¢
9Spread -0.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
101H O/U 33.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
111Q Spread -3.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
12O/U 45.55450.0%$19.8K5450¢-5350¢
13Spread -1.55400.0%$1565400¢-5300¢
14Penn State O/U 23.55400.0%$3895400¢-5300¢
151H Moneyline5300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
162Q O/U 10.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
17Spread -2.55150.0%$1895150¢-5050¢
181Q O/U 7.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
192Q O/U 19.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
201Q Moneyline5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
212H O/U 27.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
222H O/U 30.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
232Q O/U 13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
24Penn State 1H O/U 11.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
25Northwestern O/U 2.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
262H O/U 21.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
272H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
282H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
294Q O/U 16.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
30Penn State 1H O/U 13.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
31Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
322H Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
333Q Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
342Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
353Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
363Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
373Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
383Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
393Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
404Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
414Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
424Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
434Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Penn State 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Northwestern 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Penn State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Penn State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Penn State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Northwestern 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Northwestern 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Northwestern 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Penn State vs. Northwestern: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Penn State vs. Northwestern: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Penn State vs. Northwestern: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Northwestern 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Northwestern 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Penn State vs. Northwestern: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Penn State vs. Northwestern: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1152H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1162H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1172H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1182H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1191Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1201Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1212Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1222Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1232Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1242Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1252Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1263Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1273Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1283Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1293Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1303Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1314Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1324Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1334Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1344Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Penn State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1362H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1372Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1383Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1394Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
140Northwestern 1H O/U 16.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
141Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1422H Spread -2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1431Q Spread -1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1442Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1454Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
146O/U 47.54850.0%$1.9K4850¢-4750¢
147Northwestern O/U 29.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
148Penn State vs. Northwestern: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
1491H Spread -1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
1501H Spread -0.54750.0%$3.8K4750¢-4650¢
1514Q Spread -1.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
1522Q O/U 7.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
153Northwestern O/U 23.54600.0%$874600¢-4500¢
154Northwestern O/U 35.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
1551H O/U 24.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
156Northwestern 1H O/U 12.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
1571H Spread -0.54350.0%$3.8K4350¢-4250¢
158Spread -0.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
159Northwestern O/U 26.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
160Spread -3.54250.0%$1104250¢-4150¢
161O/U 49.54250.0%$1144250¢-4150¢
162Spread -1.54200.0%$1564200¢-4100¢
163Spread -17.54200.0%$854200¢-4100¢
1641H Spread -1.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
165Spread -4.54100.0%$3264100¢-4000¢
166Spread -2.54050.0%$1894050¢-3950¢
167Spread -5.54000.0%$3234000¢-3900¢
168Spread -20.53950.0%$2263950¢-3850¢
169Penn State O/U 32.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
1701Q Spread -0.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
1711H Spread -3.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
172Northwestern O/U 32.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
173Penn State O/U 29.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
174Spread -6.53700.0%$1303700¢-3600¢
175O/U 51.53650.0%$53650¢-3550¢
176Spread -3.53450.0%$1103450¢-3350¢
1771Q O/U 10.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
178Penn State O/U 26.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
1791Q O/U 13.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
1801H Spread -3.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
181O/U 53.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
1821H O/U 27.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
183Spread -7.53150.0%$2663150¢-3050¢
184Spread -8.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
185Spread -4.53050.0%$3263050¢-2950¢
186Spread -16.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
187Spread -5.52950.0%$3232950¢-2850¢
188Spread -6.52750.0%$1302750¢-2650¢
1891Q Spread -3.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
190O/U 55.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
1911H O/U 30.52600.0%—2600¢-2500¢
192Spread -10.52500.0%$3162500¢-2400¢
193O/U 57.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
194Spread -7.52200.0%$2662200¢-2100¢
195Spread -13.52050.0%$5272050¢-1950¢
196Spread -8.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
197O/U 59.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
198Spread -14.51750.0%$9161750¢-1650¢
199Spread -10.51750.0%$3161750¢-1650¢
200O/U 63.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
201O/U 61.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
2021Q O/U 16.51550.0%—1550¢-1450¢
203Spread -16.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
204Spread -17.51350.0%$851350¢-1250¢
205Spread -13.51350.0%$5271350¢-1250¢
206O/U 65.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
207Spread -14.51050.0%$9161050¢-950¢
208Spread -20.51000.0%$2261000¢-900¢
2091Q O/U 19.5950.0%$2950¢-850¢
210O/U 69.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
211O/U 67.5800.0%$28800¢-700¢
212O/U 71.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
213O/U 73.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
214O/U 75.5650.0%—650¢-550¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Penn State and Northwestern, scheduled for October 2 at 8:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Northwestern" if Northwestern win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 2, 2026

  • 09:41 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.80

    Bought 18.15 Over for Penn State vs. Northwestern: O/U 45.5 at 0.54

  • 09:41 PM
    02024370
    $57.00

    Bought 100 Penn State for Penn State vs. Northwestern at 0.57

  • 09:41 PM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615385 Penn State for Spread: Penn State (-2.5) at 0.52

  • 09:39 PM
    ——
    $14.48

    Sold 25.86 Penn State for Penn State vs. Northwestern at 0.56

  • 09:39 PM
    ACACTA2MUTANT
    $40.00

    Bought 70.175439 Penn State for Penn State vs. Northwestern at 0.57

  • 09:38 PM
    NIninemmmm
    $1.10

    Bought 5 Northwestern for Spread: Northwestern (-7.5) at 0.22

  • 09:34 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $58.77

    Bought 326.5 Penn State for Spread: Penn State (-14.5) at 0.18

  • 09:34 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $34.54

    Bought 157 Northwestern for Spread: Northwestern (-7.5) at 0.22

  • 09:29 PM
    0X0xAff1b5E12F494089BD956248046A12842EccB691-1790858343755
    $1.72

    Sold 10.09 Penn State for Spread: Penn State (-14.5) at 0.17

  • 09:22 PM
    CHCharlieEcho1510
    $5.00

    Bought 8.77193 Penn State for Penn State vs. Northwestern at 0.57

  • 09:22 PM
    0X0x3981AD83017C5D0A2d6e53f5AdA011a9A4018809-1780766946736
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754386 Penn State for Penn State vs. Northwestern at 0.57

  • 09:18 PM
    DUdunkie-duncs
    $5.00

    Bought 9.25926 Over for Penn State vs. Northwestern: O/U 45.5 at 0.54

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MO1
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
+$137.22
成交量
$22,727.59
持仓数
NorthwesternNorthwesternPenn State+1
AR2
ArielFilipino
事件盈亏
-$306.49
成交量
$21,300.00
持仓数
Penn State
WR3
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$303.15
成交量
$20,208.90
持仓数
Northwestern
MO4
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$26.13
成交量
$19,364.82
持仓数
OverPenn StateNorthwestern+14
GA5
gagarin59
事件盈亏
-$16.57
成交量
$17,564.04
持仓数
UnderUnderNorthwestern+3
TY6
tysonuw
事件盈亏
-$31.53
成交量
$6,307.04
持仓数
Penn State
CH7
ChampGamp
事件盈亏
-$26.31
成交量
$5,263.16
持仓数
Penn State
JA8
JAMJAMJAM4
事件盈亏
+$17.90
成交量
$3,840.00
持仓数
Over

常见问题

当前市场对「Penn State vs. Northwestern」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 7,700% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 37.5(7,350%),以及 1H O/U 21.5(7,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $130.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始