New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i

$307K Vol
2026年9月13日
Active
概率趋势
Hawai'i 72.0%
New Mexico State 28.0%

核心摘要

根据「New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 34.5 以压倒性的 9,900% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 40.5 以 9,700% 位居第二,O/U 46.5 以 9,650% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $307K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 34.5 (9,900%):O/U 34.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,900¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $5 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 40.5 (9,700%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 40.5 保持着 9,700% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,700¢。
  • O/U 46.5 (9,650%):以 9,650% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 46.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 49.5 (9,150%)、O/U 50.5 (9,050%),以及 O/U 51.5 (9,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 52.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 34.59900.0%$59900¢-9800¢
2O/U 40.59700.0%9700¢-9600¢
3O/U 46.59650.0%$2.2K9650¢-9550¢
4O/U 49.59150.0%$1.6K9150¢-9050¢
5O/U 50.59050.0%$2.2K9050¢-8950¢
6O/U 51.59000.0%$1.3K9000¢-8900¢
7O/U 52.58250.0%$28250¢-8150¢
8O/U 54.58250.0%8250¢-8150¢
93Q Moneyline7350.0%7350¢-7250¢
10O/U 58.57250.0%7250¢-7150¢
11Spread -2.55900.0%$825900¢-5800¢
12Spread -1.55850.0%$245850¢-5750¢
13Spread -18.55600.0%5600¢-5500¢
14Spread -3.55250.0%$165250¢-5150¢
15Spread -8.55000.0%$1.1K5000¢-4900¢
16Spread -0.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
17Spread -31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Spread -34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19O/U 32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20O/U 36.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21O/U 38.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22O/U 42.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23O/U 44.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24O/U 48.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25O/U 56.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26O/U 60.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27O/U 62.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28O/U 66.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29O/U 68.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
302H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Hawai'i O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32New Mexico State O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
332H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
342H Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
352H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
362H Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
373Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
383Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
393Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
404Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
414Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
424Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
434Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
444Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
454Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
46New Mexico State O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
47New Mexico State O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
48New Mexico State O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
49New Mexico State O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
50New Mexico State O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
51Hawai'i O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
52Hawai'i O/U 25.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
53Hawai'i O/U 28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
54Hawai'i O/U 31.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
55Hawai'i O/U 34.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
562H Spread -6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
573Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
58Hawai'i O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
59Hawai'i O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
60Hawai'i O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
61Hawai'i O/U 32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
62Hawai'i O/U 35.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
63New Mexico State 2H O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
64New Mexico State 2H O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
65New Mexico State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
66Hawai'i 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
67Hawai'i 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
68Hawai'i 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
69Spread -12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
70Spread -8.55000.0%$1.1K5000¢-4900¢
71Spread -0.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
72Spread -12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
73Spread -15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
74Spread -22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
75Spread -25.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
76Spread -28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
772H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
782H Spread -7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
792H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
802H O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
812H O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
822H O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
832H O/U 30.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
843Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
853Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
863Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
873Q O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
883Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
893Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
903Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
913Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
924Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
934Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
944Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
954Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
964Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
974Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
984Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
99DeVon Rice: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
100James Jones: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
101Tama Uiliata: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
102Devin Alves: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
103Audric Harris: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
104Trey Hedden: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
105Tyler King: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
106Blaze Kamoku: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
107Micah Alejado: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
108Terrell Washington Jr.: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
109Carson Brown: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
110Dijon Stanley: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
111Kainoa Carvalho: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
112Josiah Fetui: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
113TJ Pride: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
114Lyndon Ravare: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
115Josiah Thomas: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
116Terrione Graves: Anytime Touchdown5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
1172H Spread -5.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
118Spread -4.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
119Spread -6.54450.0%$5004450¢-4350¢
120Spread -5.54250.0%$1264250¢-4150¢
121O/U 64.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
122Spread -2.53600.0%$823600¢-3500¢
123New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i3550.0%$134.1K3550¢-3450¢
124Spread -7.53000.0%$140.2K3000¢-2900¢
125Spread -9.52950.0%$342950¢-2850¢
126Spread -11.52700.0%$1092700¢-2600¢
127Spread -5.52690.0%$1262690¢-2590¢
128Spread -10.52450.0%$7272450¢-2350¢
129Spread -13.52450.0%2450¢-2350¢
130O/U 70.52200.0%$2.2K2200¢-2100¢
131Spread -9.52190.0%$342190¢-2090¢
132Spread -6.51840.0%$5001840¢-1740¢
133Spread -14.51400.0%$1.1K1400¢-1300¢
134Spread -16.51200.0%$251200¢-1100¢
135Spread -17.5900.0%900¢-800¢
136Spread -21.5800.0%800¢-700¢
137Spread -24.5680.0%680¢-580¢
138Spread -20.5550.0%$1.5K550¢-450¢
139Spread -27.5540.0%$55540¢-440¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico State and Hawai'i, scheduled for September 13 at 12:00AM ET:

This market will resolve to "New Mexico State" if New Mexico State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 12, 2026

  • 11:12 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $64.29

    Bought 82.42 Hawaii for Spread: New Mexico State (-2.5) at 0.78

  • 07:22 PM
    TITimPenis
    $1.86

    Bought 2.547944 Hawaii for New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i at 0.73

  • 06:47 PM
    DFDFY
    $3.50

    Bought 7.142858 Hawaii for Spread: Hawai'i (-7.5) at 0.49

  • 04:23 PM
    0X0x8a31Afc7Ab5bc94Fb4423E2A84f3BaFB4957803f-1771673480495
    $3.00

    Bought 5.263158 Hawaii for Spread: Hawai'i (-6.5) at 0.57

  • 01:30 PM
    EMempty12
    $1.37

    Sold 3.04 Over for New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 51.5 at 0.45

  • 01:20 PM
    EMempty12
    $1.40

    Bought 3.04 Over for New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 51.5 at 0.46

  • 12:44 PM
    YUyuyakowako
    $110.00

    Bought 211.538462 New Mexico State for Spread: Hawai'i (-7.5) at 0.52

  • 05:41 AM
    MAMaker-Hedger
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 New Mexico State for Spread: Hawai'i (-9.5) at 0.55

  • 05:37 AM
    0X0xF0e02A54C235B27273FdC63FEf80224E1280016A-1777966205584
    $42.00

    Sold 84 Under for New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 50.5 at 0.5

  • 05:37 AM
    $588.00

    Bought 1200 Over for New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 50.5 at 0.49

  • 05:11 AM
    LUluckysussygodcat
    $12.91

    Bought 17.68 Hawaii for New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i at 0.73

  • 05:04 AM
    LUluckysussygodcat
    $258.09

    Bought 353.55 Hawaii for New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i at 0.73

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
事件盈亏
-$169.32
成交量
$22,978.25
持仓数
Hawai'i
HI2
hi774c
事件盈亏
+$43.72
成交量
$9,246.00
持仓数
New Mexico StateHawai'i
9F3
0x9f15…bdb3
事件盈亏
+$120.72
成交量
$8,048.06
持仓数
New Mexico State
VE4
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$13.90
成交量
$5,301.54
持仓数
New Mexico StateUnderHawai'i+3
385
38791873984189
事件盈亏
+$4.61
成交量
$1,650.87
持仓数
New Mexico StateNew Mexico StateHawai'i+7
UP6
UpTheBlues
事件盈亏
-$24.86
成交量
$1,595.40
持仓数
Hawai'iOverOver
637
0x6387…95dc
事件盈亏
-$5.95
成交量
$1,200.00
持仓数
Over
LU8
LuckyLoo
事件盈亏
-$3.40
成交量
$754.98
持仓数
New Mexico State

常见问题

当前市场对「New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 34.5 以 9,900% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 40.5(9,700%),以及 O/U 46.5(9,650%)。该市场总成交量已达 $307K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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