New Mexico vs. Oklahoma

$206.5K Vol
2026年9月20日
Active
概率趋势
Oklahoma 98.7%
New Mexico 1.4%

核心摘要

根据「New Mexico vs. Oklahoma」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Spread -1.5 以压倒性的 9,955% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -4.5 以 9,955% 位居第二,Spread -5.5 以 9,955% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $206.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,955%):Spread -1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,955¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -4.5 (9,955%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -4.5 保持着 9,955% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,955¢。
  • Spread -5.5 (9,955%):以 9,955% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -5.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -7.5 (9,955%)、2H Spread -6.5 (9,050%),以及 3Q Spread -2.5 (9,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 3Q Spread -4.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Spread -1.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
2Spread -4.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
3Spread -5.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
4Spread -7.59955.0%9955¢-9855¢
52H Spread -6.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
63Q Spread -2.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
73Q Spread -4.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
83Q Spread -5.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
93Q Spread -6.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
103Q Spread -0.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
113Q Spread -3.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
12Oklahoma O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
134Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
142H Moneyline950.0%950¢-850¢
15New Mexico O/U 1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
163Q Moneyline950.0%950¢-850¢
172H Spread -8.5950.0%950¢-850¢
182H Spread -9.5950.0%950¢-850¢
192H Spread -10.5950.0%950¢-850¢
202H Spread -11.5950.0%950¢-850¢
212H Spread -13.5950.0%950¢-850¢
222H O/U 14.5950.0%950¢-850¢
232H O/U 17.5950.0%950¢-850¢
242H O/U 20.5950.0%$46950¢-850¢
252H O/U 23.5950.0%950¢-850¢
262H O/U 26.5950.0%950¢-850¢
273Q Spread -7.5950.0%950¢-850¢
283Q Spread -9.5950.0%950¢-850¢
293Q O/U 8.5950.0%950¢-850¢
303Q O/U 11.5950.0%950¢-850¢
313Q O/U 14.5950.0%950¢-850¢
324Q Spread -2.5950.0%950¢-850¢
334Q Spread -4.5950.0%950¢-850¢
344Q Spread -5.5950.0%950¢-850¢
354Q Spread -6.5950.0%950¢-850¢
364Q Spread -7.5950.0%950¢-850¢
374Q Spread -9.5950.0%950¢-850¢
384Q O/U 4.5950.0%950¢-850¢
394Q O/U 7.5950.0%950¢-850¢
404Q O/U 10.5950.0%950¢-850¢
414Q O/U 13.5950.0%950¢-850¢
424Q O/U 16.5950.0%950¢-850¢
43New Mexico 2H O/U 4.5950.0%950¢-850¢
44New Mexico 2H O/U 6.5950.0%950¢-850¢
45New Mexico 2H O/U 8.5950.0%950¢-850¢
46Oklahoma 2H O/U 12.5950.0%950¢-850¢
47Oklahoma 2H O/U 14.5950.0%950¢-850¢
48Oklahoma 2H O/U 16.5950.0%950¢-850¢
49O/U 25.550.0%50¢50¢
50O/U 27.550.0%50¢50¢
51O/U 29.550.0%$1050¢50¢
52O/U 31.550.0%50¢50¢
53O/U 33.550.0%50¢50¢
54O/U 35.550.0%50¢50¢
55O/U 37.550.0%$2550¢50¢
56O/U 39.550.0%50¢50¢
57O/U 41.550.0%$2650¢50¢
58O/U 43.550.0%50¢50¢
59O/U 45.550.0%$49.0K50¢50¢
60O/U 47.550.0%$15050¢50¢
61O/U 53.550.0%50¢50¢
62O/U 55.550.0%50¢50¢
63O/U 57.550.0%50¢50¢
64O/U 59.550.0%50¢50¢
65O/U 61.550.0%50¢50¢
66O/U 63.550.0%50¢50¢
67O/U 65.550.0%50¢50¢
68New Mexico O/U 15.550.0%$1050¢50¢
69Spread -11.545.0%$11045¢55¢
70Spread -13.545.0%$5045¢55¢
71Spread -14.545.0%$9945¢55¢
72Spread -15.545.0%$645¢55¢
73Spread -16.545.0%$2545¢55¢
74Spread -17.545.0%45¢55¢
75Spread -18.545.0%$2545¢55¢
76Spread -19.545.0%45¢55¢
77Spread -22.545.0%$445¢55¢
78Spread -23.545.0%45¢55¢
79Spread -24.545.0%$10945¢55¢
80Spread -25.545.0%45¢55¢
81Spread -26.545.0%$2545¢55¢
82Spread -27.545.0%$2545¢55¢
83Spread -28.545.0%$645¢55¢
84Spread -29.545.0%45¢55¢
85Spread -30.545.0%45¢55¢
86Spread -32.545.0%45¢55¢
87Spread -35.545.0%45¢55¢
88Spread -36.545.0%45¢55¢
89Spread -38.545.0%45¢55¢
90Spread -39.545.0%45¢55¢
91Spread -42.545.0%45¢55¢
92O/U 49.545.0%$3.7K45¢55¢
93O/U 51.545.0%$3.8K45¢55¢
94New Mexico O/U 6.545.0%45¢55¢
95New Mexico O/U 9.545.0%45¢55¢
96New Mexico O/U 12.545.0%45¢55¢
97New Mexico O/U 18.545.0%45¢55¢
98Oklahoma O/U 27.545.0%45¢55¢
99Oklahoma O/U 30.545.0%45¢55¢
100Oklahoma O/U 33.545.0%45¢55¢
101Oklahoma O/U 36.545.0%45¢55¢
102Oklahoma O/U 39.545.0%45¢55¢
103New Mexico vs. Oklahoma5.0%$116.3K95¢
104Spread -8.55.0%$20095¢
105Spread -20.55.0%$2.1K95¢
106Spread -21.55.0%$35.5K95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico and Oklahoma, scheduled for September 19 at 7:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game.

This market will resolve to "Oklahoma" if Oklahoma win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:34 PM
    ICic4cream
    $49.00

    Bought 100 Oklahoma for Spread: Oklahoma (-21.5) at 0.49

  • 11:34 PM
    DADansoulette
    $50.00

    Bought 83.333332 New Mexico for Spread: Oklahoma (-24.5) at 0.6

  • 11:30 PM
    0X0x418D51e13d019913BB027DB22ECc723fe1AD88A3-1720918577961
    $61.20

    Bought 120 New Mexico for Spread: Oklahoma (-21.5) at 0.51

  • 11:30 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $2.45

    Bought 5 Oklahoma for Spread: Oklahoma (-21.5) at 0.49

  • 11:29 PM
    NSns9z
    $500.00

    Bought 1020.408164 Oklahoma for Spread: Oklahoma (-21.5) at 0.49

  • 11:28 PM
    NInigiri99
    $24.30

    Bought 45 Oklahoma for 1H Spread: Oklahoma (-10.5) at 0.54

  • 11:27 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $24.48

    Bought 51 New Mexico for Spread: Oklahoma (-20.5) at 0.48

  • 11:27 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $21.60

    Bought 45 Oklahoma for Spread: Oklahoma (-21.5) at 0.48

  • 11:27 PM
    0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
    $69.16

    Bought 133 Over for New Mexico vs. Oklahoma: O/U 45.5 at 0.52

  • 11:24 PM
    MEmemo21
    $4.77

    Bought 9 Over for New Mexico vs. Oklahoma: O/U 45.5 at 0.53

  • 11:24 PM
    NInigiri99
    $1,040.00

    Bought 2000 Over for New Mexico vs. Oklahoma: O/U 45.5 at 0.52

  • 11:23 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $290.08

    Bought 828.8 Over for New Mexico vs. Oklahoma: O/U 51.5 at 0.35

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

BA1
bands1
事件盈亏
+$140.96
成交量
$27,514.60
持仓数
New Mexico
WR2
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$50.77
成交量
$15,920.45
持仓数
Over
KI3
kingflop
事件盈亏
+$4.34
成交量
$14,497.09
持仓数
OklahomaUnder
HO4
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$108.41
成交量
$14,251.50
持仓数
UnderOklahoma
0A5
0x0A77exmm
事件盈亏
-$31.25
成交量
$6,249.00
持仓数
Oklahoma
FA6
FaroeseNationalist
事件盈亏
+$75.04
成交量
$5,000.00
持仓数
New Mexico
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$99.59
成交量
$3,326.38
持仓数
OklahomaOklahomaNew Mexico
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$203.46
成交量
$2,728.21
持仓数
UnderNew Mexico

常见问题

当前市场对「New Mexico vs. Oklahoma」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Spread -1.5 以 9,955% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -4.5(9,955%),以及 Spread -5.5(9,955%)。该市场总成交量已达 $206.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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