New Mexico vs. New Mexico State

2026年9月26日
Active
概率趋势
New Mexico 80.0%
New Mexico State 20.0%

核心摘要

根据「New Mexico vs. New Mexico State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 28.5 以压倒性的 8,200% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 30.5 以 8,100% 位居第二,O/U 32.5 以 7,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 28.5 (8,200%):O/U 28.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,200¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 30.5 (8,100%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 30.5 保持着 8,100% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,100¢。
  • O/U 32.5 (7,950%):以 7,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 32.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 New Mexico vs. New Mexico State (7,900%)、O/U 34.5 (7,650%),以及 O/U 36.5 (7,600%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 28.58200.0%8200¢-8100¢
2O/U 30.58100.0%8100¢-8000¢
3O/U 32.57950.0%7950¢-7850¢
4New Mexico vs. New Mexico State7900.0%7900¢-7800¢
5O/U 34.57650.0%7650¢-7550¢
6O/U 36.57600.0%7600¢-7500¢
7Spread -1.57350.0%7350¢-7250¢
8O/U 38.57200.0%7200¢-7100¢
9O/U 40.56950.0%6950¢-6850¢
10Spread -3.56900.0%6900¢-6800¢
11Spread -4.56750.0%6750¢-6650¢
12Spread -5.56600.0%6600¢-6500¢
13O/U 42.56600.0%6600¢-6500¢
14Spread -6.56500.0%6500¢-6400¢
15O/U 44.56100.0%6100¢-6000¢
16Spread -7.56050.0%6050¢-5950¢
17Spread -8.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
18O/U 46.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
19Spread -9.55400.0%5400¢-5300¢
201H Spread -9.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
21New Mexico O/U 24.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
22New Mexico O/U 27.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
23New Mexico State O/U 11.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
24New Mexico State O/U 14.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
25Spread -32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Spread -29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Spread -28.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Spread -26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Spread -25.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Spread -10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
351H Spread -7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
361H Spread -6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
371H Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
381H Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
391H Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
401H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
411H O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
421H O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
431H O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
441H O/U 30.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
452H Spread -9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
462H Spread -7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
472H Spread -6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
482H Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
492H Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
502H Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
512H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
522H O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
532H O/U 24.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
542H O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
552H O/U 30.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
561Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
571Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
581Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
591Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
601Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
611Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
621Q O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
631Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
641Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
651Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
661Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
672Q Spread -7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
682Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
692Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
702Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
712Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
722Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
732Q O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
742Q O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
752Q O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
762Q O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
772Q O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
783Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
793Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
803Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
813Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
823Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
833Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
843Q O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
853Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
863Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
873Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
884Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
894Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
904Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
914Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
924Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
934Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
944Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
954Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
964Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
974Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
98New Mexico State O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
99New Mexico 1H O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
100New Mexico 1H O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
101New Mexico 1H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
102New Mexico State 1H O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
103New Mexico State 1H O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
104New Mexico State 1H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
105New Mexico 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
106New Mexico 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
107New Mexico 2H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
108New Mexico State 2H O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
109New Mexico State 2H O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
110New Mexico State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
111Spread -1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
1123Q O/U 13.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
1134Q Spread -0.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
114New Mexico O/U 33.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
115New Mexico O/U 36.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
116New Mexico State O/U 20.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
117New Mexico State O/U 23.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
118O/U 48.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
119Spread -11.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
120Spread -12.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
121New Mexico O/U 30.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
122Spread -13.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
123Spread -14.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
124O/U 50.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
125Spread -15.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
126Spread -16.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
127O/U 52.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
128Spread -17.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
129Spread -18.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
130Spread -19.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
131O/U 54.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
132Spread -20.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
133O/U 56.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
134Spread -22.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
135O/U 58.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
136O/U 60.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
137O/U 62.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢
138O/U 64.52350.0%2350¢-2250¢
139O/U 66.52100.0%2100¢-2000¢
140O/U 68.52000.0%2000¢-1900¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico and New Mexico State, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game.

This market will resolve to "New Mexico State" if New Mexico State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

常见问题

当前市场对「New Mexico vs. New Mexico State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 28.5 以 8,200% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 30.5(8,100%),以及 O/U 32.5(7,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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