Nicholls State vs. Sam Houston

$93K Vol
2026年9月20日
Resolved
概率趋势
Sam Houston 95.3%
Nicholls State 4.7%

核心摘要

根据「Nicholls State vs. Sam Houston」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Spread -0.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -1.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Spread -3.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $93K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Spread -0.5 (9,995%):Spread -0.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $16 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -1.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -1.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Spread -3.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -3.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -4.5 (9,995%)、Spread -7.5 (9,995%),以及 Spread -9.5 (9,995%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -10.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Spread -0.59995.0%$169995¢-9895¢
2Spread -1.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
3Spread -3.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
4Spread -4.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
5Spread -7.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
6Spread -9.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
7Spread -10.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
8Spread -11.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
9Spread -12.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
10Spread -13.59995.0%$159995¢-9895¢
11Spread -14.59995.0%$159995¢-9895¢
12Spread -15.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
13Spread -16.59995.0%$109995¢-9895¢
14Spread -17.59995.0%$55.9K9995¢-9895¢
15Spread -18.59995.0%$15.5K9995¢-9895¢
16Spread -19.59995.0%$169995¢-9895¢
17Spread -20.59995.0%$1.1K9995¢-9895¢
18Spread -21.59995.0%$109995¢-9895¢
19Spread -22.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
20Spread -23.59995.0%$5.2K9995¢-9895¢
21Spread -24.59995.0%$159995¢-9895¢
22Spread -25.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
23Spread -26.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
24Spread -28.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
25Spread -31.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
26Spread -32.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
27Spread -34.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
28Spread -35.59995.0%$11.2K9995¢-9895¢
29Spread -38.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
30O/U 51.59995.0%$9739995¢-9895¢
31O/U 57.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
32Sam Houston O/U 4.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
332H Spread -4.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
342H Spread -6.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
352H Spread -7.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
362H Spread -8.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
372H Spread -9.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
382H Spread -11.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
393Q O/U 16.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
404Q Spread -0.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
414Q Spread -2.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
424Q Spread -3.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
434Q Spread -4.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
444Q Spread -5.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
452H Moneyline950.0%950¢-850¢
464Q Moneyline950.0%950¢-850¢
47Nicholls State O/U 1.5950.0%950¢-850¢
482H O/U 30.5950.0%950¢-850¢
494Q Spread -7.5950.0%950¢-850¢
504Q O/U 7.5950.0%950¢-850¢
514Q O/U 10.5950.0%950¢-850¢
524Q O/U 13.5950.0%950¢-850¢
534Q O/U 16.5950.0%950¢-850¢
544Q O/U 19.5950.0%950¢-850¢
55Nicholls State 2H O/U 5.5950.0%950¢-850¢
56Nicholls State 2H O/U 7.5950.0%950¢-850¢
57Nicholls State 2H O/U 9.5950.0%950¢-850¢
58Nicholls State O/U 9.545.0%45¢55¢
59Nicholls State O/U 12.545.0%45¢55¢
60Nicholls State O/U 15.545.0%45¢55¢
61Nicholls State O/U 18.545.0%45¢55¢
62Nicholls State O/U 21.545.0%45¢55¢
63Nicholls State vs. Sam Houston5.0%$2.1K95¢
64Spread -2.55.0%95¢
65O/U 59.55.0%95¢
66O/U 61.55.0%95¢
67O/U 63.55.0%$2395¢
68O/U 65.55.0%95¢
69O/U 67.55.0%95¢
70O/U 69.55.0%95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Nicholls State and Sam Houston, scheduled for September 19 at 7:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Nicholls State" if Nicholls State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Sam Houston" if Sam Houston win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:12 PM
    AJAJSV
    $8.47

    Bought 25.676471 Nicholls State for Spread: Sam Houston (-17.5) at 0.33

  • 11:12 PM
    $12.86

    Bought 21.081966 Sam Houston for Spread: Sam Houston (-18.5) at 0.61

  • 11:10 PM
    3838791873984189
    $29.32

    Sold 73.3 Nicholls State for Spread: Sam Houston (-18.5) at 0.4

  • 11:06 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 Nicholls State for Spread: Sam Houston (-20.5) at 0.45

  • 11:06 PM
    QWqwe123dz
    $4.30

    Bought 9.555556 Nicholls State for Spread: Sam Houston (-20.5) at 0.45

  • 11:06 PM
    0X0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
    $43.00

    Bought 100 Nicholls State for Spread: Sam Houston (-20.5) at 0.43

  • 11:06 PM
    MIMikeyIrish
    $10.00

    Bought 16.666667 Sam Houston for Spread: Sam Houston (-18.5) at 0.6

  • 11:05 PM
    AJAJSV
    $9.79

    Bought 22.767442 Nicholls State for Spread: Sam Houston (-18.5) at 0.43

  • 10:56 PM
    0X0xaE457d6d83362588DD2B8E23B2c8c359212396B9-1770832003765
    $7.71

    Bought 15.41 Over for Nicholls State vs. Sam Houston: O/U 51.5 at 0.5

  • 10:55 PM
    WAWaySheGoes
    $10.00

    Bought 17.857143 Over for Nicholls State vs. Sam Houston: O/U 49.5 at 0.56

  • 10:55 PM
    DADanshan11
    $2.75

    Bought 5 Over for Nicholls State vs. Sam Houston: O/U 49.5 at 0.55

  • 10:55 PM
    NEnewUser2025
    $20.00

    Bought 33.333332 Sam Houston for Spread: Sam Houston (-17.5) at 0.6

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MD1
mde4life1986
事件盈亏
+$2,040.72
成交量
$49,474.38
持仓数
Sam Houston
NO2
Nooserac
事件盈亏
-$1,375.43
成交量
$39,297.99
持仓数
Nicholls State
NI3
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$2,467.66
成交量
$11,544.47
持仓数
Sam HoustonNicholls StateSam Houston
FO4
forecastication4
事件盈亏
-$337.77
成交量
$7,111.00
持仓数
Nicholls State
MO5
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$1,132.09
成交量
$6,217.01
持仓数
Nicholls StateSam HoustonSam Houston
AL6
alpheclabs
事件盈亏
-$67.36
成交量
$3,110.24
持仓数
Nicholls StateSam Houston
TW7
twotontony
事件盈亏
+$105.00
成交量
$3,000.00
持仓数
Sam Houston
658
6512395314597884
事件盈亏
-$66.14
成交量
$2,359.00
持仓数
Nicholls StateNicholls StateUnder+6

常见问题

当前市场对「Nicholls State vs. Sam Houston」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Spread -0.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -1.5(9,995%),以及 Spread -3.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $93K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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