
Notre Dame vs. Purdue
核心摘要
根据「Notre Dame vs. Purdue」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Notre Dame vs. Purdue 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -14.5 以 9,950% 位居第二,O/U 45.5 以 9,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $162.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Notre Dame vs. Purdue (9,995%):Notre Dame vs. Purdue 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $42.6K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Spread -14.5 (9,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -14.5 保持着 9,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,950¢。
- O/U 45.5 (9,950%):以 9,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 45.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 47.5 (9,950%)、O/U 49.5 (9,950%),以及 O/U 51.5 (9,950%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -21.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame vs. Purdue | 9995.0% | $42.6K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Spread -14.5 | 9950.0% | $929 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 3 | O/U 45.5 | 9950.0% | $614 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 4 | O/U 47.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 5 | O/U 49.5 | 9950.0% | $10 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 6 | O/U 51.5 | 9950.0% | $1.3K | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 7 | Spread -21.5 | 9850.0% | — | 9850¢ | -9750¢ |
| 8 | Spread -27.5 | 9550.0% | $50.1K | 9550¢ | -9450¢ |
| 9 | Spread -33.5 | 9300.0% | $250 | 9300¢ | -9200¢ |
| 10 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 11 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 12 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 13 | Notre Dame O/U 42.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 14 | Notre Dame O/U 45.5 | 9050.0% | $22 | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 15 | Notre Dame O/U 48.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 16 | Spread -38.5 | 8950.0% | $389 | 8950¢ | -8850¢ |
| 17 | Spread -30.5 | 8950.0% | $50 | 8950¢ | -8850¢ |
| 18 | Spread -35.5 | 8100.0% | $3 | 8100¢ | -8000¢ |
| 19 | Spread -45.5 | 8050.0% | $94 | 8050¢ | -7950¢ |
| 20 | Spread -41.5 | 5400.0% | $1.0K | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 21 | Spread -24.5 | 5160.0% | $104 | 5160¢ | -5060¢ |
| 22 | Spread -26.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 23 | Spread -25.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 24 | Spread -23.5 | 5050.0% | $81 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 25 | Spread -22.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 26 | Spread -19.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 27 | Spread -17.5 | 5050.0% | $328 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 28 | Spread -13.5 | 5050.0% | $252 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 29 | Spread -10.5 | 5050.0% | $150 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 30 | Spread -7.5 | 5050.0% | $206 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 31 | 4Q Spread -6.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 32 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 33 | Spread -11.5 | 5045.0% | $1.5K | 5045¢ | -4945¢ |
| 34 | Spread -20.5 | 5035.0% | $535 | 5035¢ | -4935¢ |
| 35 | Spread -36.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Spread -34.5 | 5000.0% | $100 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Spread -32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Spread -31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Spread -29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Spread -28.5 | 5000.0% | $661 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | O/U 53.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | O/U 61.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | O/U 71.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 2H Spread -15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 2H Spread -14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 2H Spread -12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 2H Spread -10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 2H O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 2H O/U 25.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 2H O/U 28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 4Q Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 4Q Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | $27 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Purdue O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Purdue O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Purdue O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Purdue O/U 20.5 | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Notre Dame 2H O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Notre Dame 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Notre Dame 2H O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Purdue 2H O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Purdue 2H O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Purdue 2H O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Purdue O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Notre Dame O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Purdue Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Purdue Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Purdue Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Purdue Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Purdue 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Purdue 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | Purdue Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | Purdue Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | Purdue Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 131 | Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 132 | Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 133 | Notre Dame vs. Purdue: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 134 | Spread -44.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 135 | Spread -42.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 136 | O/U 65.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 137 | O/U 67.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 138 | O/U 73.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 139 | O/U 77.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 140 | 2H Spread -17.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 141 | 2H Spread -13.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 142 | 2H O/U 31.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 143 | 2H O/U 34.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 144 | Purdue O/U 14.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 145 | O/U 57.5 | 3200.0% | $51.9K | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 146 | O/U 55.5 | 2950.0% | $643 | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 147 | Spread -48.5 | 1650.0% | $50 | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 148 | O/U 59.5 | 1200.0% | $758 | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 149 | O/U 63.5 | 1000.0% | $560 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 150 | O/U 75.5 | 750.0% | $110 | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 151 | O/U 69.5 | 600.0% | $151 | 600¢ | -500¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and Purdue, scheduled for September 26 at 2:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game.
This market will resolve to "Purdue" if Purdue win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 26, 2026
- 09:57 AMROrookie888$201.80
Bought 360.357143 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-14.5) at 0.56
- 07:49 AMHEHerdonia$109.51
Bought 114.0729 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. Purdue at 0.96
- 07:44 AMDEDennissimo$112.97
Bought 143 Over for Notre Dame vs. Purdue: O/U 45.5 at 0.79
- 04:22 AMHEHerdonia$60.30
Bought 62.815414 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. Purdue at 0.96
- 04:22 AMHEHerdonia$81.92
Bought 85.333325 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. Purdue at 0.96
- 04:22 AMHEHerdonia$98.79
Bought 102.90625 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. Purdue at 0.96
- 04:22 AMHEHerdonia$101.20
Bought 105.41665 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. Purdue at 0.96
- 04:22 AMHEHerdonia$86.74
Bought 90.35415 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. Purdue at 0.96
- 04:11 AMUPUpTheBlues$26.52
Bought 156 Purdue for Spread: Notre Dame (-11.5) at 0.17
- 04:11 AMUPUpTheBlues$2.07
Bought 11.5 Notre Dame for Spread: Notre Dame (-41.5) at 0.18
- 03:59 AMUPUpTheBlues$29.45
Bought 155 Purdue for Spread: Notre Dame (-13.5) at 0.19
- 03:51 AMHEHerdonia$65.34
Bought 68.0625 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. Purdue at 0.96
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Notre Dame vs. Purdue」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Notre Dame vs. Purdue 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -14.5(9,950%),以及 O/U 45.5(9,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $162.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
