Notre Dame vs. North Carolina

$458.3K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
概率趋势
Notre Dame 99.7%
North Carolina 0.3%

核心摘要

根据「Notre Dame vs. North Carolina」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 37.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 39.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 41.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $458.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 37.5 (9,995%):O/U 37.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $337 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 39.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 39.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • O/U 41.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 41.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 45.5 (9,995%)、O/U 47.5 (9,995%),以及 O/U 49.5 (9,995%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 51.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 37.59995.0%$3379995¢-9895¢
2O/U 39.59995.0%$1129995¢-9895¢
3O/U 41.59995.0%$279995¢-9895¢
4O/U 45.59995.0%$6.1K9995¢-9895¢
5O/U 47.59995.0%$42.8K9995¢-9895¢
6O/U 49.59995.0%$1179995¢-9895¢
7O/U 51.59995.0%$6.4K9995¢-9895¢
8Notre Dame vs. North Carolina9970.0%$138.5K9970¢-9870¢
9Spread -2.59960.0%$3869960¢-9860¢
10Spread -1.59960.0%$5129960¢-9860¢
11O/U 55.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
124Q O/U 7.59850.0%—9850¢-9750¢
13Spread -6.59810.0%$5009810¢-9710¢
14Spread -5.59800.0%$7189800¢-9700¢
15Spread -3.59610.0%$2.0K9610¢-9510¢
16Spread -7.59350.0%$5.7K9350¢-9250¢
17Spread -4.59140.0%$3.4K9140¢-9040¢
18Spread -11.58800.0%$4.9K8800¢-8700¢
19Spread -13.58300.0%$5.7K8300¢-8200¢
20Spread -8.57400.0%$1437400¢-7300¢
21Spread -10.56900.0%$6.9K6900¢-6800¢
22Notre Dame O/U 29.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
23O/U 57.55400.0%$6955400¢-5300¢
24O/U 59.55400.0%$4.6K5400¢-5300¢
25Spread -14.55200.0%$2.9K5200¢-5100¢
26North Carolina O/U 23.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
27Spread -0.55060.0%—5060¢-4960¢
28O/U 61.55050.0%$14.7K5050¢-4950¢
29Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55050.0%$65.5K5050¢-4950¢
304Q Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
31O/U 67.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
352H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
362H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
374Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
384Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
394Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40North Carolina O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41North Carolina O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45North Carolina 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46North Carolina 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47North Carolina 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Spread -32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Spread -29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Spread -28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Spread -26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Spread -22.55000.0%$7505000¢-4900¢
113Spread -18.55000.0%$1245000¢-4900¢
114Spread -15.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
1152H Spread -13.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
1162H Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1172H Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1182H Spread -9.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
1192H Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1202H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1214Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1224Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1234Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1244Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1254Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1262H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Notre Dame O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128North Carolina O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1294Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130North Carolina O/U 32.54995.0%—4995¢-4895¢
131Spread -16.54950.0%$4944950¢-4850¢
132Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
133Spread -1.54950.0%$5124950¢-4850¢
134Spread -2.54950.0%$3864950¢-4850¢
135Spread -3.54950.0%$2.0K4950¢-4850¢
136Spread -4.54950.0%$3.4K4950¢-4850¢
137Spread -5.54950.0%$7184950¢-4850¢
138Spread -7.54950.0%$5.7K4950¢-4850¢
139Spread -8.54950.0%$1434950¢-4850¢
140Spread -17.54950.0%$84950¢-4850¢
141Spread -20.54950.0%$5084950¢-4850¢
142O/U 65.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
143O/U 71.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
144O/U 73.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
145North Carolina O/U 35.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
146Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
147North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
148Spread -25.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
149Spread -19.54950.0%$1594950¢-4850¢
150Spread -6.54900.0%$5004900¢-4800¢
151Spread -16.54900.0%$4944900¢-4800¢
152Spread -42.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
153Spread -39.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
154Spread -36.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
155O/U 63.54250.0%$12.8K4250¢-4150¢
1564Q O/U 16.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
157O/U 75.53600.0%$573600¢-3500¢
158Spread -17.53400.0%$83400¢-3300¢
1591H Spread -13.53100.0%$1.3K3100¢-3000¢
160Spread -20.52800.0%$5082800¢-2700¢
161Spread -21.52600.0%$83.4K2600¢-2500¢
162O/U 69.5950.0%$5950¢-850¢
163Spread -24.5550.0%$650550¢-450¢
164Spread -27.5455.0%$717455¢-355¢
165Spread -30.5300.0%$897300¢-200¢
166Spread -23.5300.0%$2.7K300¢-200¢
167Spread -35.5105.0%$125105¢-5¢
168Spread -10.550.0%$6.9K50¢50¢
169Spread -13.545.0%$5.7K45¢55¢
170Spread -14.545.0%$2.9K45¢55¢
171Spread -38.545.0%—45¢55¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and North Carolina, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game.

This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 10:53 AM
    IDIdesOfMarch68
    $1.25

    Bought 2.314815 North Carolina for Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5) at 0.54

  • 10:49 AM
    NInigiri99
    $317.86

    Bought 691 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-13.5) at 0.46

  • 10:49 AM
    NInigiri99
    $188.14

    Bought 409 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-13.5) at 0.46

  • 09:38 AM
    NInigiri99
    $36.92

    Bought 71 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) at 0.52

  • 08:51 AM
    DZDZ002
    $1.08

    Sold 15.47 North Carolina for Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 0.07

  • 08:26 AM
    LIliverpoolfc
    $10.00

    Bought 10.752685 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 0.93

  • 08:12 AM
    0X0xca0c6d9b7A2C0cB9582591Cd2D8ff42D5674b9B6-1751220806251
    $4.65

    Bought 5 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 0.93

  • 07:42 AM
    NInigiri99
    $23.46

    Bought 46 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 07:42 AM
    NInigiri99
    $1,046.01

    Bought 2051 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 07:42 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $51.00

    Bought 100 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 07:40 AM
    ROrookie888
    $100.05

    Bought 161.370968 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-8.5) at 0.62

  • 07:27 AM
    ROrookie888
    $200.00

    Bought 322.580644 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-8.5) at 0.62

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

NI1
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$307.05
成交量
$46,801.00
持仓数
Notre DameNotre DameNotre Dame+2
KC2
Kch-Temp
事件盈亏
-$164.61
成交量
$40,544.92
持仓数
Notre Dame
MO3
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
+$139.44
成交量
$33,577.03
持仓数
North CarolinaOverNorth Carolina+1
SA4
Sassy-Bucket
事件盈亏
+$146.23
成交量
$29,245.29
持仓数
North Carolina
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$23.14
成交量
$23,377.43
持仓数
North CarolinaOverNorth Carolina+3
BA6
bands1
事件盈亏
+$100.00
成交量
$19,999.97
持仓数
Under
GM7
gmpm2
事件盈亏
+$278.46
成交量
$18,563.89
持仓数
Notre Dame
MO8
monkeymashingkeyboard
事件盈亏
-$225.00
成交量
$15,000.00
持仓数
North Carolina

常见问题

当前市场对「Notre Dame vs. North Carolina」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 37.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 39.5(9,995%),以及 O/U 41.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $458.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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