
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina
核心摘要
根据「Notre Dame vs. North Carolina」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 37.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 39.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 41.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $458.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 37.5 (9,995%):O/U 37.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $337 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- O/U 39.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 39.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
- O/U 41.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 41.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 45.5 (9,995%)、O/U 47.5 (9,995%),以及 O/U 49.5 (9,995%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 51.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 37.5 | 9995.0% | $337 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 39.5 | 9995.0% | $112 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | O/U 41.5 | 9995.0% | $27 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | O/U 45.5 | 9995.0% | $6.1K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | O/U 47.5 | 9995.0% | $42.8K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | O/U 49.5 | 9995.0% | $117 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 7 | O/U 51.5 | 9995.0% | $6.4K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 8 | Notre Dame vs. North Carolina | 9970.0% | $138.5K | 9970¢ | -9870¢ |
| 9 | Spread -2.5 | 9960.0% | $386 | 9960¢ | -9860¢ |
| 10 | Spread -1.5 | 9960.0% | $512 | 9960¢ | -9860¢ |
| 11 | O/U 55.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 12 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 9850.0% | — | 9850¢ | -9750¢ |
| 13 | Spread -6.5 | 9810.0% | $500 | 9810¢ | -9710¢ |
| 14 | Spread -5.5 | 9800.0% | $718 | 9800¢ | -9700¢ |
| 15 | Spread -3.5 | 9610.0% | $2.0K | 9610¢ | -9510¢ |
| 16 | Spread -7.5 | 9350.0% | $5.7K | 9350¢ | -9250¢ |
| 17 | Spread -4.5 | 9140.0% | $3.4K | 9140¢ | -9040¢ |
| 18 | Spread -11.5 | 8800.0% | $4.9K | 8800¢ | -8700¢ |
| 19 | Spread -13.5 | 8300.0% | $5.7K | 8300¢ | -8200¢ |
| 20 | Spread -8.5 | 7400.0% | $143 | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 21 | Spread -10.5 | 6900.0% | $6.9K | 6900¢ | -6800¢ |
| 22 | Notre Dame O/U 29.5 | 5650.0% | — | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 23 | O/U 57.5 | 5400.0% | $695 | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 24 | O/U 59.5 | 5400.0% | $4.6K | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 25 | Spread -14.5 | 5200.0% | $2.9K | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 26 | North Carolina O/U 23.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 27 | Spread -0.5 | 5060.0% | — | 5060¢ | -4960¢ |
| 28 | O/U 61.5 | 5050.0% | $14.7K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 29 | Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5050.0% | $65.5K | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 30 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 31 | O/U 67.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | North Carolina O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | North Carolina O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | North Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | North Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | North Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Game Goes to Overtime | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Pick-Six Scored | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Spread -32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Spread -29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | Spread -28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Spread -26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Spread -22.5 | 5000.0% | $750 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Spread -18.5 | 5000.0% | $124 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Spread -15.5 | 5000.0% | $10 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | 2H Spread -13.5 | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | 2H Spread -11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | 2H Spread -10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | 2H Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | 2H Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | 4Q Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | 4Q Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | 4Q Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | Notre Dame O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | North Carolina O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | North Carolina O/U 32.5 | 4995.0% | — | 4995¢ | -4895¢ |
| 131 | Spread -16.5 | 4950.0% | $494 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 132 | Spread -0.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 133 | Spread -1.5 | 4950.0% | $512 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 134 | Spread -2.5 | 4950.0% | $386 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 135 | Spread -3.5 | 4950.0% | $2.0K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 136 | Spread -4.5 | 4950.0% | $3.4K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 137 | Spread -5.5 | 4950.0% | $718 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 138 | Spread -7.5 | 4950.0% | $5.7K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 139 | Spread -8.5 | 4950.0% | $143 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 140 | Spread -17.5 | 4950.0% | $8 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 141 | Spread -20.5 | 4950.0% | $508 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 142 | O/U 65.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 143 | O/U 71.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 144 | O/U 73.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 145 | North Carolina O/U 35.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 146 | Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 147 | North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 148 | Spread -25.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 149 | Spread -19.5 | 4950.0% | $159 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 150 | Spread -6.5 | 4900.0% | $500 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 151 | Spread -16.5 | 4900.0% | $494 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 152 | Spread -42.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 153 | Spread -39.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 154 | Spread -36.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 155 | O/U 63.5 | 4250.0% | $12.8K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 156 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 4000.0% | — | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 157 | O/U 75.5 | 3600.0% | $57 | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 158 | Spread -17.5 | 3400.0% | $8 | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 159 | 1H Spread -13.5 | 3100.0% | $1.3K | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 160 | Spread -20.5 | 2800.0% | $508 | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 161 | Spread -21.5 | 2600.0% | $83.4K | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 162 | O/U 69.5 | 950.0% | $5 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 163 | Spread -24.5 | 550.0% | $650 | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 164 | Spread -27.5 | 455.0% | $717 | 455¢ | -355¢ |
| 165 | Spread -30.5 | 300.0% | $897 | 300¢ | -200¢ |
| 166 | Spread -23.5 | 300.0% | $2.7K | 300¢ | -200¢ |
| 167 | Spread -35.5 | 105.0% | $125 | 105¢ | -5¢ |
| 168 | Spread -10.5 | 50.0% | $6.9K | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 169 | Spread -13.5 | 45.0% | $5.7K | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 170 | Spread -14.5 | 45.0% | $2.9K | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 171 | Spread -38.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and North Carolina, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game.
This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Oct 3, 2026
- 10:53 AMIDIdesOfMarch68$1.25
Bought 2.314815 North Carolina for Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5) at 0.54
- 10:49 AMNInigiri99$317.86
Bought 691 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-13.5) at 0.46
- 10:49 AMNInigiri99$188.14
Bought 409 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-13.5) at 0.46
- 09:38 AMNInigiri99$36.92
Bought 71 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) at 0.52
- 08:51 AMDZDZ002$1.08
Sold 15.47 North Carolina for Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 0.07
- 08:26 AMLIliverpoolfc$10.00
Bought 10.752685 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 0.93
- 08:12 AM0X0xca0c6d9b7A2C0cB9582591Cd2D8ff42D5674b9B6-1751220806251$4.65
Bought 5 Notre Dame for Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 0.93
- 07:42 AMNInigiri99$23.46
Bought 46 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-11.5) at 0.51
- 07:42 AMNInigiri99$1,046.01
Bought 2051 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-11.5) at 0.51
- 07:42 AMFOForecastication2$51.00
Bought 100 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-11.5) at 0.51
- 07:40 AMROrookie888$100.05
Bought 161.370968 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-8.5) at 0.62
- 07:27 AMROrookie888$200.00
Bought 322.580644 Notre Dame for 1H Spread: Notre Dame (-8.5) at 0.62
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Notre Dame vs. North Carolina」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 37.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 39.5(9,995%),以及 O/U 41.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $458.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
