
North Carolina vs. Clemson
核心摘要
根据「North Carolina vs. Clemson」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 30.5 以压倒性的 9,500% 获胜概率主导市场;1H O/U 15.5 以 9,050% 位居第二,1Q O/U 10.5 以 9,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $811.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 30.5 (9,500%):O/U 30.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,500¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- 1H O/U 15.5 (9,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,1H O/U 15.5 保持着 9,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,050¢。
- 1Q O/U 10.5 (9,050%):以 9,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 1Q O/U 10.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 1Q O/U 13.5 (9,050%)、North Carolina 1H O/U 7.5 (9,050%),以及 North Carolina 1H O/U 9.5 (9,050%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 North Carolina 1H O/U 11.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 30.5 | 9500.0% | — | 9500¢ | -9400¢ |
| 2 | 1H O/U 15.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 3 | 1Q O/U 10.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 4 | 1Q O/U 13.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 5 | North Carolina 1H O/U 7.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 6 | North Carolina 1H O/U 9.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 7 | North Carolina 1H O/U 11.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 8 | 1Q O/U 7.5 | 9000.0% | $17 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 9 | O/U 36.5 | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 10 | North Carolina vs. Clemson | 8350.0% | $631.3K | 8350¢ | -8250¢ |
| 11 | Spread -1.5 | 8250.0% | $7.6K | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 12 | O/U 42.5 | 8150.0% | $499 | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 13 | Spread -2.5 | 7850.0% | $10.5K | 7850¢ | -7750¢ |
| 14 | Spread -3.5 | 7750.0% | $59.9K | 7750¢ | -7650¢ |
| 15 | North Carolina O/U 20.5 | 7600.0% | $6.4K | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 16 | Spread -4.5 | 7400.0% | $5.2K | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 17 | O/U 46.5 | 7200.0% | $618 | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 18 | Spread -6.5 | 7050.0% | $264 | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 19 | O/U 54.5 | 6950.0% | $600 | 6950¢ | -6850¢ |
| 20 | O/U 44.5 | 6600.0% | $47.1K | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 21 | 1Q Spread -3.5 | 6400.0% | — | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 22 | O/U 48.5 | 6350.0% | $2.0K | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 23 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 24 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 6150.0% | — | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 25 | Spread -9.5 | 6100.0% | $70 | 6100¢ | -6000¢ |
| 26 | 1H O/U 27.5 | 6000.0% | — | 6000¢ | -5900¢ |
| 27 | O/U 50.5 | 5900.0% | $1.7K | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 28 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 5700.0% | — | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 29 | Spread -10.5 | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 30 | Clemson O/U 20.5 | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 31 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 32 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 33 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Clemson O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | $8 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | North Carolina O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | 1H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | 1Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | $43 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Spread -12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | $8.1K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | $8.1K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Spread -12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Spread -18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Spread -21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Spread -24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | O/U 28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | O/U 34.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | O/U 40.5 | 5000.0% | $33 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | O/U 52.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | O/U 56.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | O/U 58.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | O/U 62.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | O/U 64.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | 1H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | $138 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | 1H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | $272 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | 1H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | $138 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | 1H Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | 1H O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | 1H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | 2H O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | 2Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | 2Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | 2Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | 2Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | 2Q O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | 2Q O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | 2Q O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | 2Q O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | 3Q O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | 3Q O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | 3Q O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | 3Q O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | 4Q O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | North Carolina O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | North Carolina O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | North Carolina O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | North Carolina O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Clemson O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Clemson O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Clemson O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Clemson 1H O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Clemson 1H O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Clemson 1H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | North Carolina 2H O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | North Carolina 2H O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | North Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Clemson 2H O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Clemson 2H O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | Clemson 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 117 | Spread -13.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 118 | O/U 38.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 119 | 1H Spread -3.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 120 | 3Q O/U 12.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 121 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 122 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 123 | 2Q O/U 12.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 124 | 2Q Spread -3.5 | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 125 | Spread -16.5 | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 126 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 127 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 128 | 2Q Spread -3.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 129 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 130 | O/U 60.5 | 3000.0% | — | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 131 | Clemson O/U 23.5 | 2850.0% | $87 | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 132 | 1H Spread -2.5 | 2400.0% | — | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 133 | Spread -1.5 | 1700.0% | $7.6K | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 134 | Spread -2.5 | 1550.0% | $10.5K | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 135 | Spread -3.5 | 1400.0% | $59.9K | 1400¢ | -1300¢ |
| 136 | Spread -4.5 | 1200.0% | $5.2K | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 137 | Spread -10.5 | 1200.0% | — | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 138 | Spread -11.5 | 1200.0% | — | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 139 | Spread -7.5 | 1000.0% | $210 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 140 | Spread -5.5 | 950.0% | $39 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 141 | Spread -6.5 | 850.0% | $264 | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 142 | Spread -9.5 | 800.0% | $70 | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 143 | Spread -14.5 | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 144 | Spread -20.5 | 450.0% | — | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 145 | Spread -17.5 | 250.0% | — | 250¢ | -150¢ |
| 146 | 1Q Spread -3.5 | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between North Carolina and Clemson, scheduled for September 19 at 12:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "North Carolina" if North Carolina win the game.
This market will resolve to "Clemson" if Clemson win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 19, 2026
- 11:43 AMSNsnathwani$4.00
Bought 7.54717 North Carolina for Spread: Clemson (-3.5) at 0.53
- 11:42 AMWRwr0ngw4yb3tt0r$481.64
Bought 1024.77 Clemson for Spread: Clemson (-3.5) at 0.47
- 10:32 AMSTstyllo$200.00
Bought 370.370371 North Carolina for Spread: Clemson (-3.5) at 0.54
- 10:32 AMSTstyllo$200.00
Bought 370.370371 North Carolina for Spread: Clemson (-3.5) at 0.54
- 10:32 AMSTstyllo$200.00
Bought 370.370371 North Carolina for Spread: Clemson (-3.5) at 0.54
- 10:31 AMSTstyllo$201.52
Bought 373.19426 North Carolina for Spread: Clemson (-3.5) at 0.54
- 09:51 AMMUMumuninho$5.00
Bought 8.333332 Over for Clemson Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 at 0.6
- 09:29 AMTEteddyboski$3.00
Bought 7.317074 North Carolina for North Carolina vs. Clemson at 0.41
- 09:06 AMANAngryPancake$61.00
Bought 100 Clemson for North Carolina vs. Clemson at 0.61
- 09:04 AMASasa59$123.00
Bought 300 North Carolina for North Carolina vs. Clemson at 0.41
- 09:02 AMMOmooseborzoi$41.47
Bought 84.63 Over for North Carolina vs. Clemson: O/U 44.5 at 0.49
- 08:42 AMANAngryPancake$61.00
Bought 100 Clemson for North Carolina vs. Clemson at 0.61
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「North Carolina vs. Clemson」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 30.5 以 9,500% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 1H O/U 15.5(9,050%),以及 1Q O/U 10.5(9,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $811.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
