Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State

$225.3K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
概率趋势
Sacramento State 98.9%
Mississippi Valley State 1.1%

核心摘要

根据「Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Spread -16.5 以压倒性的 9,250% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 36.5 以 9,250% 位居第二，Spread -17.5 以 9,150% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $225.3K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Spread -16.5 (9,250%)：Spread -16.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,250¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 36.5 (9,250%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 36.5 保持着 9,250% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,250¢。
  • Spread -17.5 (9,150%)：以 9,150% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Spread -17.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 Spread -20.5 (8,850%)、O/U 38.5 (8,750%)，以及 O/U 40.5 (8,750%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Spread -21.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Spread -16.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
2O/U 36.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
3Spread -17.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
4Spread -20.58850.0%—8850¢-8750¢
5O/U 38.58750.0%—8750¢-8650¢
6O/U 40.58750.0%—8750¢-8650¢
7Spread -21.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
8O/U 42.58450.0%$8738450¢-8350¢
9Spread -24.58200.0%—8200¢-8100¢
10Spread -6.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
11Spread -27.57700.0%—7700¢-7600¢
12O/U 44.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
13Spread -7.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
14O/U 46.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
15O/U 48.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
16Spread -0.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
17Spread -31.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
18O/U 50.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
19Spread -34.56100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
20O/U 52.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
21Sacramento State O/U 41.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
22Sacramento State O/U 44.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
23Sacramento State O/U 47.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
24Sacramento State O/U 45.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
25Mississippi Valley State O/U 1.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
26Mississippi Valley State O/U 4.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
27Sacramento State O/U 42.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
28Mississippi Valley State O/U 7.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
29Mississippi Valley State O/U 2.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
30Mississippi Valley State O/U 5.55700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
31Spread -37.55650.0%$6.8K5650¢-5550¢
32Spread: Sacramento State (-35.5)5600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
33Spread -36.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
34O/U 54.55500.0%$1505500¢-5400¢
35Spread -5.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
36Spread -3.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
37Spread -4.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
381Q Spread -8.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
391Q Spread -11.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
40Mississippi Valley State O/U 1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
41Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
472H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
481H Spread -19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
491H Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
501H Spread -21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
511H Spread -22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
521H Spread -23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
531Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
542Q Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
552Q Spread -12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
562Q Spread -13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
572Q Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
582Q Spread -15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
592Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
603Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
613Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
623Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
633Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
643Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
653Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
664Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
671Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
681Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
691Q Spread -10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
704Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
714Q Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
724Q Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
734Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
741H Spread -18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Mississippi Valley State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Mississippi Valley State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Sacramento State O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Sacramento State O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Sacramento State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Sacramento State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
814Q Spread -9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
82Mississippi Valley State O/U 0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
83O/U 56.54750.0%$7844750¢-4650¢
84Sacramento State O/U 48.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
85Mississippi Valley State O/U 8.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
86O/U 58.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
87Mississippi Valley State O/U 10.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
88Mississippi Valley State O/U 13.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
89Sacramento State O/U 50.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
90Sacramento State O/U 53.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
91Sacramento State O/U 51.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
92Sacramento State O/U 54.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
93Mississippi Valley State O/U 11.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
94Mississippi Valley State O/U 14.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
95O/U 60.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
96O/U 62.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
97O/U 64.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
98O/U 66.52200.0%$392200¢-2100¢
99O/U 76.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
100O/U 68.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
101O/U 70.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
102O/U 72.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
103O/U 74.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
104Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State115.0%$216.6K115¢-15¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:00PM ET:

If Mississippi Valley State wins, the market will resolve to "Mississippi Valley State".

If Sacramento State wins, the market will resolve to "Sacramento State".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 07:52 PM
    3838791873984189
    $246.54

    Bought 249.0302 Sacramento State for Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State at 0.99

  • 07:43 PM
    TCtcjoness
    $1.65

    Bought 7.173912 Over for Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State: O/U 66.5 at 0.23

  • 06:22 PM
    0X0xb5794FF8CE96b773701fE9333283915eEf5fF458-1729659432133
    $0.71

    Bought 71.428571 Mississippi Valley State for Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State at 0.01

  • 04:35 PM
    MAMAGATheeStallion
    $1,999.69

    Bought 3773 Sacramento State for Spread: Sacramento State (-37.5) at 0.53

  • 04:35 PM
    BEbetabot
    $1,000.66

    Bought 1853.074073 Sacramento State for Spread: Sacramento State (-37.5) at 0.54

  • 03:45 PM
    0X0xaE457d6d83362588DD2B8E23B2c8c359212396B9-1770832003765
    $2.34

    Bought 4.5 Sacramento State for Spread: Sacramento State (-37.5) at 0.52

  • 03:00 PM
    SRsreca
    $2.55

    Bought 5 Mississippi Valley State for Spread: Sacramento State (-37.5) at 0.51

  • 02:57 PM
    0X0x1bcef021C846cd82E3DaaB1F0E239c052465C696-1767521962995
    $5.00

    Bought 9.62 Sacramento State for Spread: Sacramento State (-37.5) at 0.52

  • 02:16 PM
    USUseraxe
    $0.10

    Sold 9.99 Mississippi Valley State for Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State at 0.01

  • 10:39 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $10.29

    Bought 1028.92 Mississippi Valley State for Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State at 0.01

  • 10:37 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $1.00

    Bought 100 Mississippi Valley State for Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State at 0.01

  • 10:11 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 100 Mississippi Valley State for Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State at 0.01

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

OM1
omoi0i0
事件盈亏
-$50.96
成交量
$12,739.00
持仓数
Sacramento State
NI2
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$38.39
成交量
$10,966.00
持仓数
Mississippi Valley State
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$72.55
成交量
$5,514.07
持仓数
Mississippi Valley State
MA4
MAGATheeStallion
事件盈亏
-$18.86
成交量
$3,773.00
持仓数
Sacramento State
BE5
betabot
事件盈亏
-$35.94
成交量
$1,853.07
持仓数
Sacramento State
FO6
Forecastication2
事件盈亏
+$5.22
成交量
$1,739.96
持仓数
Mississippi Valley State
SA7
Sassy-Bucket
事件盈亏
+$3.99
成交量
$1,596.47
持仓数
Mississippi Valley State
KI8
kissben2119
事件盈亏
-$2.66
成交量
$1,077.17
持仓数
Sacramento State

常见问题

当前市场对「Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Spread -16.5 以 9,250% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 36.5（9,250%），以及 Spread -17.5（9,150%）。该市场总成交量已达 $225.3K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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