
Missouri State vs. Texas A&M
核心摘要
根据「Missouri State vs. Texas A&M」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Texas A&M O/U 6.5 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Missouri State O/U 0.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $151.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Texas A&M O/U 6.5 (5,000%):Texas A&M O/U 6.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Missouri State O/U 0.5 (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Missouri State O/U 0.5 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Jamarion Morrow: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%)、Marcel Reed: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%),以及 Mario Craver: Anytime Touchdown (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Isaiah Horton: Anytime Touchdown 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas A&M O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Missouri State O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Jamarion Morrow: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Marcel Reed: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Mario Craver: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Isaiah Horton: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Carsyn Baker: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Ashton Bethel-Roman: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Terry Bussey: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Micah Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Houston Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Richie Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Skyler Locklear: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Ramone Green Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Jmariyae Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Makai Cope: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Jeron Askren: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Isaiah Myers: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | James BlackStrain: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Missouri State O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Missouri State O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Missouri State O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Missouri State O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Texas A&M O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Texas A&M O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Texas A&M O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Texas A&M O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | 2H Spread -19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 2H Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 2H Spread -21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 2H Spread -22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:00PM ET:
If Missouri State wins, the market will resolve to "Missouri State".
If Texas A&M wins, the market will resolve to "Texas A&M".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 5, 2026
- 07:51 PM0X0x8a31Afc7Ab5bc94Fb4423E2A84f3BaFB4957803f-1771673480495$2.00
Bought 4 Under for Missouri State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 53.5 at 0.5
- 07:10 PMNONoam-rosen$47.48
Bought 83.298244 Over for Missouri State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 51.5 at 0.57
- 07:10 PM0X0x910aA5aC3E134d64639179dc127fAea593481aa7-1784364728780$16.72
Bought 33.43 Under for Missouri State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 53.5 at 0.5
- 07:08 PMFLFlipadelphia$2,500.00
Bought 5000 Under for Missouri State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 53.5 at 0.5
- 07:05 PMNONoam-rosen$49.69
Sold 93.75 Over for Missouri State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 51.5 at 0.53
- 06:37 PMNInigiri99$26.40
Bought 48 Over for Texas A&M Team Total: O/U 45.5 at 0.55
- 05:04 PM——$5.00
Bought 500 Missouri State for Missouri State vs. Texas A&M at 0.01
- 04:55 PMNONoam-rosen$52.50
Bought 93.75 Over for Missouri State vs. Texas A&M: O/U 51.5 at 0.56
- 04:41 PM——$5.50
Bought 10.576922 Missouri State for Spread: Texas A&M (-40.5) at 0.52
- 04:41 PMTITimeTraveler$46.36
Bought 90.91 Missouri State for Spread: Texas A&M (-40.5) at 0.51
- 03:30 PMTRtr3vorx$10.00
Bought 17.543858 Texas A&M for 1H Spread: Texas A&M (-23.5) at 0.57
- 03:30 PMTRtr3vorx$20.00
Bought 40 Texas A&M for Spread: Texas A&M (-40.5) at 0.5
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Missouri State vs. Texas A&M」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Texas A&M O/U 6.5 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Missouri State O/U 0.5(5,000%),以及 Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $151.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
