Missouri State vs. SMU

$155.1K Vol
2026年9月27日
Active
概率趋势
SMU 97.8%
Missouri State 2.2%

核心摘要

根据「Missouri State vs. SMU」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 38.5 以压倒性的 9,450% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 40.5 以 9,250% 位居第二,O/U 42.5 以 8,900% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $155.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 38.5 (9,450%):O/U 38.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,450¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 40.5 (9,250%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 40.5 保持着 9,250% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,250¢。
  • O/U 42.5 (8,900%):以 8,900% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 42.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -13.5 (8,700%)、O/U 44.5 (8,700%),以及 Missouri State O/U 6.5 (8,650%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 46.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 38.59450.0%—9450¢-9350¢
2O/U 40.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
3O/U 42.58900.0%—8900¢-8800¢
4Spread -13.58700.0%$258700¢-8600¢
5O/U 44.58700.0%—8700¢-8600¢
6Missouri State O/U 6.58650.0%—8650¢-8550¢
7O/U 46.58450.0%—8450¢-8350¢
8Spread -16.58200.0%$428200¢-8100¢
9Spread -17.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
101Q O/U 7.58100.0%—8100¢-8000¢
11O/U 48.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
12Spread -19.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
134Q Spread -2.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
14O/U 50.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
15Spread -20.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
16Missouri State O/U 9.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
173Q O/U 7.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
18O/U 52.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
191Q O/U 10.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
20Spread -23.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
214Q O/U 7.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
22O/U 54.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
231Q O/U 13.56500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
24Spread -25.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
253Q Spread -7.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
26Spread -26.56050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
27O/U 56.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
282Q Spread -6.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
294Q O/U 10.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
30Spread -27.55900.0%$655900¢-5800¢
313Q O/U 10.55800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
324Q O/U 13.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
33O/U 58.55550.0%$3135550¢-5450¢
343Q Spread -6.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
354Q Spread -7.55500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
36Spread -28.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
37Spread -29.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
383Q O/U 13.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
39Spread -30.55150.0%$87.5K5150¢-5050¢
401Q Spread -6.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
414Q Spread -6.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
42O/U 60.55050.0%$1.6K5050¢-4950¢
431H O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
441H O/U 28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
451H O/U 31.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
462H Spread -14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
472H Spread -16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
482H Spread -17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
492H Spread -18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
502H Spread -19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
512H Spread -21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
522H O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
532H O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
542H O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
552H O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
561Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
571Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
581Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
591Q Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
602Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
612Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
622Q O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
632Q O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
642Q O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
653Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
663Q Spread -8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
673Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
683Q Spread -11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
694Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
704Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
714Q Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Missouri State O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Missouri State O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Missouri State O/U 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75SMU O/U 40.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76SMU O/U 43.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77SMU O/U 49.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78SMU O/U 52.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Missouri State 1H O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Missouri State 1H O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Missouri State 1H O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82SMU 1H O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83SMU 1H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84SMU 1H O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Missouri State 2H O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Missouri State 2H O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Missouri State 2H O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88SMU 2H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89SMU 2H O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90SMU 2H O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
912H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92SMU O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Missouri State O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
941H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
951Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
962Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
973Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
984Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Missouri State vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Missouri State vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Missouri State vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
140Missouri State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
141Missouri State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142SMU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
143Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
144SMU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
145Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
146Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
147SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
148SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
149SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
150Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
151Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
152Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
153SMU Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
154SMU Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
155SMU Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
156SMU Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
157Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
158Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
159SMU Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
160Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
161SMU Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
162Missouri State vs. SMU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
163Missouri State vs. SMU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
164Missouri State vs. SMU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
165SMU O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1661H Spread -18.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1671H Spread -22.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1681H Spread -25.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1692H O/U 35.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1702Q Spread -11.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
1713Q O/U 16.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
172Spread -31.54750.0%$35.3K4750¢-4650¢
173SMU O/U 46.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
1741H Spread -20.54700.0%$594700¢-4600¢
1751Q Spread -7.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1762Q Spread -10.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
177O/U 62.54450.0%$7.5K4450¢-4350¢
1782Q Spread -13.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1791H O/U 34.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
1802Q O/U 20.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
181Spread -32.54300.0%$404300¢-4200¢
1822Q O/U 23.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1831Q O/U 16.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
184Spread -33.54100.0%$8.3K4100¢-4000¢
185Spread -34.54000.0%$6414000¢-3900¢
186O/U 64.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
1871H Spread -21.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
188Spread -35.53700.0%$2.6K3700¢-3600¢
1891H Spread -23.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
1904Q O/U 16.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
1911H O/U 37.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
192Spread -36.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
193Spread -37.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
194O/U 66.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
195O/U 68.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
1964Q O/U 19.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
197Spread -38.52850.0%$8092850¢-2750¢
198Spread -39.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
199Spread -40.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
200Spread -41.52550.0%$1942550¢-2450¢
201O/U 70.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
2023Q O/U 19.52050.0%—2050¢-1950¢
2031Q O/U 19.52000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
204O/U 72.51950.0%$1501950¢-1850¢
205Spread -44.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
206O/U 74.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
207Spread -42.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
208Spread -47.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
209O/U 76.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
210O/U 78.51150.0%—1150¢-1050¢
211Spread -48.51100.0%$891100¢-1000¢
212Spread -50.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
213Spread -51.5750.0%$1.2K750¢-650¢
214Spread -54.5550.0%$15550¢-450¢
215Missouri State vs. SMU220.0%$8.7K220¢-120¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Missouri State and SMU, scheduled for September 26 at 9:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Missouri State" if Missouri State win the game.

This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 10:35 PM
    PMpmas
    $12.00

    Bought 23.076922 SMU for Spread: SMU (-30.5) at 0.52

  • 10:35 PM
    PAPainfulvoid
    $392.00

    Bought 800 Missouri State for Spread: SMU (-30.5) at 0.49

  • 10:35 PM
    ——
    $7.84

    Bought 16 Missouri State for Spread: SMU (-30.5) at 0.49

  • 10:35 PM
    ——
    $6.86

    Bought 14 Missouri State for Spread: SMU (-30.5) at 0.49

  • 10:34 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $1.52

    Bought 76.04 Missouri State for Missouri State vs. SMU at 0.02

  • 10:33 PM
    CICip106
    $35.55

    Bought 79 Under for Missouri State vs. SMU: O/U 58.5 at 0.45

  • 10:31 PM
    CICip106
    $73.99

    Bought 151 Missouri State for Spread: SMU (-30.5) at 0.49

  • 10:31 PM
    CICip106
    $25.97

    Bought 53 Missouri State for Spread: SMU (-30.5) at 0.49

  • 10:30 PM
    0X0xa859aaeE89c5e072BA2E22ff3990Bbd9280548b9-1773174963254
    $15.39

    Bought 29.596154 SMU for Spread: SMU (-30.5) at 0.52

  • 10:28 PM
    LIliquiditycrisis
    $10,497.60

    Bought 20583.52 SMU for Spread: SMU (-30.5) at 0.51

  • 10:28 PM
    0X0xa859aaeE89c5e072BA2E22ff3990Bbd9280548b9-1773174963254
    $15.68

    Bought 30.745097 SMU for Spread: SMU (-30.5) at 0.51

  • 10:27 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.68

    Bought 234.13 Missouri State for Missouri State vs. SMU at 0.02

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

LI1
liquiditycrisis
事件盈亏
+$363.01
成交量
$72,601.25
持仓数
SMU
DO2
Donkey14
事件盈亏
-$408.16
成交量
$40,746.32
持仓数
SMUMissouri State
HI3
hi774c
事件盈亏
-$121.48
成交量
$31,138.62
持仓数
Missouri StateMissouri State
TE4
texaskid
事件盈亏
+$306.27
成交量
$20,418.16
持仓数
Missouri State
WR5
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$665.44
成交量
$18,188.71
持仓数
Missouri StateMissouri StateOver+3
MO6
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$17.03
成交量
$11,362.64
持仓数
Missouri StateSMUMissouri State+1
BO7
BoggsFromShawshank
事件盈亏
-$153.06
成交量
$10,204.09
持仓数
SMU
BO8
Bozos14
事件盈亏
-$51.02
成交量
$10,204.08
持仓数
Missouri State

常见问题

当前市场对「Missouri State vs. SMU」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 38.5 以 9,450% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 40.5(9,250%),以及 O/U 42.5(8,900%)。该市场总成交量已达 $155.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始