Memphis vs. Charlotte

$241.1K Vol
2026年10月3日
Resolved
概率趋势
Memphis 99.9%
Charlotte 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Memphis vs. Charlotte」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $241.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 (5,000%):Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
2Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Memphis and Charlotte, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game.

This market will resolve to "Charlotte" if Charlotte win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 07:58 PM
    ——
    $27.38

    Sold 27.38 Memphis for Spread: Memphis (-20.5) at 1

  • 07:35 PM
    0X0x3981AD83017C5D0A2d6e53f5AdA011a9A4018809-1780766946736
    $1.08

    Sold 1.08 Memphis for Memphis vs. Charlotte at 1

  • 07:26 PM
    ——
    $150.79

    Sold 150.79 Memphis for Spread: Memphis (-20.5) at 1

  • 07:21 PM
    DADanshan11
    $400.53

    Sold 400.53 Memphis for Spread: Memphis (-20.5) at 1

  • 07:08 PM
    ——
    $19.60

    Sold 19.6 Memphis for Spread: Memphis (-20.5) at 1

  • 06:47 PM
    JAjamesgonsales
    $22.00

    Sold 22 Under for Memphis vs. Charlotte: 1H O/U 24.5 at 1

  • 06:29 PM
    0X0x1256E1f
    $658.02

    Sold 658.02 Memphis for Spread: Memphis (-20.5) at 1

  • 06:25 PM
    M4m48935
    $10.90

    Sold 10.9 Memphis for Spread: Memphis (-20.5) at 1

  • 06:23 PM
    QWqwe258
    $35.00

    Bought 35 Under for Memphis vs. Charlotte: O/U 73.5 at 1

  • 06:22 PM
    ——
    $45.00

    Bought 45 Under for Charlotte Team Total: O/U 26.5 at 1

  • 06:22 PM
    ——
    $4.99

    Bought 4.994 Under for Charlotte Team Total: O/U 26.5 at 1

  • 06:20 PM
    QWqwe258
    $21.99

    Bought 21.99 Memphis for Spread: Memphis (-14.5) at 1

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

B41
0xb4F9…0186
事件盈亏
+$417.81
成交量
$27,436.96
持仓数
Charlotte
HO2
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$121.60
成交量
$12,233.27
持仓数
MemphisOverCharlotte+1
HE3
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
-$83.43
成交量
$5,562.00
持仓数
Memphis
MA4
Mac-Gyver
事件盈亏
-$26.72
成交量
$5,343.55
持仓数
Memphis
UP5
UpTheBlues
事件盈亏
-$85.62
成交量
$4,364.50
持仓数
CharlotteCharlotteCharlotte+6
WE6
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
事件盈亏
-$49.88
成交量
$3,877.91
持仓数
MemphisOver
0A7
0x0A77exmm
事件盈亏
+$19.27
成交量
$3,853.00
持仓数
Charlotte
MO8
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$24.11
成交量
$3,656.37
持仓数
UnderUnderMemphis+1

常见问题

当前市场对「Memphis vs. Charlotte」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Memphis 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5(5,000%),以及 Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $241.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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