
Memphis vs. Boise State
核心摘要
根据「Memphis vs. Boise State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 44.5 以压倒性的 9,805% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 50.5 以 9,805% 位居第二,Spread -2.5 以 9,200% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $266.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 44.5 (9,805%):O/U 44.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,805¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- O/U 50.5 (9,805%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 50.5 保持着 9,805% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,805¢。
- Spread -2.5 (9,200%):以 9,200% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 46.5 (9,050%)、O/U 48.5 (9,050%),以及 Boise State O/U 25.5 (9,050%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Boise State O/U 28.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 44.5 | 9805.0% | — | 9805¢ | -9705¢ |
| 2 | O/U 50.5 | 9805.0% | $72 | 9805¢ | -9705¢ |
| 3 | Spread -2.5 | 9200.0% | $185 | 9200¢ | -9100¢ |
| 4 | O/U 46.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 5 | O/U 48.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 6 | Boise State O/U 25.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 7 | Boise State O/U 28.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 8 | Boise State O/U 26.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 9 | Boise State O/U 29.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 10 | Boise State 2H O/U 12.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 11 | 3Q O/U 9.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 12 | 3Q O/U 12.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 13 | Boise State O/U 27.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 14 | Boise State O/U 30.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 15 | Boise State 2H O/U 13.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 16 | O/U 55.5 | 8600.0% | $33.1K | 8600¢ | -8500¢ |
| 17 | Spread -6.5 | 8000.0% | $9.0K | 8000¢ | -7900¢ |
| 18 | Spread -5.5 | 7800.0% | $989 | 7800¢ | -7700¢ |
| 19 | Spread -7.5 | 7600.0% | $14.5K | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 20 | Spread -1.5 | 6750.0% | — | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 21 | Spread -10.5 | 6600.0% | $3.6K | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 22 | Spread -9.5 | 6450.0% | $6.3K | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 23 | Spread -16.5 | 6350.0% | — | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 24 | O/U 53.5 | 6200.0% | $1.0K | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 25 | O/U 56.5 | 6150.0% | $203 | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 26 | O/U 68.5 | 6000.0% | $50 | 6000¢ | -5900¢ |
| 27 | Spread -4.5 | 5950.0% | — | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 28 | Spread -3.5 | 5750.0% | $3.6K | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 29 | O/U 54.5 | 5500.0% | $761 | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 30 | O/U 52.5 | 5500.0% | $277 | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 31 | Spread -11.5 | 5500.0% | $30 | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 32 | O/U 62.5 | 5150.0% | $582 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 33 | Boise State O/U 3.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 34 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | $39.7K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Spread -27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Spread -31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Spread -34.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | O/U 58.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | O/U 60.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | O/U 64.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | O/U 66.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | O/U 70.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | O/U 72.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Memphis O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Boise State O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | $6 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Boise State O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Boise State O/U 34.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Boise State O/U 37.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Memphis O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Memphis O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Memphis O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Dylan Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Sire Gaines: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Jaylin Carter: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Manny Covey: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Marcus Stokes: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Maddux Madsen: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Cameron Bates: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Juelz Goff: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Tychaun Chapman: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Darren Morris: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Matt Wagner: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Ben Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Hunter Tipton: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Rasean Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Brady Kluse: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Quinton Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Dallan Hayden: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Jermane Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Akeem Wright: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Aidan O'Callaghan: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Jemyri Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Alante Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Boise State O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Boise State O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Boise State O/U 38.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | Memphis O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Memphis O/U 25.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | Memphis O/U 28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | 2H Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | Memphis 2H O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | Memphis 2H O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Memphis 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 101 | Boise State 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 102 | Boise State 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 103 | Memphis O/U 20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 104 | Memphis O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 105 | Memphis O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 106 | Memphis O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 107 | Memphis 2H O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 108 | Memphis 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 109 | Memphis 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 110 | Spread -12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 111 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | $39.7K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 112 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 113 | Spread -12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 114 | Spread -15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 115 | Spread -18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 116 | Spread -22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 117 | Spread -25.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 118 | Spread -28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 119 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 120 | 2H Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 121 | 2H O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 122 | 2H O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 123 | 2H O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 124 | 2H O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 125 | 2H O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 126 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 127 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 128 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 129 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 130 | 3Q O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 131 | 3Q O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 132 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 133 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 134 | 4Q O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 135 | 4Q O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 136 | 4Q O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 137 | 4Q O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 138 | 4Q O/U 20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 139 | Boise State O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 140 | Boise State O/U 36.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 141 | Boise State O/U 39.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 142 | Boise State 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 143 | Boise State 2H O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 144 | Spread -14.5 | 4950.0% | $7 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 145 | Spread -17.5 | 4900.0% | $1.1K | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 146 | Spread -13.5 | 4800.0% | $431 | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 147 | Spread -20.5 | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 148 | Spread -24.5 | 4195.0% | — | 4195¢ | -4095¢ |
| 149 | Spread -9.5 | 4135.0% | $6.3K | 4135¢ | -4035¢ |
| 150 | Spread -6.5 | 3950.0% | $9.0K | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 151 | Spread -21.5 | 3895.0% | $12 | 3895¢ | -3795¢ |
| 152 | Spread -5.5 | 3750.0% | $989 | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 153 | Spread -2.5 | 3600.0% | $185 | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 154 | O/U 74.5 | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 155 | Memphis vs. Boise State | 750.0% | $147.1K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Memphis and Boise State, scheduled for September 12 at 6:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game.
This market will resolve to "Boise State" if Boise State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 12, 2026
- 11:06 PMDIdips.$90.65
Bought 185 Boise State for Spread: Memphis (-2.5) at 0.49
- 11:01 PMMAMajmuncina$33.84
Bought 72 Over for Memphis vs. Boise State: O/U 50.5 at 0.47
- 10:59 PM3838791873984189$13.80
Bought 20 Memphis for Spread: Boise State (-9.5) at 0.69
- 10:58 PMSPSportsbetter020$3.45
Bought 5 Memphis for Spread: Boise State (-9.5) at 0.69
- 10:58 PM0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286$10.75
Bought 25 Memphis for Spread: Boise State (-2.5) at 0.43
- 10:54 PMDIdips.$19.20
Bought 30 Memphis for Spread: Boise State (-11.5) at 0.64
- 10:54 PMTAtakeormake$26.98
Bought 71 Boise State for Spread: Boise State (-9.5) at 0.38
- 10:54 PMTAtakeormake$43.56
Bought 121 Over for Memphis vs. Boise State: O/U 62.5 at 0.36
- 10:33 PMMYmyfatsarearmour$20.00
Bought 32.258065 Memphis for Spread: Boise State (-9.5) at 0.62
- 10:23 PMRNRN1$550.80
Bought 1080 Over for Memphis vs. Boise State: O/U 55.5 at 0.51
- 10:23 PMROronaldooo$1.00
Bought 1.960785 Over for Memphis vs. Boise State: O/U 55.5 at 0.51
- 10:23 PM0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286$5.00
Bought 10 Over for Memphis vs. Boise State: O/U 55.5 at 0.5
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Memphis vs. Boise State」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 44.5 以 9,805% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 50.5(9,805%),以及 Spread -2.5(9,200%)。该市场总成交量已达 $266.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
