
Montana vs. Oregon State
核心摘要
根据「Montana vs. Oregon State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 46.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 50.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 38.5 以 9,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $105.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 46.5 (9,995%):O/U 46.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- O/U 50.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 50.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
- O/U 38.5 (9,950%):以 9,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 38.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 O/U 40.5 (9,950%)、O/U 44.5 (9,950%),以及 O/U 42.5 (9,850%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 48.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 46.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 50.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | O/U 38.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 4 | O/U 40.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 5 | O/U 44.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 6 | O/U 42.5 | 9850.0% | — | 9850¢ | -9750¢ |
| 7 | O/U 48.5 | 9850.0% | $10 | 9850¢ | -9750¢ |
| 8 | 3Q O/U 9.5 | 9850.0% | — | 9850¢ | -9750¢ |
| 9 | 3Q O/U 12.5 | 9850.0% | — | 9850¢ | -9750¢ |
| 10 | Montana 2H O/U 6.5 | 9850.0% | — | 9850¢ | -9750¢ |
| 11 | Spread -4.5 | 9845.0% | — | 9845¢ | -9745¢ |
| 12 | Oregon State O/U 41.5 | 9805.0% | — | 9805¢ | -9705¢ |
| 13 | Spread -3.5 | 9790.0% | — | 9790¢ | -9690¢ |
| 14 | Spread -1.5 | 9780.0% | — | 9780¢ | -9680¢ |
| 15 | Spread -20.5 | 9710.0% | $3.2K | 9710¢ | -9610¢ |
| 16 | Spread -7.5 | 9650.0% | $105 | 9650¢ | -9550¢ |
| 17 | Spread -10.5 | 9625.0% | — | 9625¢ | -9525¢ |
| 18 | Spread -13.5 | 9580.0% | — | 9580¢ | -9480¢ |
| 19 | Spread -16.5 | 9580.0% | $2.9K | 9580¢ | -9480¢ |
| 20 | Spread -17.5 | 9550.0% | $4.9K | 9550¢ | -9450¢ |
| 21 | Spread -9.5 | 9530.0% | — | 9530¢ | -9430¢ |
| 22 | Spread -21.5 | 9500.0% | $138 | 9500¢ | -9400¢ |
| 23 | Spread -23.5 | 9500.0% | $2.5K | 9500¢ | -9400¢ |
| 24 | O/U 54.5 | 9250.0% | $12.0K | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 25 | Spread -14.5 | 9205.0% | — | 9205¢ | -9105¢ |
| 26 | Spread -11.5 | 9100.0% | — | 9100¢ | -9000¢ |
| 27 | Spread -24.5 | 9090.0% | — | 9090¢ | -8990¢ |
| 28 | O/U 52.5 | 9050.0% | $1.2K | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 29 | 1H O/U 24.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 30 | 2Q O/U 14.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 31 | 3Q O/U 6.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 32 | Oregon State O/U 35.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 33 | Oregon State O/U 38.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 34 | O/U 56.5 | 9000.0% | $6.3K | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 35 | O/U 58.5 | 8250.0% | $5.9K | 8250¢ | -8150¢ |
| 36 | O/U 60.5 | 7900.0% | $2.9K | 7900¢ | -7800¢ |
| 37 | Spread -19.5 | 7650.0% | — | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 38 | Spread -26.5 | 7450.0% | — | 7450¢ | -7350¢ |
| 39 | Spread -15.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 40 | Spread -25.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 41 | Spread -28.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 42 | Spread -18.5 | 6850.0% | — | 6850¢ | -6750¢ |
| 43 | Spread -31.5 | 6600.0% | $31 | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 44 | Spread -32.5 | 6450.0% | — | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 45 | Spread -34.5 | 6400.0% | $2 | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 46 | Spread -35.5 | 6350.0% | — | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 47 | O/U 62.5 | 5800.0% | $2.5K | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 48 | O/U 64.5 | 5550.0% | — | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 49 | Spread -12.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 50 | Spread -22.5 | 5150.0% | $324 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 51 | O/U 68.5 | 5150.0% | $6 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 52 | Spread -0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 53 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Montana O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Oregon State O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | O/U 70.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | 2H Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | 2H Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | 2H Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | 2H Spread -11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | 2H O/U 20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | 2H O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | 2H O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | 2H O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | 2H O/U 32.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | 4Q Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | 4Q O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Montana O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Montana O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Montana O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Montana 2H O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Montana 2H O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Oregon State 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Oregon State 2H O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Oregon State 2H O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Spread -38.5 | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 88 | O/U 66.5 | 2700.0% | $562 | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 89 | 4Q Moneyline | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 90 | 2H Moneyline | 1850.0% | — | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 91 | O/U 72.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 92 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 93 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 94 | 3Q Spread -3.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 95 | 3Q Spread -4.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 96 | 3Q Spread -5.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 97 | 3Q Spread -7.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 98 | 3Q O/U 15.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 99 | 3Q O/U 18.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 100 | Montana O/U 23.5 | 800.0% | — | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 101 | Montana O/U 20.5 | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 102 | Spread -2.5 | 155.0% | — | 155¢ | -55¢ |
| 103 | Montana vs. Oregon State | 5.0% | $58.8K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Montana and Oregon State, scheduled for September 19 at 11:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Montana" if Montana win the game.
This market will resolve to "Oregon State" if Oregon State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 19, 2026
- 11:38 PMTEtestoooorr$6.00
Bought 12 Oregon State for Spread: Oregon State (-17.5) at 0.5
- 11:38 PMHOHomeRunHazard$876.00
Bought 1717.65 Montana for Spread: Oregon State (-17.5) at 0.51
- 11:31 PMLUluckyguy168$1.00
Bought 2.173914 Under for Montana vs. Oregon State: O/U 54.5 at 0.46
- 11:21 PMNInigiri99$2.45
Bought 5 Over for Montana vs. Oregon State: O/U 56.5 at 0.49
- 10:38 PMMOmooseborzoi$10.28
Bought 20.15 Montana for Spread: Oregon State (-17.5) at 0.51
- 09:53 PMMOmooseborzoi$4.62
Bought 9.06 Montana for Spread: Oregon State (-17.5) at 0.51
- 09:24 PMNInigiri99$435.54
Bought 854 Montana for Spread: Oregon State (-17.5) at 0.51
- 08:15 PMCICip106$57.82
Bought 118 Oregon State for Spread: Oregon State (-17.5) at 0.49
- 07:10 PM30300PS$116.82
Bought 259.6 Under for Montana vs. Oregon State: O/U 54.5 at 0.45
- 02:32 PM——$218.32
Bought 404.296297 Over for Montana vs. Oregon State: O/U 54.5 at 0.54
- 02:31 PMODOddstorm$443.94
Bought 822.12 Over for Montana vs. Oregon State: O/U 54.5 at 0.54
- 02:30 PM——$2.23
Bought 4.744681 Over for Montana vs. Oregon State: O/U 56.5 at 0.47
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Montana vs. Oregon State」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 46.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 50.5(9,995%),以及 O/U 38.5(9,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $105.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
