Montana vs. Oregon State

$105.1K Vol
2026年9月20日
Active
概率趋势
Oregon State 100.0%
Montana 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Montana vs. Oregon State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 46.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 50.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,O/U 38.5 以 9,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $105.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 46.5 (9,995%):O/U 46.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 50.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 50.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • O/U 38.5 (9,950%):以 9,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 38.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 40.5 (9,950%)、O/U 44.5 (9,950%),以及 O/U 42.5 (9,850%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 48.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 46.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 50.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 38.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
4O/U 40.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
5O/U 44.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
6O/U 42.59850.0%9850¢-9750¢
7O/U 48.59850.0%$109850¢-9750¢
83Q O/U 9.59850.0%9850¢-9750¢
93Q O/U 12.59850.0%9850¢-9750¢
10Montana 2H O/U 6.59850.0%9850¢-9750¢
11Spread -4.59845.0%9845¢-9745¢
12Oregon State O/U 41.59805.0%9805¢-9705¢
13Spread -3.59790.0%9790¢-9690¢
14Spread -1.59780.0%9780¢-9680¢
15Spread -20.59710.0%$3.2K9710¢-9610¢
16Spread -7.59650.0%$1059650¢-9550¢
17Spread -10.59625.0%9625¢-9525¢
18Spread -13.59580.0%9580¢-9480¢
19Spread -16.59580.0%$2.9K9580¢-9480¢
20Spread -17.59550.0%$4.9K9550¢-9450¢
21Spread -9.59530.0%9530¢-9430¢
22Spread -21.59500.0%$1389500¢-9400¢
23Spread -23.59500.0%$2.5K9500¢-9400¢
24O/U 54.59250.0%$12.0K9250¢-9150¢
25Spread -14.59205.0%9205¢-9105¢
26Spread -11.59100.0%9100¢-9000¢
27Spread -24.59090.0%9090¢-8990¢
28O/U 52.59050.0%$1.2K9050¢-8950¢
291H O/U 24.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
302Q O/U 14.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
313Q O/U 6.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
32Oregon State O/U 35.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
33Oregon State O/U 38.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
34O/U 56.59000.0%$6.3K9000¢-8900¢
35O/U 58.58250.0%$5.9K8250¢-8150¢
36O/U 60.57900.0%$2.9K7900¢-7800¢
37Spread -19.57650.0%7650¢-7550¢
38Spread -26.57450.0%7450¢-7350¢
39Spread -15.57000.0%7000¢-6900¢
40Spread -25.57000.0%7000¢-6900¢
41Spread -28.57000.0%7000¢-6900¢
42Spread -18.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
43Spread -31.56600.0%$316600¢-6500¢
44Spread -32.56450.0%6450¢-6350¢
45Spread -34.56400.0%$26400¢-6300¢
46Spread -35.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
47O/U 62.55800.0%$2.5K5800¢-5700¢
48O/U 64.55550.0%5550¢-5450¢
49Spread -12.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
50Spread -22.55150.0%$3245150¢-5050¢
51O/U 68.55150.0%$65150¢-5050¢
52Spread -0.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
533Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
54Montana O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
55Oregon State O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
56O/U 70.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
572H Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
582H Spread -6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
592H Spread -7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
602H Spread -8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
612H Spread -9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
622H Spread -11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
632H O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
642H O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
652H O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
662H O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
672H O/U 32.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
684Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
694Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
704Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
714Q Spread -4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
724Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
734Q Spread -7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
744Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
754Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
764Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
774Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
784Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
79Montana O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
80Montana O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81Montana O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
82Montana 2H O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
83Montana 2H O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
84Oregon State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
85Oregon State 2H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
86Oregon State 2H O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
87Spread -38.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
88O/U 66.52700.0%$5622700¢-2600¢
894Q Moneyline2050.0%2050¢-1950¢
902H Moneyline1850.0%1850¢-1750¢
91O/U 72.51250.0%1250¢-1150¢
923Q Spread -0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
933Q Spread -2.5950.0%950¢-850¢
943Q Spread -3.5950.0%950¢-850¢
953Q Spread -4.5950.0%950¢-850¢
963Q Spread -5.5950.0%950¢-850¢
973Q Spread -7.5950.0%950¢-850¢
983Q O/U 15.5950.0%950¢-850¢
993Q O/U 18.5950.0%950¢-850¢
100Montana O/U 23.5800.0%800¢-700¢
101Montana O/U 20.5550.0%550¢-450¢
102Spread -2.5155.0%155¢-55¢
103Montana vs. Oregon State5.0%$58.8K95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Montana and Oregon State, scheduled for September 19 at 11:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Montana" if Montana win the game.

This market will resolve to "Oregon State" if Oregon State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:38 PM
    TEtestoooorr
    $6.00

    Bought 12 Oregon State for Spread: Oregon State (-17.5) at 0.5

  • 11:38 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $876.00

    Bought 1717.65 Montana for Spread: Oregon State (-17.5) at 0.51

  • 11:31 PM
    LUluckyguy168
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 Under for Montana vs. Oregon State: O/U 54.5 at 0.46

  • 11:21 PM
    NInigiri99
    $2.45

    Bought 5 Over for Montana vs. Oregon State: O/U 56.5 at 0.49

  • 10:38 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $10.28

    Bought 20.15 Montana for Spread: Oregon State (-17.5) at 0.51

  • 09:53 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.62

    Bought 9.06 Montana for Spread: Oregon State (-17.5) at 0.51

  • 09:24 PM
    NInigiri99
    $435.54

    Bought 854 Montana for Spread: Oregon State (-17.5) at 0.51

  • 08:15 PM
    CICip106
    $57.82

    Bought 118 Oregon State for Spread: Oregon State (-17.5) at 0.49

  • 07:10 PM
    30300PS
    $116.82

    Bought 259.6 Under for Montana vs. Oregon State: O/U 54.5 at 0.45

  • 02:32 PM
    $218.32

    Bought 404.296297 Over for Montana vs. Oregon State: O/U 54.5 at 0.54

  • 02:31 PM
    ODOddstorm
    $443.94

    Bought 822.12 Over for Montana vs. Oregon State: O/U 54.5 at 0.54

  • 02:30 PM
    $2.23

    Bought 4.744681 Over for Montana vs. Oregon State: O/U 56.5 at 0.47

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SA1
Sassy-Bucket
事件盈亏
-$5,657.03
成交量
$51,194.83
持仓数
Montana
PH2
phonesculptor
事件盈亏
+$4,033.25
成交量
$36,500.00
持仓数
Oregon State
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$1,662.19
成交量
$21,691.21
持仓数
Oregon StateOregon StateOver+13
NI4
nigiri99
事件盈亏
+$15.96
成交量
$8,971.00
持仓数
Oregon StateOverOregon State+2
WE5
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
事件盈亏
-$117.03
成交量
$6,587.32
持仓数
UnderUnder
MA6
Malfunction.
事件盈亏
+$23.29
成交量
$5,215.00
持仓数
OverOregon State
CM7
cm2897
事件盈亏
-$1,081.67
成交量
$5,058.78
持仓数
UnderUnderOver+3
RN8
RN1
事件盈亏
-$1,163.05
成交量
$4,900.00
持仓数
MontanaUnder

常见问题

当前市场对「Montana vs. Oregon State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 46.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 50.5(9,995%),以及 O/U 38.5(9,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $105.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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