Minnesota vs. Washington

$571.1K Vol
2026年9月27日
Active
概率趋势
Washington 60.5%
Minnesota 39.5%

核心摘要

根据「Minnesota vs. Washington」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 25.5 以压倒性的 9,800% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 31.5 以 9,595% 位居第二,1Q Spread -1.5 以 9,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $571.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 25.5 (9,800%):O/U 25.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,800¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $5 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 31.5 (9,595%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 31.5 保持着 9,595% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,595¢。
  • 1Q Spread -1.5 (9,050%):以 9,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 1Q Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 1Q O/U 6.5 (9,050%)、1Q O/U 9.5 (9,050%),以及 1Q O/U 12.5 (9,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Minnesota O/U 11.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 25.59800.0%$59800¢-9700¢
2O/U 31.59595.0%$679595¢-9495¢
31Q Spread -1.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
41Q O/U 6.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
51Q O/U 9.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
61Q O/U 12.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
7Minnesota O/U 11.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
8Minnesota 1H O/U 7.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
9Minnesota 1H O/U 9.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
101Q Moneyline9050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
111H O/U 20.58950.0%—8950¢-8850¢
12O/U 37.58900.0%$3578900¢-8800¢
13Minnesota O/U 17.58400.0%$8498400¢-8300¢
14O/U 27.57900.0%—7900¢-7800¢
15O/U 29.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
16O/U 33.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
17O/U 35.57750.0%—7750¢-7650¢
18O/U 39.57500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
19O/U 43.57500.0%$1527500¢-7400¢
20Minnesota O/U 20.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
21O/U 41.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
22O/U 45.56900.0%$45.5K6900¢-6800¢
232Q Spread -2.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
244Q O/U 7.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
251H O/U 23.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
262Q O/U 16.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
27Minnesota O/U 23.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
28O/U 47.56350.0%$1.8K6350¢-6250¢
292Q Spread -3.56300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
30O/U 49.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
313Q Spread -2.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
324Q Spread -2.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
33Spread -0.55050.0%$1515050¢-4950¢
34O/U 51.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
352Q O/U 10.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
36Spread -15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
371H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
381H O/U 17.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
391H O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
412H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
422H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
432H Spread -6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
442H Spread -7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
452H Spread -9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
462H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
472H O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
482H O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
492H O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
502H O/U 28.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
512Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
522Q Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
532Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
542Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
552Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
563Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
573Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
583Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
593Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
603Q O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
613Q O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
623Q O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
633Q O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
644Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
654Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
664Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
674Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
684Q O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Minnesota O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Washington O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Washington O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Washington O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Washington 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Washington 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Washington 1H O/U 18.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Minnesota 2H O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Minnesota 2H O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Minnesota 2H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Washington 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Washington 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Washington 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
822H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Minnesota O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Washington O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
851H Moneyline5000.0%$265000¢-4900¢
862Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
873Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
884Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Minnesota 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130Minnesota 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
140Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
141Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142Washington Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
143Washington Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
144Washington Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
145Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
146Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
147Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
148Washington Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
149Washington Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
150Washington Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
151Minnesota vs. Washington: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
152Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
153Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
154Minnesota O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
155Spread -12.54950.0%$3554950¢-4850¢
156Spread -18.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
157Spread -26.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
158Spread -30.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1594Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1604Q O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1614Q O/U 13.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
162Minnesota vs. Washington4850.0%$342.6K4850¢-4750¢
1633Q Spread -3.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
164Spread -1.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
165Spread -2.54500.0%$4.5K4500¢-4400¢
166Washington O/U 27.54500.0%$3184500¢-4400¢
167O/U 53.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
1681H O/U 26.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
169Spread -3.54000.0%$1514000¢-3900¢
170Spread -4.53800.0%$13800¢-3700¢
1712Q Spread -7.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
172O/U 55.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
173O/U 57.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
1743Q O/U 12.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
175Spread -3.53600.0%$1513600¢-3500¢
176Spread -6.53500.0%$503500¢-3400¢
177Washington O/U 30.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
178Spread -4.53350.0%$13350¢-3250¢
179Spread -8.53300.0%$2.1K3300¢-3200¢
180O/U 59.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
1812Q O/U 13.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
182Spread -5.53100.0%$4683100¢-3000¢
183O/U 63.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
1844Q O/U 16.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
185Spread -6.52850.0%$502850¢-2750¢
186O/U 65.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
187Spread -7.52800.0%$2.9K2800¢-2700¢
188O/U 61.52300.0%—2300¢-2200¢
189Spread -7.52250.0%$2.9K2250¢-2150¢
1901H Spread -7.52100.0%—2100¢-2000¢
191Spread -10.52090.0%$37.4K2090¢-1990¢
192Spread -9.52050.0%$18.5K2050¢-1950¢
193Spread -11.51800.0%$99.3K1800¢-1700¢
194Spread -10.51750.0%$37.4K1750¢-1650¢
195Spread -13.51300.0%$9.6K1300¢-1200¢
1961Q Spread -0.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1971Q Spread -1.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1981Q Spread -5.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
1991Q O/U 15.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
200Both Teams to Score Points - Q1950.0%—950¢-850¢
2011H Spread -2.5900.0%$1.6K900¢-800¢
2021Q Spread -2.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
203Spread -14.5850.0%$648850¢-750¢
204Spread -16.5850.0%$178850¢-750¢
2051H Spread -4.5700.0%—700¢-600¢
206Spread -17.5600.0%$197600¢-500¢
207Spread -20.5500.0%$473500¢-400¢
208Spread -23.5350.0%$260350¢-250¢
2091H Spread -6.5350.0%$121350¢-250¢
210Spread -24.5250.0%$461250¢-150¢
2111H Spread -9.5200.0%—200¢-100¢
2121Q Spread -3.5200.0%—200¢-100¢
213Spread -27.5160.0%—160¢-60¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Minnesota and Washington, scheduled for September 26 at 11:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game.

This market will resolve to "Washington" if Washington win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 10:42 PM
    LILiquidatedDegen
    $750.00

    Bought 1470.588236 Minnesota for Spread: Washington (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 10:41 PM
    NInigiri99
    $18.36

    Bought 36 Minnesota for Spread: Washington (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 10:38 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $18.00

    Sold 36 Washington for Spread: Washington (-11.5) at 0.5

  • 10:38 PM
    NInigiri99
    $231.00

    Bought 462 Minnesota for Spread: Washington (-11.5) at 0.5

  • 10:37 PM
    MAmaz26
    $312.00

    Bought 624 Washington for Spread: Washington (-11.5) at 0.5

  • 10:31 PM
    CICip106
    $23.97

    Bought 51 Minnesota for Spread: Washington (-10.5) at 0.47

  • 10:28 PM
    NInigiri99
    $47.43

    Bought 93 Minnesota for Spread: Washington (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 10:27 PM
    NInigiri99
    $18.36

    Bought 36 Minnesota for Spread: Washington (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 10:25 PM
    NInigiri99
    $18.87

    Bought 37 Minnesota for Spread: Washington (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 10:25 PM
    NInigiri99
    $52.02

    Bought 102 Minnesota for Spread: Washington (-11.5) at 0.51

  • 10:24 PM
    ODOddstorm
    $47.56

    Bought 82 Washington for Spread: Washington (-7.5) at 0.58

  • 10:23 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.66

    Bought 46 Minnesota for Minnesota vs. Washington at 0.21

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

HO1
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$233.81
成交量
$17,783.59
持仓数
OverWashingtonMinnesota+6
WR2
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$471.34
成交量
$15,867.38
持仓数
UnderWashingtonWashington+1
NI3
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$57.86
成交量
$6,284.00
持仓数
MinnesotaWashingtonMinnesota+2
NE4
NeverLoseBet
事件盈亏
-$25.00
成交量
$5,000.00
持仓数
Washington
LI5
LiquidatedDegen
事件盈亏
-$14.49
成交量
$2,899.16
持仓数
MinnesotaMinnesota
SN6
SnakeBall
事件盈亏
-$29.80
成交量
$2,303.53
持仓数
MinnesotaWashingtonMinnesota+2
387
38791873984189
事件盈亏
-$37.64
成交量
$2,234.72
持仓数
MinnesotaMinnesotaMinnesota+5
CR8
Crazyboy77
事件盈亏
+$36.60
成交量
$1,755.22
持仓数
Washington

常见问题

当前市场对「Minnesota vs. Washington」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 25.5 以 9,800% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 31.5(9,595%),以及 1Q Spread -1.5(9,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $571.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始