Michigan vs. Minnesota

$84.6K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
概率趋势
Michigan 67.5%
Minnesota 32.5%

核心摘要

根据「Michigan vs. Minnesota」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 35.5 以压倒性的 7,100% 获胜概率主导市场;Spread -0.5 以 6,800% 位居第二,Michigan vs. Minnesota 以 6,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $84.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (7,100%):O/U 35.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,100¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Spread -0.5 (6,800%):作为最可行的替代选项,Spread -0.5 保持着 6,800% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,800¢。
  • Michigan vs. Minnesota (6,750%):以 6,750% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Michigan vs. Minnesota 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Michigan O/U 20.5 (6,550%)、Spread -1.5 (6,450%),以及 O/U 37.5 (6,450%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -2.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 35.57100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
2Spread -0.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
3Michigan vs. Minnesota6750.0%$1.7K6750¢-6650¢
4Michigan O/U 20.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
5Spread -1.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
6O/U 37.56450.0%—6450¢-6350¢
7Spread -2.56350.0%$1716350¢-6250¢
81H Moneyline6100.0%—6100¢-6000¢
9O/U 39.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
10Spread -3.55750.0%$85750¢-5650¢
111H Spread -0.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
124Q O/U 7.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
133Q O/U 7.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
14Spread -4.55500.0%$185500¢-5400¢
15O/U 41.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
161H Spread -1.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
17Michigan O/U 23.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
181H Spread -2.55400.0%$1.0K5400¢-5300¢
19Spread -5.55350.0%$76.6K5350¢-5250¢
202H O/U 21.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
212H Spread -2.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
222Q O/U 7.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
23Michigan 1H O/U 13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
242H O/U 24.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
252H O/U 33.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
261Q O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
273Q O/U 10.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
28Michigan 1H O/U 11.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
29Minnesota 2H O/U 12.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
302Q Spread -1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
31O/U 75.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
321H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
331H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Michigan O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Michigan O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Minnesota O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Minnesota O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Minnesota O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Michigan 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Michigan 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Michigan 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Minnesota 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Minnesota 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Michigan vs. Minnesota: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Michigan vs. Minnesota: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Michigan vs. Minnesota: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Minnesota 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Minnesota 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Michigan vs. Minnesota: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Michigan vs. Minnesota: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Michigan vs. Minnesota: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1082H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1092H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1102H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1112H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1121Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1131Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1141Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1152Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1162Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1172Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1182Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1193Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1203Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1213Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1223Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1233Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1243Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1254Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1264Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1274Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1284Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1294Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1302H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Minnesota O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Michigan O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1332Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1344Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135Spread -6.54950.0%$1.7K4950¢-4850¢
136Spread -20.54950.0%$2674950¢-4850¢
1371H O/U 21.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
138Minnesota O/U 35.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
139Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1402Q Spread -2.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1413Q Moneyline4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
142Minnesota 1H O/U 12.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
143O/U 43.54750.0%$1124750¢-4650¢
1442Q O/U 13.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
1452Q O/U 16.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
1463Q O/U 13.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
147Game Goes to Overtime4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
1482H Spread -3.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
1494Q O/U 13.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1504Q O/U 16.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1514Q O/U 19.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1522Q O/U 10.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
1534Q O/U 10.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
154Minnesota 1H O/U 14.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
155Minnesota 1H O/U 16.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
1561H Spread -3.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
1572Q O/U 19.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
1582H O/U 30.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1593Q O/U 19.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1601Q Spread -0.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
1613Q O/U 16.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
1622H O/U 27.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
163Spread -7.54250.0%$4114250¢-4150¢
164O/U 45.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
165Spread -8.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
1661H O/U 27.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
167O/U 47.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
1681H Spread -5.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
1694Q Spread -1.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
170Spread -10.53550.0%$853550¢-3450¢
1711Q Spread -3.53450.0%$153450¢-3350¢
1721Q O/U 10.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
1731H Spread -1.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
174O/U 49.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
1751H O/U 30.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
176Spread -0.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
177Michigan 1H O/U 15.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
178Spread -1.53050.0%—3050¢-2950¢
179Minnesota O/U 23.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
1801Q Moneyline3000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
181Spread -13.52950.0%$2632950¢-2850¢
1821Q O/U 13.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
183Michigan O/U 32.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
184Spread -2.52800.0%$1712800¢-2700¢
185O/U 51.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
186Spread -14.52550.0%$4712550¢-2450¢
1871Q Spread -3.52450.0%$152450¢-2350¢
188O/U 53.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
189Spread -16.52350.0%$1822350¢-2250¢
190Spread -3.52350.0%$82350¢-2250¢
191Spread -4.52150.0%$182150¢-2050¢
192Spread -17.51950.0%$1.6K1950¢-1850¢
193Spread -5.51950.0%$76.6K1950¢-1850¢
194Spread -6.51850.0%$1.7K1850¢-1750¢
195O/U 55.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
196Spread -20.51600.0%$2671600¢-1500¢
1971Q O/U 16.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
198Spread -7.51450.0%$4111450¢-1350¢
199O/U 57.51450.0%—1450¢-1350¢
200Spread -8.51400.0%—1400¢-1300¢
201O/U 59.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
2021Q O/U 19.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
203Spread -10.51100.0%$851100¢-1000¢
204O/U 61.51000.0%—1000¢-900¢
205Spread -13.5850.0%$263850¢-750¢
206O/U 63.5850.0%—850¢-750¢
207Spread -14.5650.0%$471650¢-550¢
208O/U 65.5650.0%—650¢-550¢
209O/U 67.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
210O/U 69.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
211O/U 71.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
212O/U 73.5600.0%—600¢-500¢
213Spread -16.5550.0%$182550¢-450¢
214Spread -17.5550.0%$1.6K550¢-450¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Michigan and Minnesota, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game.

This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 2, 2026

  • 10:04 PM
    OLOlivier987
    $5.30

    Bought 14.722223 Michigan for 1Q Spread: Michigan (-3.5) at 0.36

  • 09:41 PM
    DZDZ002
    $2.00

    Bought 3.636364 Michigan for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.55

  • 09:41 PM
    PAPainfulvoid
    $4,715.00

    Bought 10250 Minnesota for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.46

  • 09:40 PM
    ——
    $175.45

    Bought 381.413044 Minnesota for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.46

  • 09:23 PM
    CHCharlieEcho1510
    $5.00

    Bought 7.35294 Michigan for Michigan vs. Minnesota at 0.68

  • 09:00 PM
    CSCSBBB
    $5.00

    Bought 10.869566 Minnesota for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.46

  • 08:53 PM
    ZEzekesito2
    $23.38

    Bought 50.82 Minnesota for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.46

  • 08:41 PM
    ARArielFilipino
    $935.00

    Bought 1700 Michigan for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.55

  • 08:40 PM
    0X0x5Bb5538Ba5BbD60D82906854d410859d3ac16a88-1775367038755
    $5.00

    Bought 10.869566 Minnesota for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.46

  • 08:39 PM
    HOHoechst
    $2.50

    Bought 5.434783 Minnesota for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.46

  • 08:39 PM
    ——
    $37.35

    Bought 81.19 Minnesota for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.46

  • 08:39 PM
    ARArielFilipino
    $9,900.00

    Bought 18000 Michigan for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.55

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AR1
ArielFilipino
事件盈亏
-$351.97
成交量
$65,456.07
持仓数
Michigan
BO2
BoggsFromShawshank
事件盈亏
+$1.41
成交量
$29,963.64
持仓数
Minnesota
PA3
Painfulvoid
事件盈亏
+$11.79
成交量
$10,250.00
持仓数
Minnesota
MO4
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
-$15.66
成交量
$10,055.10
持仓数
MichiganMichiganUnder
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$24.90
成交量
$9,145.40
持仓数
MinnesotaMichigan
9F6
0x9f15…bdb3
事件盈亏
+$131.64
成交量
$8,775.78
持仓数
Minnesota
WE7
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
事件盈亏
+$15.32
成交量
$5,294.92
持仓数
MinnesotaMinnesota
VE8
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$20.23
成交量
$4,197.92
持仓数
MinnesotaMinnesotaMinnesota

常见问题

当前市场对「Michigan vs. Minnesota」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 7,100% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Spread -0.5(6,800%),以及 Michigan vs. Minnesota(6,750%)。该市场总成交量已达 $84.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始