Maryland vs. Ohio State

$127K Vol
2026年10月11日
Resolved
概率趋势
Ohio State 99.0%
Maryland 1.1%

核心摘要

根据「Maryland vs. Ohio State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Maryland O/U 1.5 以压倒性的 5,300% 获胜概率主导市场;Ohio State O/U 5.5 以 5,300% 位居第二,Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $127K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Maryland O/U 1.5 (5,300%):Maryland O/U 1.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,300¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Ohio State O/U 5.5 (5,300%):作为最可行的替代选项,Ohio State O/U 5.5 保持着 5,300% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,300¢。
  • Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Pick-Six Scored (5,000%),以及 Maryland vs. Ohio State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Pick-Six Scored 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Maryland O/U 1.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
2Ohio State O/U 5.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
3Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Maryland vs. Ohio State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Maryland and Ohio State, scheduled for October 10 at 4:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Maryland" if Maryland win the game.

This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 11:30 PM
    BEBetNovaa
    $8.00

    Bought 8 Maryland for Spread: Ohio State (-33.5) at 1

  • 11:30 PM
    DAdachshundowner
    $10.00

    Bought 10 Maryland for Spread: Ohio State (-33.5) at 1

  • 11:30 PM
    HYHypnoman007
    $9.16

    Sold 9.25 Ohio State for Spread: Ohio State (-27.5) at 0.99

  • 11:30 PM
    VIVigorishVault
    $3,125.00

    Sold 3125 Maryland for Spread: Ohio State (-30.5) at 1

  • 11:30 PM
    SHshugafa
    $12.00

    Bought 12 Maryland for Spread: Ohio State (-33.5) at 1

  • 11:29 PM
    ——
    $0.19

    Bought 6.3 Ohio State for Spread: Ohio State (-33.5) at 0.03

  • 11:26 PM
    CUcurie
    $15.04

    Bought 16 Maryland for Spread: Ohio State (-30.5) at 0.94

  • 11:26 PM
    656512395314597884
    $0.77

    Bought 0.82 Maryland for Spread: Ohio State (-30.5) at 0.94

  • 11:26 PM
    ——
    $0.09

    Sold 4.62 Ohio State for Spread: Ohio State (-35.5) at 0.02

  • 11:21 PM
    HYHypnoman007
    $8.61

    Bought 9.258057 Ohio State for Spread: Ohio State (-27.5) at 0.93

  • 11:21 PM
    IWiWasEnough
    $4.65

    Bought 5 Ohio State for Spread: Ohio State (-27.5) at 0.93

  • 11:21 PM
    TITinaGoat
    $10.24

    Bought 11.010742 Ohio State for Spread: Ohio State (-27.5) at 0.93

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

PA1
Pan9X
事件盈亏
-$13.85
成交量
$56.95
持仓数
Under
JU2
justaluckydude
事件盈亏
+$46.74
成交量
$43.79
持仓数
Over
PE3
pedroBala
事件盈亏
+$11.03
成交量
$42.42
持仓数
Over
FF4
0xff14…e857
事件盈亏
-$11.03
成交量
$42.42
持仓数
Under
TI5
TinaGoat
事件盈亏
-$0.45
成交量
$22.66
持仓数
Over
386
38791873984189
事件盈亏
-$29.97
成交量
$16.04
持仓数
Under
TO7
topdogbigboi
事件盈亏
+$0.42
成交量
$5.31
持仓数
Over
LA8
laoaba
事件盈亏
+$0.46
成交量
$2.17
持仓数
Over

常见问题

当前市场对「Maryland vs. Ohio State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Maryland O/U 1.5 以 5,300% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Ohio State O/U 5.5(5,300%),以及 Both Teams to Score Points - Q4(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $127K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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