LSU vs. Kentucky

$1.1M Vol
2026年10月11日
Active
概率趋势
LSU 67.5%
Kentucky 33.0%

核心摘要

根据「LSU vs. Kentucky」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，O/U 39.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 41.5 以 9,995% 位居第二，O/U 43.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1.1M，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • O/U 39.5 (9,995%)：O/U 39.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 41.5 (9,995%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 41.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • O/U 43.5 (9,995%)：以 9,995% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 43.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 O/U 45.5 (9,995%)、O/U 47.5 (9,995%)，以及 O/U 49.5 (9,995%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 4Q O/U 7.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1O/U 39.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 41.59995.0%$819995¢-9895¢
3O/U 43.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4O/U 45.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
5O/U 47.59995.0%$1.6K9995¢-9895¢
6O/U 49.59995.0%$6.2K9995¢-9895¢
74Q O/U 7.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
8LSU O/U 23.59995.0%$89995¢-9895¢
9LSU O/U 26.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
10Kentucky O/U 23.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
11Spread -0.59150.0%—9150¢-9050¢
12Spread -1.58850.0%$3.0K8850¢-8750¢
132H Spread -2.58850.0%—8850¢-8750¢
142H Spread -3.58800.0%—8800¢-8700¢
15Spread -2.58750.0%$2.7K8750¢-8650¢
16LSU vs. Kentucky8650.0%$676.1K8650¢-8550¢
174Q Spread -3.57600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
184Q Spread -2.57200.0%—7200¢-7100¢
193Q Spread -1.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
203Q Spread -0.55300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
213Q Moneyline5300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
22LSU O/U 20.55270.0%$5785270¢-5170¢
233Q Spread -2.55255.0%—5255¢-5155¢
24LSU 1H O/U 15.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
25O/U 63.55000.0%$3.8K5000¢-4900¢
26O/U 67.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27O/U 69.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28O/U 73.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29O/U 75.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
302H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
312H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33LSU O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34LSU O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Kentucky O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Kentucky O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Kentucky O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Kentucky O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39LSU 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40LSU 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41LSU 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Kentucky 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Kentucky 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Kentucky 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53LSU vs. Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54LSU vs. Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57LSU vs. Kentucky: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Kentucky Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Kentucky Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Kentucky Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Kentucky 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87LSU Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89LSU Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Kentucky Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91LSU Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Kentucky Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95LSU Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96LSU Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97LSU Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Kentucky Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101LSU vs. Kentucky: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102LSU vs. Kentucky: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103LSU vs. Kentucky: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1042H Spread -4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1052H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1064Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1074Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1084Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1092H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Kentucky O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111LSU O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1124Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
114Spread -8.54950.0%$2.0K4950¢-4850¢
115Spread -16.54950.0%$1.0K4950¢-4850¢
116Spread -17.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
117Spread -20.54950.0%$3874950¢-4850¢
1184Q O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
119Kentucky Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1203Q O/U 7.54745.0%—4745¢-4645¢
1213Q O/U 10.54745.0%—4745¢-4645¢
1223Q Spread -3.54745.0%$604745¢-4645¢
123Both Teams to Score Points - Q34700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1243Q Spread -5.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1253Q Spread -1.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1262H Spread -5.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
1274Q Spread -1.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
128O/U 51.52300.0%$289.1K2300¢-2200¢
129O/U 53.52200.0%$14.9K2200¢-2100¢
130O/U 55.52200.0%$13.9K2200¢-2100¢
1314Q O/U 13.51850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
132O/U 57.51650.0%$3.2K1650¢-1550¢
1334Q O/U 10.51350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
134O/U 59.51150.0%$2.0K1150¢-1050¢
135Spread -13.51135.0%$4921135¢-1035¢
1364Q O/U 16.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
137Spread -1.51050.0%$3.0K1050¢-950¢
138Spread -2.51000.0%$2.7K1000¢-900¢
1392H Spread -7.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
140O/U 61.5850.0%$1.6K850¢-750¢
141Spread -3.5800.0%$766800¢-700¢
142Spread -3.5750.0%$766750¢-650¢
143Spread -4.5650.0%$903650¢-550¢
144Spread -5.5600.0%$2.7K600¢-500¢
145O/U 65.5550.0%$732550¢-450¢
1462H O/U 27.5550.0%—550¢-450¢
1472H O/U 30.5505.0%—505¢-405¢
148Spread -6.5500.0%$772500¢-400¢
149O/U 71.5455.0%—455¢-355¢
150Spread -7.5425.0%$674425¢-325¢
151Spread -9.5355.0%$12.0K355¢-255¢
152Spread -8.5350.0%$2.0K350¢-250¢
153Spread -5.5260.0%$2.7K260¢-160¢
154Spread -4.5250.0%$903250¢-150¢
155Spread -10.5165.0%$759165¢-65¢
156Spread -6.5145.0%$772145¢-45¢
157Spread -16.585.0%$1.0K85¢15¢
158Spread -10.550.0%$75950¢50¢
159Spread -20.545.0%$38745¢55¢
160Spread -7.545.0%$67445¢55¢
161Spread -17.535.0%—35¢65¢
162Spread -14.535.0%$17035¢65¢
163Spread -13.535.0%$49235¢65¢
164Spread -14.535.0%$17035¢65¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between LSU and Kentucky, scheduled for October 10 at 7:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game.

This market will resolve to "Kentucky" if Kentucky win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 11, 2026

  • 12:05 AM
    DDdddddd11231
    $5.02

    Sold 7.73 Kentucky for Spread: LSU (-9.5) at 0.65

  • 12:05 AM
    LEleectram
    $6.73

    Sold 10.19 Kentucky for Spread: LSU (-9.5) at 0.66

Oct 10, 2026

  • 11:55 PM
    USUsercoevi
    $18.82

    Sold 58.82 LSU for Spread: LSU (-9.5) at 0.32

  • 11:53 PM
    USUsercoevi
    $30.00

    Bought 58.82353 LSU for Spread: LSU (-9.5) at 0.51

  • 11:52 PM
    CRcrashhh
    $2.60

    Bought 5 Kentucky for Spread: LSU (-9.5) at 0.52

  • 11:51 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $2.30

    Bought 5 LSU for Spread: LSU (-9.5) at 0.46

  • 11:43 PM
    ——
    $24.92

    Bought 46.15 Kentucky for Spread: LSU (-9.5) at 0.54

  • 11:41 PM
    ALAllyBama
    $53.00

    Bought 100 Kentucky for Spread: LSU (-9.5) at 0.53

  • 11:26 PM
    DDdddddd11231
    $4.95

    Bought 7.734375 Kentucky for Spread: LSU (-9.5) at 0.64

  • 11:26 PM
    LEleectram
    $6.52

    Bought 10.19 Kentucky for Spread: LSU (-9.5) at 0.64

  • 11:23 PM
    CMcm2897
    $30.74

    Bought 53.929825 Kentucky for Spread: LSU (-9.5) at 0.57

  • 11:23 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $2.85

    Bought 5 Kentucky for Spread: LSU (-9.5) at 0.57

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
事件盈亏
+$869.34
成交量
$37,845.35
持仓数
UnderUnder
MO2
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
-$870.00
成交量
$35,096.00
持仓数
OverLSU
BA3
bands1
事件盈亏
+$94.80
成交量
$6,360.29
持仓数
UnderUnder
HO4
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$71.63
成交量
$4,687.55
持仓数
OverLSUUnder
JA5
JAMJAMJAM4
事件盈亏
-$18.55
成交量
$3,710.00
持仓数
Over
AN6
AnonymousUsername
事件盈亏
+$9.72
成交量
$1,943.58
持仓数
Kentucky
NI7
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$47.41
成交量
$1,930.00
持仓数
KentuckyLSUUnder+5
CA8
caspar1248
事件盈亏
-$8.60
成交量
$1,719.97
持仓数
LSU

常见问题

当前市场对「LSU vs. Kentucky」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，O/U 39.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 41.5（9,995%），以及 O/U 43.5（9,995%）。该市场总成交量已达 $1.1M，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始