
LSU vs. Ole Miss
核心摘要
根据「LSU vs. Ole Miss」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,LSU vs. Ole Miss 以压倒性的 5,450% 获胜概率主导市场;1H Moneyline 以 5,400% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 5,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $107.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- LSU vs. Ole Miss (5,450%):LSU vs. Ole Miss 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,450¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $91.9K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- 1H Moneyline (5,400%):作为最可行的替代选项,1H Moneyline 保持着 5,400% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,400¢。
- Spread -1.5 (5,250%):以 5,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Spread -1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Malik Elzy: Anytime Touchdown (5,050%)、Ole Miss O/U 3.5 (5,000%),以及 LSU O/U 3.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Kewan Lacy: Anytime Touchdown 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | 5450.0% | $91.9K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 2 | 1H Moneyline | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 3 | Spread -1.5 | 5250.0% | $463 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 4 | Malik Elzy: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Ole Miss O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | LSU O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Kewan Lacy: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Dilin Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Trinidad Chambliss: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Deuce Alexander: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Trey'Dez Green: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Winston Watkins: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Makhi Frazier: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Harlem Berry: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Stacy Gage: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Eugene Wilson III: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | JT Lindsey: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Caleb Cunningham: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Horatio Fields: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Johntay Cook II: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Caleb Odom: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Jayce Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Jackson Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Caden Durham: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Luke Hasz: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Darrell Gill Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Traylon Ray: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Michael Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | 1Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | 3Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | 2H Moneyline | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 34 | Sam Leavitt: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 35 | Phillip Wright III: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 36 | Spread -2.5 | 4850.0% | $5.6K | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 37 | O/U 58.5 | 4650.0% | $3.8K | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 38 | Spread -3.5 | 4150.0% | $5.5K | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between LSU and Ole Miss, scheduled for September 19 at 7:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game.
This market will resolve to "Ole Miss" if Ole Miss win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 16, 2026
- 10:07 PMNInigiri99$9.54
Bought 18 Ole Miss for Spread: LSU (-3.5) at 0.53
- 09:54 PMNInigiri99$23.85
Bought 45 Ole Miss for Spread: LSU (-3.5) at 0.53
- 09:49 PMNInigiri99$51.41
Bought 97 Ole Miss for Spread: LSU (-3.5) at 0.53
- 09:49 PMMOmooseborzoi$48.87
Bought 97.73 Over for LSU vs. Ole Miss: O/U 58.5 at 0.5
- 09:36 PM——$13.80
Bought 23 LSU for LSU vs. Ole Miss at 0.6
- 09:36 PM——$3.00
Bought 5 LSU for LSU vs. Ole Miss at 0.6
- 09:20 PM——$3.00
Bought 5 LSU for LSU vs. Ole Miss at 0.6
- 09:20 PM——$6.60
Bought 11 LSU for LSU vs. Ole Miss at 0.6
- 09:10 PM——$146.94
Bought 306.12 LSU for Spread: LSU (-3.5) at 0.48
- 09:06 PM——$146.69
Bought 312.106383 LSU for Spread: LSU (-3.5) at 0.47
- 08:56 PM——$3.00
Bought 5 LSU for LSU vs. Ole Miss at 0.6
- 08:56 PM——$16.20
Bought 27 LSU for LSU vs. Ole Miss at 0.6
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「LSU vs. Ole Miss」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,LSU vs. Ole Miss 以 5,450% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 1H Moneyline(5,400%),以及 Spread -1.5(5,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $107.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
