Louisville vs. NC State

$474.4K Vol
2026年10月3日
Active
概率趋势
Louisville 58.0%
NC State 42.0%

核心摘要

根据「Louisville vs. NC State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 39.5 以压倒性的 8,800% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 45.5 以 7,000% 位居第二,O/U 51.5 以 5,600% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $474.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 39.5 (8,800%):O/U 39.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,800¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 45.5 (7,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 45.5 保持着 7,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,000¢。
  • O/U 51.5 (5,600%):以 5,600% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 51.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Spread -2.5 (5,500%)、Louisville vs. NC State (5,450%),以及 Spread -1.5 (5,300%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 43.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 39.58800.0%—8800¢-8700¢
2O/U 45.57000.0%$1557000¢-6900¢
3O/U 51.55600.0%$8.6K5600¢-5500¢
4Spread -2.55500.0%$1.5K5500¢-5400¢
5Louisville vs. NC State5450.0%$112.6K5450¢-5350¢
6Spread -1.55300.0%$155300¢-5200¢
7O/U 43.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
82H O/U 30.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
91Q O/U 7.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
10Louisville O/U 32.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
112H Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
122H Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
133Q Spread -3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
14Spread -2.55000.0%$1.5K5000¢-4900¢
15Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Spread -17.55000.0%$4605000¢-4900¢
18Spread -20.55000.0%$2235000¢-4900¢
19O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20O/U 37.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21O/U 41.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22O/U 47.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23O/U 49.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24O/U 53.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
25O/U 55.55000.0%$9.4K5000¢-4900¢
26O/U 71.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
271H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
281H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
291H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
301H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
312H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
322H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
332H O/U 27.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
342H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
351Q O/U 10.55000.0%$1765000¢-4900¢
361Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
371Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
382Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
392Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
402Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
412Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
422Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
433Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
443Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
453Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
463Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
473Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
484Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
494Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
504Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
514Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
524Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Louisville O/U 20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Louisville O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Louisville O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Louisville O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57NC State O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58NC State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59NC State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60NC State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61NC State O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Louisville 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Louisville 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Louisville 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65NC State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66NC State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67NC State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Louisville 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Louisville 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Louisville 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71NC State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72NC State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73NC State 2H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Both Teams to Score Points - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Louisville vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Louisville vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Louisville vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127NC State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128NC State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
130NC State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
132Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
133Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
134NC State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
135NC State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
136NC State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
137Louisville vs. NC State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
138Louisville vs. NC State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
139Louisville vs. NC State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1401H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1411H Spread -3.55000.0%$7105000¢-4900¢
1421H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1432H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1442H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1452H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1462H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1471Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1481Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1491Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1501Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1511Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1522Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1532Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1542Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1552Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1562Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1573Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1583Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1593Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1603Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1613Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1624Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1634Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1644Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1654Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1664Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1674Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1682H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
169NC State O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
170Louisville O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1711H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1721Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1732Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1743Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1754Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
176Spread -8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
177Spread -8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
178Spread -16.54950.0%$1024950¢-4850¢
179O/U 65.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
180O/U 67.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
181O/U 73.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1821Q O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1831Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1842Q Spread -3.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
185Spread -4.54900.0%$194900¢-4800¢
186Spread -3.54750.0%$114750¢-4650¢
1871H Spread -7.54750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
188Spread -1.54600.0%$154600¢-4500¢
189Spread -14.54550.0%$1.1K4550¢-4450¢
190Spread -3.54250.0%$114250¢-4150¢
1911H O/U 27.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
192Spread -4.53900.0%$193900¢-3800¢
193O/U 57.53850.0%$89.7K3850¢-3750¢
1941H Spread -2.53850.0%$3.0K3850¢-3750¢
195Spread -6.53800.0%$373800¢-3700¢
196Spread -7.53750.0%$8.0K3750¢-3650¢
197Spread -10.53600.0%$603600¢-3500¢
198Spread -5.53600.0%$203600¢-3500¢
1991H Spread -4.53600.0%$973600¢-3500¢
200O/U 59.53500.0%$3.2K3500¢-3400¢
201Spread -5.53450.0%$203450¢-3350¢
202Spread -7.53250.0%$8.0K3250¢-3150¢
203O/U 61.53200.0%$243200¢-3100¢
204Spread -13.53150.0%$363150¢-3050¢
205Spread -6.53000.0%$373000¢-2900¢
206Spread -14.52750.0%$1.1K2750¢-2650¢
207O/U 63.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
208Spread -17.52650.0%$4602650¢-2550¢
209Spread -10.52600.0%$602600¢-2500¢
210Spread -13.52550.0%$362550¢-2450¢
211Spread -16.52150.0%$1022150¢-2050¢
212Spread -20.51650.0%$2231650¢-1550¢
213O/U 69.51650.0%—1650¢-1550¢
214O/U 75.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and NC State, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game.

This market will resolve to "NC State" if NC State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 08:20 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $90.54

    Bought 148.42623 Louisville for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.61

  • 06:37 AM
    ——
    $190.00

    Bought 322.033897 NC State for 1H Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.59

  • 05:16 AM
    LOlocksnation
    $201.30

    Bought 330 Louisville for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.61

  • 04:33 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $25.52

    Bought 58 NC State for Spread: Louisville (-2.5) at 0.44

  • 03:38 AM
    DIdinimami
    $542.29

    Bought 889 Louisville for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.61

Oct 2, 2026

  • 10:31 PM
    GOGolftango
    $30.00

    Bought 75 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.4

  • 10:31 PM
    GOGolftango
    $60.00

    Bought 113.207548 NC State for Spread: Louisville (-3.5) at 0.53

  • 10:01 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $74.92

    Bought 192.09 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.39

  • 09:49 PM
    OLOlivier987
    $13.65

    Bought 25.754717 Over for Louisville vs. NC State: 1Q O/U 10.5 at 0.53

  • 09:33 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $1.95

    Bought 5 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.39

  • 09:32 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $13.65

    Bought 35 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.39

  • 09:30 PM
    OKoknah
    $4.68

    Bought 12 NC State for Louisville vs. NC State at 0.39

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

VE1
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$99.81
成交量
$6,417.65
持仓数
LouisvilleLouisvilleNC State+3
MA2
MAGATheeStallion
事件盈亏
+$45.40
成交量
$3,752.32
持仓数
NC State
HO3
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$59.70
成交量
$3,535.45
持仓数
LouisvilleLouisvilleNC State+3
B44
0xb4F9…0186
事件盈亏
+$146.31
成交量
$2,791.69
持仓数
NC StateNC State
385
38791873984189
事件盈亏
-$27.57
成交量
$1,611.64
持仓数
LouisvilleOverNC State+7
MO6
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
+$19.11
成交量
$1,273.84
持仓数
Under
SN7
SnakeBall
事件盈亏
+$51.14
成交量
$1,205.30
持仓数
LouisvilleOverNC State+3
WE8
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
事件盈亏
-$40.03
成交量
$1,173.53
持仓数
LouisvilleLouisvilleNC State

常见问题

当前市场对「Louisville vs. NC State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 39.5 以 8,800% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 45.5(7,000%),以及 O/U 51.5(5,600%)。该市场总成交量已达 $474.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始