Louisville vs. Ole Miss
$77.1K Vol
2026年9月7日
Active
概率趋势
Ole Miss 70.5%
Louisville 29.5%
核心摘要
根据「Louisville vs. Ole Miss」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，O/U 35.5 以压倒性的 9,050% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 37.5 以 8,700% 位居第二，O/U 39.5 以 8,500% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $77.1K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- O/U 35.5 (9,050%)：O/U 35.5 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,050¢，显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- O/U 37.5 (8,700%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 37.5 保持着 8,700% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,700¢。
- O/U 39.5 (8,500%)：以 8,500% 的概率位列第三，市场对 O/U 39.5 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 O/U 41.5 (7,950%)、O/U 43.5 (7,750%)，以及 O/U 45.5 (7,250%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Ole Miss O/U 24.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 35.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 2 | O/U 37.5 | 8700.0% | — | 8700¢ | -8600¢ |
| 3 | O/U 39.5 | 8500.0% | — | 8500¢ | -8400¢ |
| 4 | O/U 41.5 | 7950.0% | $6 | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 5 | O/U 43.5 | 7750.0% | — | 7750¢ | -7650¢ |
| 6 | O/U 45.5 | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 7 | Ole Miss O/U 24.5 | 7150.0% | — | 7150¢ | -7050¢ |
| 8 | Spread -0.5 | 7050.0% | $1.4K | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 9 | Louisville O/U 17.5 | 7050.0% | — | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 10 | Ole Miss O/U 25.5 | 7000.0% | — | 7000¢ | -6900¢ |
| 11 | Spread -1.5 | 6800.0% | — | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 12 | O/U 47.5 | 6750.0% | — | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 13 | 3Q Spread -2.5 | 6600.0% | — | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 14 | Spread -2.5 | 6550.0% | $362 | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 15 | O/U 49.5 | 6300.0% | $157 | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 16 | Ole Miss O/U 27.5 | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 17 | Louisville O/U 20.5 | 6150.0% | — | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 18 | Spread -3.5 | 5900.0% | $25 | 5900¢ | -5800¢ |
| 19 | 1H Spread -2.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 20 | Ole Miss O/U 28.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 21 | Spread -4.5 | 5800.0% | — | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 22 | O/U 51.5 | 5750.0% | $76 | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 23 | Spread -5.5 | 5550.0% | $1.1K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 24 | O/U 53.5 | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 25 | 2H Spread -1.5 | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 26 | Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5) | 5250.0% | $17.4K | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 27 | Ole Miss O/U 30.5 | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 28 | 1H Spread -3.5 | 5200.0% | $439 | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 29 | Louisville O/U 23.5 | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 30 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 31 | 2Q Spread -2.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 32 | O/U 54.5 | 5100.0% | $5.0K | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 33 | 2H Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 34 | 1Q Spread -0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 35 | 1Q Spread -4.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 36 | 1Q Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 37 | 3Q Moneyline | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 38 | Louisville 1H O/U 8.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 39 | Louisville O/U 2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 40 | Deuce Alexander: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 41 | Makhi Frazier: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 42 | Lincoln Kienholz: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 43 | Tre Richardson: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 44 | Jackson Voth: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 45 | Louisville 2H O/U 9.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 46 | Louisville 2H O/U 13.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 47 | Spread -34.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 2H Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 1Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 1Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 2Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 2Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | 2Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | 2Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Ole Miss 1H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Ole Miss 1H O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Ole Miss 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Ole Miss 2H O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Louisville 2H O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Louisville 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Ole Miss O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Kewan Lacy: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Isaac Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Trinidad Chambliss: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Keyjuan Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Joshua Dye: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Luke Hasz: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Johntay Cook II: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Lawayne McCoy: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Brody Foley: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | TreyShun Hurry: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Caleb Cunningham: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Horatio Fields: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Louisville O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Louisville O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Ole Miss O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Ole Miss O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Ole Miss O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Louisville 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | 1Q Spread -2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 83 | Louisville 1H O/U 12.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 84 | Ole Miss 1H O/U 16.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 85 | Ole Miss 2H O/U 12.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 86 | Louisville 2H O/U 14.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 87 | Caleb Odom: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 88 | Marquise Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 89 | Jaleel Skinner: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 90 | Michael Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 91 | Louisville O/U 2.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 92 | Louisville O/U 3.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 93 | Ole Miss O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 94 | Louisville 1H O/U 10.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 95 | 3Q Spread -0.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 96 | 3Q Spread -1.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 97 | O/U 55.5 | 4750.0% | $3.0K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 98 | 1H Spread -4.5 | 4700.0% | $47 | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 99 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 100 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 101 | Ole Miss O/U 31.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 102 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 103 | 1H Spread -5.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 104 | Spread -7.5 | 4450.0% | $3.3K | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 105 | 1H Spread -6.5 | 4350.0% | $77 | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 106 | Spread -8.5 | 4300.0% | $188 | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 107 | O/U 57.5 | 4250.0% | $1.8K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 108 | Ole Miss O/U 33.5 | 4250.0% | — | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 109 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 4100.0% | — | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 110 | Louisville O/U 26.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 111 | O/U 59.5 | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 112 | Ole Miss O/U 34.5 | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 113 | Spread -10.5 | 3650.0% | $102 | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 114 | 1H Moneyline | 3550.0% | $558 | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 115 | Spread -13.5 | 3350.0% | $269 | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 116 | O/U 61.5 | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 117 | Ole Miss O/U 36.5 | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 118 | Louisville vs. Ole Miss | 3050.0% | $41.4K | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 119 | Louisville O/U 29.5 | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 120 | 2Q Spread -4.5 | 2900.0% | $107 | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 121 | O/U 63.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 122 | Ole Miss O/U 37.5 | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 123 | Spread -14.5 | 2800.0% | $30 | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 124 | Spread -16.5 | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 125 | O/U 65.5 | 2450.0% | — | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 126 | Spread -17.5 | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 127 | O/U 67.5 | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 128 | Spread -20.5 | 1950.0% | $43 | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 129 | O/U 69.5 | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 130 | Spread -21.5 | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 131 | O/U 71.5 | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 132 | O/U 73.5 | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 133 | Spread -24.5 | 1150.0% | — | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 134 | Spread -27.5 | 1000.0% | $223 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 135 | O/U 75.5 | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 136 | Spread -31.5 | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 7:30PM ET:
If Louisville wins, the market will resolve to "Louisville".
If Ole Miss wins, the market will resolve to "Ole Miss".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 6, 2026
- 07:39 AMNEneutralwave23$4.67
Bought 6.577462 Ole Miss for Louisville vs. Ole Miss at 0.71
- 06:47 AMGOGokuuuu789$2.94
Sold 5.66 Ole Miss for Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5) at 0.52
- 06:37 AMMOmooseborzoi$53.40
Bought 100.75 Ole Miss for 1H Spread: Ole Miss (-3.5) at 0.53
- 06:35 AM——$20.13
Bought 28.353658 Ole Miss for Louisville vs. Ole Miss at 0.71
- 06:34 AMGOgolfer6490$100.00
Bought 142.85714 Ole Miss for Louisville vs. Ole Miss at 0.7
- 06:33 AMMOmooseborzoi$23.21
Bought 48.36 Louisville for Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5) at 0.48
- 06:33 AMMOmooseborzoi$65.77
Bought 137.02 Louisville for Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5) at 0.48
- 06:32 AMMOmooseborzoi$654.82
Bought 1364.21 Louisville for Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5) at 0.48
- 04:51 AMOXOxymorn$5.00
Bought 7.142856 Ole Miss for Louisville vs. Ole Miss at 0.7
- 04:17 AMDFDFY$10.30
Bought 23.409089 Ole Miss for Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5) at 0.44
- 03:52 AMMOmooseborzoi$23.49
Bought 53.39 Ole Miss for Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5) at 0.44
- 03:51 AMMOmooseborzoi$9.53
Bought 22.16 Ole Miss for Spread: Ole Miss (-8.5) at 0.43
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
MO1
morePain6969事件盈亏
-$196.64
成交量
$31,401.43
持仓数
Louisville
HO2
HomeRunHazard事件盈亏
+$185.13
成交量
$25,721.49
持仓数
Ole MissUnderUnder+6
FL3
Flipadelphia事件盈亏
+$22.49
成交量
$7,999.96
持仓数
Ole MissOle Miss
MO4
mooseborzoi事件盈亏
-$16.70
成交量
$7,208.89
持仓数
Ole MissLouisvilleOver+15
HI5
hi774c事件盈亏
+$30.41
成交量
$6,082.60
持仓数
Ole Miss
RU6
Runemup事件盈亏
-$47.17
成交量
$4,716.98
持仓数
Over
NI7
nigiri99事件盈亏
-$0.04
成交量
$4,683.00
持仓数
Ole MissOle MissOle Miss
388
38791873984189事件盈亏
+$9.26
成交量
$1,769.41
持仓数
Ole MissLouisvilleOver+8
常见问题
当前市场对「Louisville vs. Ole Miss」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，O/U 35.5 以 9,050% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 37.5（8,700%），以及 O/U 39.5（8,500%）。该市场总成交量已达 $77.1K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。