
Louisiana-Monroe vs. UAB
核心摘要
根据「Louisiana-Monroe vs. UAB」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Louisiana-Monroe O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Louisiana-Monroe O/U 1.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Louisiana-Monroe O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $93.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Louisiana-Monroe O/U 0.5 (5,000%):Louisiana-Monroe O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Louisiana-Monroe O/U 1.5 (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Louisiana-Monroe O/U 1.5 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- Louisiana-Monroe O/U 2.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Louisiana-Monroe O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Louisiana-Monroe O/U 3.5 (5,000%)、UAB O/U 0.5 (5,000%),以及 UAB O/U 1.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 UAB O/U 2.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisiana-Monroe O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Louisiana-Monroe O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Louisiana-Monroe O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Louisiana-Monroe O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | UAB O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | UAB O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | UAB O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | UAB O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Roderick Robinson II: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Braylon McReynolds: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Bryson Roland: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Kaleb Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Derrick Jameson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Nic Trujillo: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Tiaquelin Mims: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Ja'Vin Simpkins: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Ryder Burton: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Parker Fulghum: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | CJ Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Aidan Armenta: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Demarcco Blanton: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Donald Chaney: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | EJ Reid: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Brandon Buckhaulter: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Scott Isacks: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Bryce Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Louisiana-Monroe and UAB, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Louisiana-Monroe" if Louisiana-Monroe win the game.
This market will resolve to "UAB" if UAB win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
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常见问题
当前市场对「Louisiana-Monroe vs. UAB」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Louisiana-Monroe O/U 0.5 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Louisiana-Monroe O/U 1.5(5,000%),以及 Louisiana-Monroe O/U 2.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $93.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
