
Iowa State vs. Iowa
核心摘要
根据「Iowa State vs. Iowa」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,O/U 23.5 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 25.5 以 9,950% 位居第二,O/U 27.5 以 9,900% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $154.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- O/U 23.5 (9,950%):O/U 23.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- O/U 25.5 (9,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 25.5 保持着 9,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,950¢。
- O/U 27.5 (9,900%):以 9,900% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 27.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Spread -1.5 (8,550%)、Spread -2.5 (8,500%),以及 Spread -3.5 (5,250%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -0.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 23.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | O/U 25.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 3 | O/U 27.5 | 9900.0% | $155 | 9900¢ | -9800¢ |
| 4 | Spread -1.5 | 8550.0% | $64 | 8550¢ | -8450¢ |
| 5 | Spread -2.5 | 8500.0% | $105 | 8500¢ | -8400¢ |
| 6 | Spread -3.5 | 5250.0% | $19 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 7 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | $26 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Spread -20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Spread -21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Spread -24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Spread -27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Spread -31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Spread -34.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | O/U 29.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | O/U 37.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | O/U 47.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | O/U 49.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | O/U 53.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | O/U 55.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | O/U 59.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | O/U 61.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | 2H Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Iowa State O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Iowa O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Kamari Moulton: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | DJ Vonnahme: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Tony Diaz: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Jaylen Raynor: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Xavier Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Reece Vander Zee: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Addison Ostrenga: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Nathan McNeil: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Aiden Flora: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Cameron Pettaway: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Evan James: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Cody Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Omari Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Tyler Fortenberry: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | 2H Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | 2H Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | 2H Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | 2H Spread -6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | 2H Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | 4Q Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | 4Q Spread -1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | 4Q Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | 4Q Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | 4Q Spread -4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | 4Q Moneyline | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Iowa O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Iowa O/U 24.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Iowa O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | $9 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Iowa O/U 30.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | Iowa O/U 33.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | Iowa State O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | $953 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Iowa State O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Iowa State O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | 2H Spread -8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | 4Q Spread -5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | L.J. Phillips Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | Hank Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Evan Boyd: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Dayton Howard: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Easton Miller: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Dominic Overby: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Jarriett Buie: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Carter Pabst: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Vince Benetti: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Iowa 2H O/U 11.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Iowa 2H O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Iowa 2H O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Iowa State 2H O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Iowa State 2H O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | Iowa State 2H O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Iowa 2H O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Iowa 2H O/U 12.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Iowa 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | Spread -0.5 | 5000.0% | $26 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | Spread -15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Spread -18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Spread -19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | Spread -22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Spread -28.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | 2H Spread -2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | 2H Spread -9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | 2H O/U 14.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | 2H O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | 2H O/U 20.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | 2H O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | 2H O/U 26.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | 4Q Spread -7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | 4Q O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 96 | 4Q O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 97 | 4Q O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 98 | 4Q O/U 13.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 99 | 4Q O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 100 | Spread -2.5 | 4950.0% | $105 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 101 | Spread -30.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 102 | Spread -5.5 | 4750.0% | $565 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 103 | Spread -17.5 | 4700.0% | $94 | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 104 | Spread -6.5 | 4700.0% | $1.1K | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 105 | Spread: Iowa (-11.5) | 4295.0% | $41 | 4295¢ | -4195¢ |
| 106 | Spread -16.5 | 4200.0% | — | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 107 | Spread -12.5 | 3450.0% | $32 | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 108 | O/U 57.5 | 3030.0% | — | 3030¢ | -2930¢ |
| 109 | O/U 33.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 110 | Spread -4.5 | 2750.0% | $566 | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 111 | O/U 39.5 | 2150.0% | $2.0K | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 112 | Spread -7.5 | 1800.0% | $5 | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 113 | Spread -6.5 | 1600.0% | $1.1K | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 114 | O/U 41.5 | 1500.0% | $14.4K | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 115 | O/U 40.5 | 1300.0% | $21.0K | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 116 | O/U 43.5 | 1100.0% | $3.2K | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 117 | Iowa State vs. Iowa | 1050.0% | $112.7K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 118 | Spread -9.5 | 1050.0% | $110 | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 119 | O/U 42.5 | 950.0% | $5.8K | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 120 | Spread -10.5 | 800.0% | $14 | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 121 | O/U 45.5 | 650.0% | $3 | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 122 | Spread -3.5 | 550.0% | $19 | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 123 | Spread -13.5 | 515.0% | $23.5K | 515¢ | -415¢ |
| 124 | Spread -14.5 | 500.0% | $811 | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 125 | O/U 51.5 | 395.0% | $50 | 395¢ | -295¢ |
裁决规则
In the upcoming college football game between Iowa State and Iowa, scheduled for September 12 at 7:30PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Iowa State" if Iowa State win the game.
This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 12, 2026
- 11:53 PMJUjustaluckydude$40.00
Bought 90.909091 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-9.5) at 0.44
- 11:53 PMJUjustaluckydude$1.80
Bought 4.09 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-9.5) at 0.44
- 11:26 PMDOdoglover4571$5.55
Bought 15 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-9.5) at 0.37
- 11:16 PMMOmooseborzoi$12.35
Bought 82.31 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa State (-2.5) at 0.15
- 11:12 PMMOmooseborzoi$134.14
Bought 141.2 Iowa for Spread: Iowa State (-6.5) at 0.95
- 10:38 PMUPUpTheBlues$46.98
Bought 162 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-6.5) at 0.29
- 10:38 PMUPUpTheBlues$0.87
Bought 3 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-6.5) at 0.29
- 10:38 PMUPUpTheBlues$6.06
Bought 20.2 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-6.5) at 0.3
- 10:38 PMUPUpTheBlues$3.51
Bought 13 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-6.5) at 0.27
- 10:38 PMUPUpTheBlues$3.03
Bought 10.1 Iowa State for Spread: Iowa (-6.5) at 0.3
- 10:38 PM——$16.20
Bought 30 Under for Iowa State vs. Iowa: O/U 43.5 at 0.54
- 10:33 PMSQSquatFT$1,127.65
Bought 2127.65 Under for Iowa State vs. Iowa: O/U 43.5 at 0.53
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Iowa State vs. Iowa」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,O/U 23.5 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 25.5(9,950%),以及 O/U 27.5(9,900%)。该市场总成交量已达 $154.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
