Iowa vs. Michigan

$113.7K Vol
2026年9月26日
Active
概率趋势
Michigan 66.5%
Iowa 33.5%

核心摘要

根据「Iowa vs. Michigan」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 20.5 以压倒性的 9,250% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 18.5 以 9,200% 位居第二,O/U 22.5 以 9,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $113.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 20.5 (9,250%):O/U 20.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,250¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 18.5 (9,200%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 18.5 保持着 9,200% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,200¢。
  • O/U 22.5 (9,000%):以 9,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 22.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 24.5 (8,650%)、O/U 28.5 (8,600%),以及 O/U 26.5 (8,350%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 30.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 20.59250.0%—9250¢-9150¢
2O/U 18.59200.0%—9200¢-9100¢
3O/U 22.59000.0%—9000¢-8900¢
4O/U 24.58650.0%—8650¢-8550¢
5O/U 28.58600.0%—8600¢-8500¢
6O/U 26.58350.0%—8350¢-8250¢
7O/U 30.57850.0%—7850¢-7750¢
81H O/U 13.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
9Michigan O/U 16.57050.0%—7050¢-6950¢
10O/U 32.57000.0%$5007000¢-6900¢
112Q O/U 7.56800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
121Q Moneyline6700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
13Spread -0.56550.0%$916550¢-6450¢
14Spread -1.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
15Spread -2.56350.0%$1.5K6350¢-6250¢
16Iowa O/U 13.56350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
17O/U 34.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
181H O/U 16.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
19Michigan O/U 19.56000.0%—6000¢-5900¢
20O/U 36.55850.0%$1.7K5850¢-5750¢
211H Spread -0.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
22Spread -3.55550.0%$1.3K5550¢-5450¢
231H Spread -1.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
241H Spread -2.55450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
25Spread -4.55250.0%$7.8K5250¢-5150¢
262H O/U 16.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
271H O/U 19.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
282H O/U 13.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
293Q O/U 4.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
30O/U 38.55050.0%$34.0K5050¢-4950¢
312H Spread -2.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
322H O/U 19.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
331Q Spread -1.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
342Q O/U 4.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
354Q O/U 3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
364Q O/U 6.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
374Q O/U 9.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
38Iowa O/U 10.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
39Iowa O/U 16.55050.0%$1.6K5050¢-4950¢
40Michigan O/U 28.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
41Iowa 1H O/U 5.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
42Iowa 1H O/U 9.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
43Michigan 1H O/U 11.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
44Both Teams to Score Points - Q35050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
45Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
46Spread -26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
471H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
481H O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
492H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
502H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
512H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
522H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
532H O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
542H O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
551Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
561Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
571Q O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
581Q O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
592Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
602Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
612Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
623Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
633Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
643Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
653Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
663Q O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
674Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
684Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
694Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
704Q O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Michigan O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Michigan O/U 25.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Michigan 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Iowa 2H O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Iowa 2H O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Iowa 2H O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Michigan 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Michigan 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
792H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Iowa O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Michigan O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
822Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
833Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
844Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
123Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
124Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
125Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
126Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
127Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
128Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
129Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
130Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
131Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
132Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
133Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
134Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
135Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
136Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
137Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
138Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
139Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
140Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
141Iowa vs. Michigan: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
142Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%$255000¢-4900¢
143Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
144Iowa vs. Michigan: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
145Spread -5.54950.0%$37.0K4950¢-4850¢
1462H Spread -1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1474Q Spread -5.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
148Michigan 2H O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
149Game Goes to Overtime4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
150Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
151Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
152Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1531H O/U 22.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1542Q Spread -1.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
1552Q Spread -2.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
156Iowa O/U 22.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
1572Q O/U 10.54650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
1583Q Spread -2.54600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
159Spread -6.54550.0%$9984550¢-4450¢
160O/U 40.54450.0%$8074450¢-4350¢
1611H Spread -3.54450.0%$2174450¢-4350¢
1623Q O/U 7.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
163Iowa 1H O/U 7.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
1641Q Spread -0.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
1654Q Spread -2.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
1661Q O/U 7.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
1672Q O/U 13.54050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
1682Q Spread -3.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
1693Q Spread -3.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
1701H Spread -5.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
171Spread -7.53850.0%$3273850¢-3750¢
172O/U 42.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
173Iowa O/U 19.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
1741H Moneyline3700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
175Spread -9.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
1764Q Spread -3.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
1774Q O/U 12.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
178Spread -8.53500.0%$713500¢-3400¢
179O/U 44.53500.0%$6413500¢-3400¢
1801Q Spread -3.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
181Iowa vs. Michigan3350.0%$23.3K3350¢-3250¢
182Spread -0.53350.0%$913350¢-3250¢
183Spread -10.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
184Spread -1.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
1853Q O/U 10.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
186Spread -2.53000.0%$1.5K3000¢-2900¢
187Spread -11.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
188Michigan 1H O/U 13.53000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
189Spread -12.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
1901Q O/U 10.52850.0%$42850¢-2750¢
191O/U 46.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
1922Q O/U 16.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
193Spread -13.52750.0%$3632750¢-2650¢
1943Q O/U 13.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
195Spread -4.52350.0%$7.8K2350¢-2250¢
196Spread -14.52350.0%$1812350¢-2250¢
1971Q O/U 13.52350.0%—2350¢-2250¢
198O/U 48.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
1991Q Spread -3.52250.0%—2250¢-2150¢
200Spread -16.52050.0%$8402050¢-1950¢
201O/U 50.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
202Spread -19.51500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
203Spread -8.51400.0%$711400¢-1300¢
204Spread -7.51400.0%$3271400¢-1300¢
205Spread -20.51300.0%$771300¢-1200¢
206O/U 52.51250.0%—1250¢-1150¢
207O/U 54.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
208Spread -10.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
209O/U 56.51050.0%—1050¢-950¢
210Spread -11.5900.0%—900¢-800¢
211Spread -22.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
212O/U 58.5800.0%—800¢-700¢
213Spread -23.5750.0%—750¢-650¢
214Spread -14.5700.0%$181700¢-600¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Michigan, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game.

This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 26, 2026

  • 10:10 AM
    HEHerdonia
    $33.98

    Bought 99.941177 Iowa for Iowa vs. Michigan at 0.34

  • 09:57 AM
    HOHookrush
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923077 Iowa for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 09:00 AM
    PLPlutoski.
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Under for Iowa vs. Michigan: O/U 38.5 at 0.5

  • 08:58 AM
    CWcwc2025
    $15.00

    Bought 28.846154 Iowa for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 08:07 AM
    JCjcasino
    $196.00

    Bought 350 Michigan for Spread: Michigan (-3.5) at 0.56

  • 07:54 AM
    APAppleTiime
    $186.15

    Bought 365 Iowa for Spread: Michigan (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 07:36 AM
    DEdekivagyok
    $3.35

    Bought 5 Michigan for Iowa vs. Michigan at 0.67

  • 07:25 AM
    LElee1991
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Michigan for Iowa vs. Michigan at 0.67

  • 07:09 AM
    NInigiri99
    $241.23

    Bought 473 Under for Iowa Team Total: O/U 16.5 at 0.51

  • 06:53 AM
    NInigiri99
    $23.46

    Bought 46 Over for Iowa Team Total: O/U 16.5 at 0.51

  • 06:28 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $18.95

    Bought 33.24 Iowa for 1H Spread: Michigan (-3.5) at 0.57

  • 06:13 AM
    HEHerdonia
    $228.24

    Bought 671.294118 Iowa for Iowa vs. Michigan at 0.34

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$10.62
成交量
$27,611.00
持仓数
IowaOverIowa
HO2
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$85.25
成交量
$22,423.60
持仓数
MichiganUnderIowa+6
413
0x418D…7961
事件盈亏
-$275.00
成交量
$10,999.98
持仓数
Under
9A4
0x9a09…5286
事件盈亏
-$49.50
成交量
$10,001.00
持仓数
Michigan
HE5
Herdonia
事件盈亏
-$10.35
成交量
$7,766.89
持仓数
Iowa
IC6
ic4cream
事件盈亏
+$153.48
成交量
$7,741.00
持仓数
OverMichiganIowa
AN7
AnonymousUsername
事件盈亏
+$6.54
成交量
$7,247.58
持仓数
Michigan
MO8
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$29.60
成交量
$6,758.68
持仓数
OverIowaIowa+6

常见问题

当前市场对「Iowa vs. Michigan」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 20.5 以 9,250% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 18.5(9,200%),以及 O/U 22.5(9,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $113.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始