Idaho State vs. Utah State

$41.7K Vol
2026年9月6日
Resolved
概率趋势
Idaho State 100.0%
Utah State 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Idaho State vs. Utah State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Idaho State O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Idaho State O/U 1.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Idaho State O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $41.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Idaho State O/U 0.5 (5,000%):Idaho State O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Idaho State O/U 1.5 (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Idaho State O/U 1.5 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Idaho State O/U 2.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Idaho State O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Idaho State O/U 3.5 (5,000%)、Utah State O/U 0.5 (5,000%),以及 Utah State O/U 1.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Utah State O/U 2.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Idaho State O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Idaho State O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Idaho State O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Idaho State O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Utah State O/U 0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Utah State O/U 1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Utah State O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Utah State O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
92H Spread -10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
104Q Spread -4.5950.0%950¢-850¢
11O/U 53.550.0%$2550¢50¢
12O/U 69.550.0%50¢50¢
13Spread -0.545.0%45¢55¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:00PM ET:

If Idaho State wins, the market will resolve to "Idaho State".

If Utah State wins, the market will resolve to "Utah State".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 5, 2026

  • 07:13 PM
    PEPepitogrill
    $2.49

    Bought 4.36842 Under for Idaho State vs. Utah State: O/U 61.5 at 0.57

  • 07:13 PM
    WAWaySheGoes
    $10.00

    Bought 17.543858 Under for Idaho State vs. Utah State: O/U 61.5 at 0.57

  • 07:10 PM
    SRsreca
    $2.10

    Bought 5 Over for Idaho State vs. Utah State: O/U 62.5 at 0.42

  • 07:05 PM
    TAtatkamatv78
    $1.85

    Bought 5 Under for Idaho State vs. Utah State: O/U 55.5 at 0.37

  • 07:02 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $712.47

    Bought 1397 Under for Idaho State vs. Utah State: O/U 59.5 at 0.51

  • 07:02 PM
    DADanshan11
    $12.95

    Bought 26.42857 Over for Idaho State vs. Utah State: O/U 59.5 at 0.49

  • 07:02 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $211.68

    Bought 378 Under for Idaho State vs. Utah State: O/U 61.5 at 0.56

  • 07:02 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $28.16

    Bought 64 Under for Idaho State vs. Utah State: O/U 57.5 at 0.44

  • 07:02 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $2.90

    Bought 5 Under for Idaho State vs. Utah State: O/U 62.5 at 0.58

  • 07:01 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $98.49

    Bought 201 Under for Idaho State vs. Utah State: O/U 59.5 at 0.49

  • 06:28 PM
    NInigiri99
    $71.40

    Bought 84 Utah State for Idaho State vs. Utah State at 0.85

  • 06:20 PM
    0X0xb5794FF8CE96b773701fE9333283915eEf5fF458-1729659432133
    $5.00

    Bought 31.25 Idaho State for Idaho State vs. Utah State at 0.16

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

BE1
Bettor4747
事件盈亏
-$67.28
成交量
$14,541.49
持仓数
UnderUtah StateUtah State
HO2
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$163.35
成交量
$8,733.24
持仓数
UnderOverUnder+7
BA3
Bagwell306
事件盈亏
-$87.50
成交量
$5,000.00
持仓数
OverOver
VE4
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$34.98
成交量
$4,996.00
持仓数
Idaho StateOverIdaho State
FB5
0xfB07…2542
事件盈亏
-$60.00
成交量
$4,000.00
持仓数
Idaho State
TW6
twotontony
事件盈亏
+$162.64
成交量
$3,197.00
持仓数
UnderUtah StateUtah State
1W7
1winstreak1
事件盈亏
-$531.20
成交量
$3,037.15
持仓数
Idaho StateOverIdaho State+11
CA8
CAcap
事件盈亏
-$22.09
成交量
$2,604.07
持仓数
OverIdaho StateOver

常见问题

当前市场对「Idaho State vs. Utah State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Idaho State O/U 0.5 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Idaho State O/U 1.5(5,000%),以及 Idaho State O/U 2.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $41.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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