Hawai'i vs. Arizona State

$295.5K Vol
2026年10月11日
Resolved
概率趋势
Arizona State 95.6%
Hawai'i 4.4%

核心摘要

根据「Hawai'i vs. Arizona State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 以压倒性的 5,100% 获胜概率主导市场;Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $295.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 (5,100%):Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,100¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 (5,000%)、Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 (5,000%),以及 Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
2Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Hawai'i vs. Arizona State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
12Hawai'i O/U 1.5950.0%—950¢-850¢
13Arizona State O/U 4.5950.0%—950¢-850¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Hawai'i and Arizona State, scheduled for October 10 at 10:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game.

This market will resolve to "Arizona State" if Arizona State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 10, 2026

  • 11:59 PM
    0X0xd863B5bfAe9eeBc41F7B88cF0E400a44573bB7e2-1791140741154
    $3.90

    Bought 5.2 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-30.5) at 0.75

  • 11:59 PM
    0X0xd863B5bfAe9eeBc41F7B88cF0E400a44573bB7e2-1791140741154
    $3.90

    Bought 5.131579 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-30.5) at 0.76

  • 11:59 PM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $10.94

    Bought 14.394737 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-30.5) at 0.76

  • 11:59 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $39.03

    Bought 52.04 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-30.5) at 0.75

  • 11:57 PM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $7.27

    Bought 34.619048 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-33.5) at 0.21

  • 11:57 PM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $10.12

    Bought 33.733334 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-11.5) at 0.3

  • 11:57 PM
    0X0xd863B5bfAe9eeBc41F7B88cF0E400a44573bB7e2-1791140741154
    $2.12

    Bought 10.095239 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-33.5) at 0.21

  • 11:57 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $87.00

    Bought 300 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-11.5) at 0.29

  • 11:57 PM
    0X0xd863B5bfAe9eeBc41F7B88cF0E400a44573bB7e2-1791140741154
    $1.11

    Bought 4.4416 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-9.5) at 0.25

  • 11:57 PM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $15.12

    Bought 60.48 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-9.5) at 0.25

  • 11:57 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $21.20

    Bought 106 Arizona State for Spread: Arizona State (-33.5) at 0.2

  • 11:57 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $11.10

    Bought 46.25 Hawaii for Spread: Arizona State (-9.5) at 0.24

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
事件盈亏
+$14,717.21
成交量
$57,694.43
持仓数
Under
PR2
primm
事件盈亏
-$10,528.98
成交量
$49,664.73
持仓数
OverHawai'iHawai'i+1
653
6512395314597884
事件盈亏
-$3,112.73
成交量
$24,706.63
持仓数
Hawai'iArizona StateArizona State+6
NI4
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$1,565.80
成交量
$21,875.79
持仓数
Hawai'iHawai'iOver+3
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$1,532.86
成交量
$16,299.70
持仓数
OverUnderOver+10
2C6
0x2c33…5465
事件盈亏
-$1,638.21
成交量
$16,126.99
持仓数
Arizona StateOver
HE7
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
+$704.54
成交量
$12,147.31
持仓数
Arizona State
NO8
Nooserac
事件盈亏
+$1,287.31
成交量
$10,057.00
持仓数
Arizona State

常见问题

当前市场对「Hawai'i vs. Arizona State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 以 5,100% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5(5,000%),以及 Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $295.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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