Fresno State vs. Washington State

$270.9K Vol
2026年10月4日
Active
概率趋势
Washington State 58.0%
Fresno State 41.5%

核心摘要

根据「Fresno State vs. Washington State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 35.5 以压倒性的 7,450% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 37.5 以 6,800% 位居第二,O/U 39.5 以 6,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $270.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 35.5 (7,450%):O/U 35.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,450¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 37.5 (6,800%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 37.5 保持着 6,800% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,800¢。
  • O/U 39.5 (6,750%):以 6,750% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 39.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 41.5 (5,750%)、O/U 43.5 (5,350%),以及 Spread -1.5 (5,200%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Spread -2.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 35.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
2O/U 37.56800.0%$4346800¢-6700¢
3O/U 39.56750.0%$506750¢-6650¢
4O/U 41.55750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
5O/U 43.55350.0%$65.8K5350¢-5250¢
6Spread -1.55200.0%$11.0K5200¢-5100¢
7Spread -2.55150.0%$109.2K5150¢-5050¢
8Fresno State O/U 20.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
92H O/U 27.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
10Washington State O/U 23.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
11Washington State 2H O/U 16.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
12Spread -20.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
141H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
151H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
161H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
171H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
182H O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
192H O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
202H O/U 30.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
212H O/U 33.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
221Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
231Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
241Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
251Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
262Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
272Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
282Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
292Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
302Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
313Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
323Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
333Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
343Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
353Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
364Q O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
374Q O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
384Q O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
394Q O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
404Q O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Fresno State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Fresno State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Fresno State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Washington State O/U 26.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Washington State O/U 29.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Washington State O/U 32.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Washington State O/U 35.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Fresno State 1H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Fresno State 1H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Fresno State 1H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Washington State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52Washington State 1H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
53Washington State 1H O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
54Fresno State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
55Fresno State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
56Fresno State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
57Washington State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
58Washington State 2H O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
59Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
60Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
61Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
62Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q35000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
63Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
64Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
65Both Teams to Score a Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
66Both Teams to Score Points - Q15000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
67Game Goes to Overtime5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
68Both Teams to Score Points - Q25000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
69Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
70Both Teams to Score Points - Q45000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
71Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
72Pick-Six Scored5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
73Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
74Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
75Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
76Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
77Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
78Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
79Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
80Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
81Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
82Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
83Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
84Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
85Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
86Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
87Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
88Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
89Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
90Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
91Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
92Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
93Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
94Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
95Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
96Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
97Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
98Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
99Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
100Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
101Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
102Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
103Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
104Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
105Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
106Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
107Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
108Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
109Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
110Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
111Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
112Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
113Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 24.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
114Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
115Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
116Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
117Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
118Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 19.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
119Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
120Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
121Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
122Fresno State vs. Washington State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1231H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1241H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1251H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1261H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1271H Spread -3.55000.0%$275000¢-4900¢
1282H Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1292H Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1302H Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1312H Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1322H Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1331Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1341Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1351Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1361Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1371Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1381Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1392Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1402Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1412Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1422Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1432Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1442Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1453Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1463Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1473Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1483Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1493Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1503Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1514Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1524Q Spread -0.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1534Q Spread -1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1544Q Spread -2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1554Q Spread -3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1564Q Spread -5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1572H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
158Washington State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
159Fresno State O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1601H Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1611Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1622Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1633Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
1644Q Moneyline5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
165Spread -0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
1661Q O/U 19.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
167Both Teams to Score Points - Q34950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
168Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
169O/U 45.54600.0%$42.7K4600¢-4500¢
170Spread -3.54550.0%$2004550¢-4450¢
171Spread -3.54450.0%$2004450¢-4350¢
172Spread -7.54300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
173Fresno State vs. Washington State4250.0%$38.1K4250¢-4150¢
174Spread -1.54200.0%$11.0K4200¢-4100¢
175O/U 51.54200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
176Spread -4.54150.0%$1114150¢-4050¢
177O/U 47.54150.0%$2.2K4150¢-4050¢
178Spread -2.54050.0%$109.2K4050¢-3950¢
179Fresno State O/U 23.54000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
180Spread -5.53950.0%$1963950¢-3850¢
181Spread -6.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
182O/U 53.53750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
183Spread -4.53600.0%$1113600¢-3500¢
184O/U 49.53600.0%$2763600¢-3500¢
185O/U 57.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
1861H Spread -3.53450.0%$273450¢-3350¢
187Spread -6.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
188Spread -8.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
189Spread -5.53150.0%$1963150¢-3050¢
190Spread -10.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
191O/U 59.53100.0%—3100¢-3000¢
192Spread -7.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
193O/U 63.52900.0%—2900¢-2800¢
194Spread -8.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
195O/U 65.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
196Spread -16.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
197O/U 69.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
198O/U 71.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
199Spread -14.52500.0%$2352500¢-2400¢
200O/U 73.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
201O/U 75.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
2022H Spread -1.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
203O/U 55.52250.0%$1112250¢-2150¢
204Spread -17.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢
205Spread -14.52100.0%$2352100¢-2000¢
206Spread -17.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
207Spread -13.51950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
208Spread -10.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
209Spread -13.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
210Spread -16.51700.0%—1700¢-1600¢
2111H O/U 27.51600.0%—1600¢-1500¢
212O/U 61.51300.0%—1300¢-1200¢
213Spread -20.51100.0%—1100¢-1000¢
214O/U 67.5950.0%$105950¢-850¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Fresno State and Washington State, scheduled for October 3 at 9:30PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game.

This market will resolve to "Washington State" if Washington State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 3, 2026

  • 09:11 PM
    HEHerdonia
    $15.05

    Bought 27.870371 Washington State for Fresno State vs. Washington State at 0.54

  • 09:10 PM
    ——
    $9.86

    Bought 17 Fresno State for Spread: Washington State (-3.5) at 0.58

  • 09:02 PM
    SWSwampmaster247
    $1.50

    Bought 3.846154 Over for Fresno State vs. Washington State: O/U 49.5 at 0.39

  • 08:26 PM
    0X0xadC9Fc32fBA150C2495568A4d19Acc0010b8C6C5-1772027540718
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Fresno State for Spread: Washington State (-2.5) at 0.5

  • 08:19 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $1.45

    Bought 5 Under for Fresno State vs. Washington State: O/U 37.5 at 0.29

  • 08:10 PM
    0X0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465
    $23.00

    Bought 50 Fresno State for Fresno State vs. Washington State at 0.46

  • 08:10 PM
    0X0x1256E1f
    $23.00

    Bought 50 Fresno State for Fresno State vs. Washington State at 0.46

  • 08:10 PM
    MOmooseborzoii
    $1,442.63

    Bought 2671.54 Washington State for Fresno State vs. Washington State at 0.54

  • 08:09 PM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $5.09

    Bought 9.425926 Over for Fresno State vs. Washington State: O/U 43.5 at 0.54

  • 08:09 PM
    M4m48935
    $5.22

    Bought 11.11 Under for Fresno State vs. Washington State: O/U 43.5 at 0.47

  • 08:09 PM
    0X0x1256E1f
    $109.04

    Bought 232 Under for Fresno State vs. Washington State: O/U 43.5 at 0.47

  • 08:09 PM
    0X0x1256E1f
    $20.04

    Bought 41.75 Fresno State for Spread: Washington State (-1.5) at 0.48

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MO1
mooseborzoii
事件盈亏
+$43.91
成交量
$108,740.97
持仓数
Washington StateWashington StateWashington State+1
2C2
0x2c33…5465
事件盈亏
+$318.29
成交量
$63,657.38
持仓数
Fresno StateFresno State
JI3
jizzbucket57
事件盈亏
-$128.00
成交量
$25,600.00
持仓数
Fresno State
HO4
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
+$64.11
成交量
$5,348.87
持仓数
Fresno StateWashington StateUnder+3
MO5
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
-$17.51
成交量
$5,247.25
持仓数
UnderOverFresno State+1
VE6
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$6.31
成交量
$4,767.92
持仓数
Fresno StateUnderOver+2
HE7
0xheavy888
事件盈亏
-$18.75
成交量
$3,750.00
持仓数
Fresno State
PR8
primm
事件盈亏
+$84.84
成交量
$3,393.68
持仓数
Under

常见问题

当前市场对「Fresno State vs. Washington State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 35.5 以 7,450% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 37.5(6,800%),以及 O/U 39.5(6,750%)。该市场总成交量已达 $270.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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